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NPI — Northland Power (Ontario) News Story

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Corrected: Canada's Northland Power Q2 adjusted EBITDA misses estimates

CORRECTED-Canada's Northland Power Q2 adjusted EBITDA misses estimates

Corrects to remove "Adjusted" from Free Cash Flow metric in table


Overview

  • Canada power producer's Q2 revenue was flat yr/yr, adjusted EBITDA rose 6%

  • Free cash flow per share fell, mainly due to prior yr one-time tax refund

  • Company achieved first power at Baltic Power and expanded Hai Long agreements


Outlook

  • Northland Power maintains 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of C$1.45 bln to C$1.65 bln

  • Company expects 2026 Free Cash Flow per share of C$1.05 to C$1.25

  • Company expects Gemini cable failure impact on 2026 results to be immaterial, net of insurance


Result Drivers

  • OFFSHORE WIND RESOURCE - Lower wind resource in Europe reduced production and revenue from offshore wind facilities

  • NEW PROJECT CONTRIBUTIONS - Higher adjusted EBITDA driven by contributions from Hai Long and Oneida energy storage projects

  • ONE-TIME TAX ITEM - Decline in free cash flow per share primarily due to absence of prior year one-time German tax refund


Company press release: ID:nGNXGDxhS


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Free Cash Flow

C$22.57 mln

Q2 EBIT

C$119.86 mln

Q2 Sales

Miss

C$509.86 mln

C$527.67 mln (3 Analysts)

Q2 Net Loss

C$53.51 mln

Q2 Adjusted EBITDA

Miss

C$258.88 mln

C$281.7 mln (8 Analysts)

Q2 Net Income Attributable

-C$61.84 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 7 "strong buy" or "buy", 5 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the independent power producers peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Northland Power Inc (Ontario) is C$26.00, about 19.2% above its August 11 closing price of C$21.81

  • The stock recently traded at 14 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 16 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Aug 12 - Canadian electricity utility Hydro One Q2 revenue, profit rise on higher OEB-approved rates, peak demand

  • Aug 12 - Australia's Origin Energy posts 22% drop in full-year profit

  • Aug 11 - Romania's Hidroelectrica first-half net profit jumps 62%


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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