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MediaAlpha Q4 revenue falls 3%

Overview

Insurance customer acquisition platform's Q4 revenue fell 3% yr/yr

Adjusted EBITDA for 2025 beat analyst expectations

Company doubled share repurchase authorization to $100 mln

Outlook

MediaAlpha expects Q1 2026 transaction value between $570 mln and $595 mln

Company anticipates Q1 2026 revenue between $285 mln and $305 mln

MediaAlpha forecasts Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA between $29.5 mln and $31.5 mln

Result Drivers

P&C GROWTH - Transaction Value in P&C insurance increased 38% yr/yr, driving overall transaction growth

HEALTH DECLINE - Health insurance Transaction Value decreased 40% yr/yr, impacting overall results

AI OPPORTUNITY - Co sees AI as a key driver for future customer acquisition efficiency, per CEO Steve Yi

Company press release: ID:nGNX7tbBcK

Key Details

MetricBeat/MissActualConsensus Estimate
FY RevenueSlight Miss*$1.11 bln$1.12 bln (7 Analysts)
FY Net Income$26.76 mln
FY Adjusted EBITDABeat$113.70 mln$111.90 mln (6 Analysts)
FY Gross Margin15.00%
FY Operating Income$22.12 mln
FY Pretax Profit-$111.06 mln
*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers. Analyst Coverage The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 6 "strong buy" or "buy", 2 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell" The average consensus recommendation for the online services peer group is "buy" Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Mediaalpha Inc is $15.00, about 91.3% above its February 20 closing price of $7.84 The stock recently traded at 8 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 15 three months ago For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com. (This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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