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IPC — International Paper News Story

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International Paper Q2 sales miss estimates on EMEA weakness

International Paper Q2 sales miss estimates on EMEA weakness


Overview

  • US packaging producer's Q2 sales declined and missed analyst expectations

  • Adjusted operating EPS for Q2 fell year-over-year

  • North America segment saw higher volumes, while EMEA volumes fell amid soft market


Outlook

  • International Paper expects Q3 adjusted EBITDA from cont ops of $780-$830 mln, including $85 mln negative impact from Pine Hill mill closure

  • Company forecasts full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations of $3.2-$3.4 bln

  • Company says priorities for H2 include mitigating rising input costs and executing cost-out initiatives


Result Drivers

  • NORTH AMERICA VOLUMES - Higher sales volumes in North America driven by domestic business growth, seasonal improvement, and an additional shipping day

  • EMEA WEAKNESS - Lower sales volumes in EMEA due to soft market conditions, geopolitical uncertainty, and weak consumer sentiment

  • COST ACTIONS AND INPUT COSTS - Cost-out actions and lower energy input costs in EMEA partially offset by higher recovered fiber costs and delayed box pricing


Company press release: ID:nPn3WkHsja


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Sales

Miss

$6.004 bln

$6.18 bln (8 Analysts)


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 8 "strong buy" or "buy", 4 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the paper packaging peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for International Paper Co is $42.00, about 1.5% below its July 29 closing price of $42.64

  • The stock recently traded at 19 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 18 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • July 29 - Smurfit Westrock downgrades full-year profit guidance on freight costs

  • July 30 - Mondi shares surge as price hikes, cost cuts to drive second-half profits

  • July 28 - Greif fiscal Q3 revenue beats estimates on higher prices


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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