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REG - London & Quadrant - Trading Statement




 



RNS Number : 4022Y
London & Quadrant Housing Trust
12 May 2021
 

 

London & Quadrant Housing Trust Trading Update for the year ending 31 March 2021

 

 

London & Quadrant Housing Trust ('L&Q') is today issuing its consolidated trading update for the year ended 31 March 2021 ('2021'). All comparatives are to L&Q's consolidated audited prior year equivalent period being the year ended 31 March 2020 ('2020').

 

HIGHLIGHTS

 

·    There are 118,181 units in management (as at 31 March 2020: 115,003)

·    L&Q has completed 2,699 residential homes (2020: 2,439)

·    Turnover was £1,051m (2020: £915m)

·    EBITDA1 was £382m (2020: £303m)

·    EBITDA margin2 was 31% (2020: 26%)

·    EBITDA margin (excluding sales)3 was 49% (2020: 42%)

·    Gross sales margin4 was 18% (2020: 17%)

·    Net sales margin5 was 10% (2020: 13%)

·    EBITDA / interest cover6 was 260% (2020: 193%)

·    EBITDA social housing lettings interest cover7 was 182% (2020: 137%)

·    Operating surplus was £313m (2020: £279m)

·    Debt to assets8 was 41% (2020: 41%)

·    Gross Debt / EBITDA9 was 14.4x (2020: 18.5x)

·    Sales as a % of turnover10 was 47% (2020: 46%)

 

Commenting on the results Waqar Ahmed, Group Director, Finance said:

 

"L&Q's preliminary unaudited results show EBITDA at £382m, a 26% year-on-year increase and net debt at £5,385m, a £45m year-on-year decrease. We have delivered a material improvement in EBITDA margins, interest coverage and debt metrics that are ahead of Q3 guidance and reflect stronger than expected financial performance during the Covid-19 pandemic, particularly in relation to completions, sales and rent arrears.

 

Available liquidity at greater than £1.1bn demonstrates that we have been successful in implementing prudent measures to conserve cash flows. Our strong liquidity position leaves us well placed to address future external uncertainty that is supported by the strength of our balance sheet and the financial resilience and flexibility that we have demonstrated.

 

Despite the on-set of the Covid-19 pandemic, housing completions at 2,699 (2020: 2,439) are up 11% year-on-year of which 57% (2020: 49%) are for social housing tenures which further demonstrates our commitment to our social purpose and to lower our risk profile. While the pandemic has impacted our repairs and maintenance service, we invested £186m (2020: £231m) in our residents' homes including £25m (2020: £35m) implementing additional fire measures. The expectation, as reflected in our forward guidance for the year ending 31st March 2022 is that we divert a greater level of expenditure towards our resident's existing homes as we implement our five year corporate strategy that sets out how we will put our existing customers first, ensuring that their homes are safe, high quality and supported by excellent services in thriving communities."

 

FORWARD GUIDANCE FOR THE YEAR ENDING 31ST MARCH 2022

 

The following assumes that current market conditions continue.

 

We project EBITDA to be in the range of £340m to £360m and gross capital expenditure11 to be in the range of £900m to £1bn. Included within our EBITDA projections are c.£30m of costs assigned to conduct fire remedial and safety works. Our projections for surplus after tax are expected to be in the range of £230m to £250m. Net debt is expected to be in the range of £5.7bn to £5.8bn.

 

Financial Metrics

Forward Guidance to 31 March 2022

EBITDA margin2

26%

EBITDA margin (excluding sales)3

40%

Net sales margin5

11%

EBITDA interest cover6

233%

Social housing lettings EBITDA interest Cover7

152%

Debt to assets8

43%

Gross debt to EBITDA9

16x

Sales as a % of turnover10

48%

 

HOUSING COMPLETIONS

L&Q, including joint ventures, has completed 2,699 (2020: 2,439) residential homes in the financial year. This comprises of 1,556 (2019/20: 1,188) completions for social housing tenures and 1,143 (2020: 1,251) completions for market tenures. During that same time 3,818 new build residential homes commenced on site (2020: 3,945).

 

DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE

L&Q, including joint ventures, is operating from 185 (2020: 158) active sites. L&Q has approved an additional 1,994 residential homes during the financial year bringing total homes in the approved development pipeline to 32,482 (2020: 29,504), of which 64% are currently on site, representing a significant investment in new supply and affordable output. Of the homes approved in the development pipeline 60% are for social housing tenures and 40% are for market tenures. L&Q holds a further potential 81,568 (2020: 70,614) strategic land plots.

 

The future projected cost of the entire development pipeline (including work in progress and developments not yet committed or on site) that extends until the financial year ending 31 March 2040 is estimated at £5.2bn (2019/20: £5.3bn) of which £4.5bn (85%) is currently committed (2020: £4.6bn).

 

UNAUDITED FINANCIALS

The unaudited financials exclude further adjustments that are subject to audit review:

 

Statement of Comprehensive Income

 

2021

(£m)

2020

(£m)

Change

Turnover

 

 

 

Non-sales

683

645

 

Sales

368

270

 

 

1,051

915

15%

Operating costs and cost of sales

 

 

 

Non-sales

(488)

(504)

 

Sales

(350)

(228)

 

 

(838)

(732)

14%

Surplus on disposal of fixed assets and investments

59

64

 

Share of profits from joint ventures

37

25

 

Change in value of investment property

4

7

 

Operating surplus

313

279

23%

Net interest charge

(100)

(117)

 

Other finance income/ (costs)

(2)

16

 

Taxation

(1)

1

 

Pre-exceptional surplus for the period after tax

210

179

17%

 

EBITDA and Net Cash Interest Paid

 

2021 (£m)

2020 (£m)

Change

Operating surplus

313

279

 

Change in value of investment property

(4)

(7)

 

Amortised government grant

(24)

(24)

 

Depreciation

97

91

 

Impairment

30

24

 

Capitalised major repairs

(30)

(61)

 

EBITDA

382

303

26%

 

 

 

 

Net interest charge

(100)

(117)

 

Capitalised interest

(48)

(42)

 

Net cash interest paid

(148)

(159)

(11%)

 

Statement of Financial Position

 

2021 (£m)

2020 (£m)

Change (£m)

Housing properties

10,855

10,555

330

Other fixed assets

78

81

(3)

Investments

1,590

1,622

(32)

Net current assets

512

926

(414)

Total assets less current liabilities

13,061

13,184

(123)

 

Loans due > one year

 

5,152

 

5,528

 

(376)

Unamortised grant liabilities

2,130

2,105

25

Other long term liabilities

342

324

18

Capital and reserves

5,437

5,227

210

Total non-current liabilities and reserves

13,061

13,184

(123)

 

Non-Sales Activities

 

2021

 (£m)

2020

(£m)

Change (£m)

Net rents receivable

630

590

40

Charges for support services

10

9

1

Amortised government grants

24

24

-

Other income

19

22

(3)

Turnover

683

645

38

Management costs

(59)

(64)

5

Service costs

(89)

(80)

(9)

Maintenance costs

(156)

(172)

16

Support costs

(13)

(10)

(3)

Depreciation & impairment

(121)

(103)

18

Other costs

(50)

(75)

25

Operating costs

(488)

(504)

16

Surplus on disposal of fixed assets

59

64

(5)

Operating surplus

254

205

49

 

Sales Activities

The cost of sales is inclusive of impairment, capitalised interest and overhead costs:

 

2021 (£m)

2020 (£m)

Change (£m)

Property sales income

277

177

100

Turnover from sales (excluding JV's)

368

270

98

Cost of property sales

(247)

(150)

(97)

Cost of land sales

(64)

(63)

(1)

Operating costs

(39)

(15)

(24)

Total costs (excluding JV's)

(350)

(228)

(122)

Operating Surplus (excluding JV's)

18

42

(24)

Joint venture turnover

218

263

(45)

Joint venture cost of sales

(178)

(228)

50

Joint venture operating costs

(3)

(10)

7

Share of profits from joint ventures

37

25

12

 

AVERAGE SELLING PRICE

 

The average selling price, including JV's, for outright market sales during the financial year to date was £495k (2020: 612k) of which 63% were conducted under Help to Buy (2020: 74%). The average selling price of first tranche shared ownership sales during the financial year to date was £427k (2020: 387k) with an average first tranche sale of 33% (2020: 34%).

 

SALES MARGINS

 

The cost of sales is inclusive of impairment, capitalised interest and overhead costs:

 

 

Shared

Owner-

ship

Outright

Sales (Non-JV)

Land Sales

Outright Sales (JV's)

2021

2020

Change

 

(£m)

(£m)

(£m)

(£m)

(£m)

(£m)

 

Turnover

66

211

91

218

586

533

53

Cost of sales

(54)

(193)

(64)

(178)

(489)

(441)

(48)

Gross profit

12

18

27

40

97

92

11

Gross margin

18%

9%

30%

18%

18%

17%

1%

Operating costs

(5)

(18)

(16)

(3)

(42)

(25)

(17)

Operating surplus

7

-

11

37

55

67

(12)

Net margin

11%

2%

13%

17%

10%

13%

(3%)

 

UNSOLD STOCK

 

As at 31st March 2021, L&Q, including joint ventures, held 575 completed homes as unsold stock with a projected revenue of £116m. Projected revenue for shared ownership assumes a first tranche sale of 25%. Of the total unsold stock, 31% has been held as stock for less than one month.

 

L&Q's forward order book excluding joint ventures consists of 65 exchanged sales with projected revenue of £9m and 215 reservations with projected revenue of £49m.

 

Tenure

Projected Revenue (£m)

No. of Units

<1 Month

1-3 Months

3-6 Months

6-12 Months

>12 Months

Shared Ownership

 46

 377

134

73

78

60

32

Commercial units

 2

1

0

0

0

0

1

Outright Sale (non-JV's)

 38

91

21

2

13

0

55

Total excluding JV's

 86

 469

155

75

91

60

88

Outright Sale (JV's)

 30

106

25

34

19

5

23

Total Joint Ventures

 30

106

25

34

19

5

23

Total Unsold Stock

 116

575

180

109

110

65

111

 

NET DEBT AND LIQUIDITY

 

As at 31 March 2021, net debt (excluding derivative financial liabilities) was £5,385m (as at 31 March 2020: £5,430m) and available liquidity within the group in the form of committed un-drawn revolving credit facilities and non-restricted cash was at £1,159m (as at 31 March 2020: £606m). Approximately 54% of L&Q's loan facilities and 65% of drawn loan facilities are at a fixed cost.

 

UNENCUMBERED ASSETS

 

 

2021

 

2020

No. of units under management

118,181

115,003

No. of private rented units provided as collateral against debt facilities

(1,107)

(1,107)

Total no. of unencumbered units under management

56,989

58,833

% of units under management held as collateral against debt facilities

52%

49%

Unencumbered asset ratio12

44%

42%

 

L&Q CREDIT RATINGS

 

As at date of trading statement release:

 

Rating Agency

S&P

Moody's

Fitch

Long-term credit ratings

A-/Stable

A3/Stable

A+/Negative

 

Notes:

1 Operating surplus - change in value of investment properties - amortised government grant + depreciation + impairment - capitalised major repairs +/- actuarial losses/gains in pension schemes

2 EBITDA / (turnover + turnover from joint ventures - amortised government grant)

3 EBITDA from non-sales activities / turnover from non-sales activities

4 Gross profit from sales / turnover from sales including joint ventures

5 Operating surplus from sales / turnover from sales including joint ventures

6 EBITDA / net cash interest paid

7 EBITDA from social housing lettings / net cash interest paid

8 Net debt (excluding derivative financial liabilities) / total assets less current liabilities

9 Gross debt / EBITDA

10 Sales turnover (including joint ventures) / (turnover plus turnover from joint ventures)

11 Capitalised development expenditure + acquisition of investment property + purchase of other fixed assets

12 100% less (loans due after more than 1 year + derivative liabilities + unamortised grant liability) / total assets less current liabilities

 

This trading update contains certain forward looking statements about the future outlook for L&Q. Although the Directors believe that these statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, any such statements should be treated with caution as future outlook may be influenced by factors that could cause actual outcomes and results to be materially different.

 

For further information, please contact:

investors@lqgroup.org.uk

 

James Howell, Head of External Affairs                    020 8189 1596

 

www.lqgroup.org.uk

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