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REG - South32 Limited - Quarterly Report: June 2025

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RNS Number : 8294R  South32 Limited  21 July 2025

QUARTERLY REPORT

June 2025

 

 

 

 

South32 Chief Executive Officer, Graham Kerr: "We delivered another strong
quarter of operating performance, exceeding the Group's FY25 production
guidance, driven by annual production growth of 20% in copper and 6% in
aluminium.

"Australia Manganese successfully resumed export shipments during the quarter,
marking a significant recovery from the impacts caused by Tropical Cyclone
Megan.

"We continued to streamline our portfolio toward higher-returning businesses,
completing the sale of Illawarra Metallurgical Coal in the first half and
agreeing to divest Cerro Matoso in July.

"We invested US$517M in our regional scale Hermosa project in FY25 to grow our
future base metals production. This quarter, we achieved key milestones at
Hermosa's Taylor zinc-lead-silver project, starting the main shaft sink and
construction activities for the process plant.

"With operating momentum, an upgraded portfolio, and a strong balance sheet,
we are well positioned to deliver growth and returns."

 

 ·                       Achieved 102% of current Group FY25 production guidance(1).
 ·                       Increased Group sales volumes(2) by 21% in the quarter, supporting a working
                         capital unwind of ~US$225M in H2 FY25.
 ·                       Expect to deliver FY25 Operating unit costs in line with current guidance.
 ·                       Aluminium production increased by 6% in FY25, as Brazil Aluminium continued to
                         ramp-up, while Mozal Aluminium operated near nameplate capacity in the
                         quarter, having successfully mitigated the impacts of civil unrest in
                         Mozambique.
 ·                       Alumina production was in line with FY25 guidance. Worsley Alumina commenced
                         mining new bauxite areas under the Worsley Mine Development Project, which is
                         expected to sustain production to at least FY36(3).
 ·                       Sierra Gorda payable copper equivalent production(4) increased by 20% in FY25,
                         exceeding guidance by 4%. We received US$54M in distributions from Sierra
                         Gorda in the quarter, bringing total returns to US$176M (South32 share) in
                         FY25.
 ·                       Cannington achieved revised FY25 production guidance, supported by improved
                         mining rates in the quarter. We are reviewing the mine plan in response to
                         increasing underground complexity and will provide an update with our FY25
                         results.
 ·                       Manganese production exceeded FY25 production guidance by 9%, as Australian
                         Manganese successfully completed its operational recovery plan and South
                         Africa Manganese had a strong finish to the year.
 ·                       Returned US$350M to shareholders in FY25 via fully-franked ordinary dividends
                         and our on-market share buy-back.
 ·                       Entered into a binding agreement to divest Cerro Matoso(5), which will further
                         streamline our portfolio toward minerals and metals critical to the world's
                         energy transition.
 ·                       Continued to engage with stakeholders on securing affordable electricity
                         supply to enable Mozal Aluminium to operate beyond March 2026. As previously
                         announced, we will recognise an impairment expense with our FY25 results(6).
 Production summary
                                                 3Q25          4Q25          FY25          FY25e((a))    % of FY25e((a))
 Worsley Alumina (kt)                            941           936           3,727         3,750                     99%
 Brazil Alumina (non-operated) (kt)              324           334           1,340         1,350                     99%
 Brazil Aluminium (non-operated) (kt)            36            38            138           130                           106%
 Hillside Aluminium (kt)(7)                      175           181           718           720                           100%
 Mozal Aluminium (kt)(7)                         87            90            355           350                           101%
 Sierra Gorda (non-operated) (CuEq) (kt)(4)      19.8          21.9          88.1          84.8                          104%
 Cannington (ZnEq) (kt)(8)                       50.2          61.8          241.9         239.2                         101%
 Cerro Matoso (kt)                               8.9           9.7           37.1          35.0                          106%
 Australia Manganese (kwmt)                      -             467           1,106         1,000                         111%
 South Africa Manganese (kwmt)                   476           593           2,151         2,000                         108%
 (a) The denotation (e) refers to an estimate or forecast year.

 

CORPORATE UPDATE

 ·   We continue to implement our multi-year Safety Improvement Program, including
     investment in safety leadership through our Lead Safely Every Day (LSED)
     program, to deliver measurable improvements in safety performance.  In FY25,
     more than 95% of our frontline employees completed the LSED program.
 ·   On 3 June 2025, Samancor Manganese Proprietary Limited completed the
     divestment of the Metalloys manganese alloy smelter(9). We will recognise a
     gain on sale of ~US$44M (~US$46M post-tax) (South32 share) in our FY25 results
     as a result of the transaction, which will be excluded from Underlying
     earnings.
 ·   On 7 July 2025, we announced a binding agreement to divest Cerro Matoso for
     nominal upfront consideration and future cash payments of up to US$100M(5).
     The transaction is expected to complete in late H1 FY26, subject to the
     satisfaction or waiver of certain conditions. We will recognise an impairment
     expense of ~US$130M (same amount post-tax) in our FY25 results as a result of
     the transaction, which will be excluded from Underlying earnings.
 ·   On 14 July 2025, we announced that we would recognise an impairment expense
     for Mozal Aluminium in our FY25 results due to increased uncertainty regarding
     future electricity supply to the smelter(6). We will provide the quantum of
     the impairment expense when the assessment is completed.
 ·   We delivered a strong sales result in the June 2025 quarter, drawing down
     inventory in our aluminium value chain.  We expect to record a working
     capital unwind of ~US$225M in H2 FY25 (H1 FY25: build of US$267M).
 ·   We received distributions(10) of US$176M (South32 share) from our Sierra Gorda
     equity accounted investment (EAI) in FY25, including US$54M (South32 share) in
     the June 2025 quarter, as the operation increased annual production volumes(4)
     by 20%.
 ·   We provided net funding of US$110M (South32 share) to our manganese EAI in
     FY25, including US$47M (South32 share) in the June 2025 quarter, primarily to
     support the operational recovery plan at Australia Manganese.
 ·   Australia Manganese received US$350M (100% basis) of external insurance
     payments in FY25, following the impacts of Tropical Cyclone Megan. We continue
     to work with our insurers regarding further insurance recoveries.
 ·   FY25 Group capital expenditure (excluding EAIs and Hermosa) is expected to be
     US$400M, including US$57M at Illawarra Metallurgical Coal prior to its
     divestment in August 2024(11).
 ·   We made Group tax payments (excluding EAIs) of US$236M in FY25.
 ·   We returned US$350M to shareholders during FY25, including US$294M(12) in
     fully-franked ordinary dividends and US$56M via our on-market share
     buy-back(13). Our US$2.5B capital management program is 94% complete with
     US$144M to be returned to shareholders ahead of its extension or expiry on 12
     September 2025(14).
 ·   FY25 Group and unallocated expense in Underlying EBIT is expected to be
     ~US$150M, primarily reflecting the impact of inter-group inventory adjustments
     in our aluminium value chain.
 ·   FY25 Group Underlying effective tax rate (ETR) (including EAIs) is expected to
     be ~35%, reflecting the corporate tax rates(15) and royalty related taxes(16)
     of the jurisdictions in which we operate and our geographical earnings mix.

DEVELOPMENT AND EXPLORATION UPDATE

Hermosa project

 ·   We invested US$517M(17) of growth capital expenditure at Hermosa in FY25, as
     we progressed construction of the Taylor zinc-lead-silver project and an
     exploration decline for the Clark battery-grade manganese deposit.  Lease
     payments for self generated power assets were US$19M in FY25.
 ·   A key milestone in the FAST-41 federal permitting process for Hermosa was
     achieved during the June 2025 quarter, with the US Forest Service releasing a
     Draft Environmental Impact Statement (EIS). A Final EIS remains on track for
     H2 FY26.
 ·   At Taylor, we commenced sinking the main shaft and continued sinking the
     ventilation shaft during the June 2025 quarter. We also commenced construction
     activities for the process plant during the June 2025 quarter.
 ·   Construction of the exploration decline for Clark remains on track to be
     completed by the end of CY25.
 ·   We invested US$35M in capitalised exploration in FY25 as we continued to test
     the potential for a continuous mineralised system connecting the Peake copper
     deposit and Taylor Deeps. We reported an updated Exploration Target for Peake
     of 35Mt(18) (mid case) during the June 2025 quarter, highlighting the
     potential for a large copper system. Exploration drilling and concept study
     work for Peake will continue in FY26.

Greenfield exploration

 ·   We invested US$35M in our greenfield exploration opportunities in FY25 as we
     progressed multiple exploration programs targeting base metals in highly
     prospective regions.

Other exploration

 ·   We invested US$63M (US$53M capitalised) in exploration programs at our
     existing operations and development options in FY25, including US$35M at the
     Hermosa project (noted above, all capitalised), US$13M for our Sierra Gorda
     EAI (all capitalised) and US$5M for our manganese EAI (nil capitalised).

MARKETING UPDATE

The average realised prices achieved for our commodities are summarised below.
Provisionally priced sales were revalued at 30 June 2025 with the final price
of these to be determined in the December 2025 half year.

 Realised prices(19)
                                       FY24   1H25   2H25   FY25   FY25                                                 2H25

                                                                   vs                                                   vs

                                                                   FY24                                                 1H25
 Worsley Alumina
 Alumina (US$/t)                       360    512    524    518                44%                                               2%
 Brazil Alumina (non-operated)((a))
 Alumina (US$/t)                       378    590    518    555                47%                                                              (12%)
 Brazil Aluminium (non-operated)((a))
 Aluminium (US$/t)                     2,373  2,508  2,623  2,572           8%                                                   5%
 Hillside Aluminium
 Aluminium (US$/t)                     2,389  2,687  2,748  2,717              14%                                               2%
 Mozal Aluminium
 Aluminium (US$/t)                     2,491  2,805  2,774  2,789              12%                                                              (1%)
 Sierra Gorda (non-operated)(20(a))
 Payable copper (US$/lb)               3.86   3.83   4.56   4.18            8%                                                      19%
 Payable molybdenum (US$/lb)           20.60  21.68  20.44  21.12           2%                                                                  (6%)
 Payable gold (US$/oz)                 2,129  2,593  3,252  2,877              35%                                                  25%
 Payable silver (US$/oz)               24.8   31.5   31.9   31.7               28%                                               1%
 Cannington(20)
 Payable silver (US$/oz)               24.8   29.4   34.2   31.9               29%                                                  16%
 Payable lead (US$/t)                  2,002  1,823  1,956  1,883                          (6%)                                  7%
 Payable zinc (US$/t)                  2,230  2,739  2,555  2,648              19%                                                              (7%)
 Cerro Matoso(21)
 Payable nickel (US$/lb)               6.17   6.12   5.87   5.99                           (3%)                                                 (5%)
 Australia Manganese(22)
 Manganese ore (US$/dmtu, FOB)         3.77   -      3.68   3.68                           (2%)                         N/A
 South Africa Manganese(22)
 Manganese ore (US$/dmtu, FOB)         3.53   3.85   3.57   3.71            5%                                                                  (7%)

a.         While Brazil Alumina and Brazil Aluminium are non-operated,
South32 owns the marketing rights for our share of production. While Sierra
Gorda is also non-operated, the Joint Venture is responsible for marketing our
share of production.

 

 

OPERATING UNIT COST UPDATE

FY25 Operating unit costs are expected to be in line with guidance, driven by
strong operating performance and our continued focus on delivering cost
efficiencies.

The below commentary reflects our current expectations for FY25 Operating unit
costs. We will report FY25 Operating unit costs with our FY25 results
announcement.

 Operating unit cost((a))
                                  Current Guidance FY25e((b)(c))                                                                    FY25 Operating unit cost commentary

 Worsley Alumina
 (US$/t)                          305                                                                                               FY25: expected to be in line with FY25 guidance.
 Brazil Alumina (non-operated)
                                  Not                                                                                               FY25: expected to be largely consistent with H1 FY25 (US$320/t).

                                  provided
 Brazil Aluminium (non-operated)
                                  Not                                                                                               FY25e: expected to be ~5% below H1 FY25 Operating unit costs (US$3,377/t), as

                                                                                                 the smelter continued to ramp-up all three potlines.
                                  provided
 Hillside Aluminium

                                  Not

                                  provided
                                                    The cost profile of Hillside Aluminium and Mozal Aluminium is heavily
                                                    influenced by the South African rand, and the price of raw materials and
                                                    energy.

                                                    Hillside Aluminium FY25: expected to be ~7% above H1 FY25 (US$2,351/t) due to
                                                    higher priced alumina from Worsley Alumina in H2 FY25.

                                                    Mozal Aluminium FY25: expected to be largely consistent with H1 FY25
                                                    (US$2,425/t).
 Mozal Aluminium

 Sierra Gorda (non-operated)
 (US$/t)((d))                     16.0                                                                                              FY25: expected to be in line with FY25 guidance.
 Cannington
 (US$/t)((d))                     195                                                                                               FY25: expected to be in line with FY25 guidance.
 Cerro Matoso
 (US$/lb)                         5.35                                                                                              FY25: expected to be ~5% below FY25 guidance.
 Australia Manganese
                                  Not                                                                                               Australia Manganese is expected to report an Underlying EBITDA loss of

                                                                                                 ~US$100M to ~US$120M (South32 share) in FY25, as the operation restarted
                                  provided                                                                                          following the impacts of Tropical Cyclone Megan.

                                                                                                                                    Separately, idle capacity and remediation related costs of ~US$135M (South32
                                                                                                                                    share) will be excluded from Underlying earnings in FY25 as an earnings
                                                                                                                                    adjustment.
 South Africa Manganese
 (US$/dmtu, FOB)                  3.00                                                                                              FY25: expected to be in line with FY25 guidance.

a.         Operating unit cost is Revenue less Underlying EBITDA,
excluding third party sales, divided by sales volumes.

b.         FY25e Operating unit cost guidance includes royalties
(where appropriate) and commodity price and foreign exchange rate forward
curves or our

internal expectations (refer to footnote 23).

c.         The denotation (e) refers to an estimate or forecast year.

d.         US dollar per tonne of ore processed. Periodic movements in
finished product inventory may impact Operating unit costs.

 

 

WORSLEY ALUMINA (86% SHARE)

 South32 share            FY24   FY25   YoY                                                      4Q24  3Q25  4Q25   4Q25                                 4Q25

                                                                                                                    vs                                   vs

                                                                                                                    4Q24                                 3Q25
 Alumina production (kt)  3,777  3,727                          (1%)                             916   941   936             2%                                                  (1%)
 Alumina sales (kt)       3,767  3,699                          (2%)                             974   910   1,000           3%                                      10%

Worsley Alumina saleable production decreased by 1% (or 50kt) to 3,727kt in
FY25, as the operation managed constrained bauxite supply ahead of receiving
environmental approvals for the Worsley Mine Development Project
(Project)(24).  We commenced mining new bauxite areas under the Project, near
our existing operations, in the June 2025 quarter, leading to improved bauxite
availability. FY26 production guidance remains unchanged at 3,750kt. The
refinery is expected to operate near nameplate capacity (4.6Mtpa, 100% basis)
from FY27, with improved access to bauxite enabled by the Project.

 

BRAZIL ALUMINA (36% SHARE, NON-OPERATED)

 South32 share            FY24   FY25   YoY                                      4Q24  3Q25  4Q25  4Q25                                                 4Q25

                                                                                                   vs                                                   vs

                                                                                                   4Q24                                                 3Q25
 Alumina production (kt)  1,286  1,340           4%                              333   324   334            0%                                                   3%
 Alumina sales (kt)       1,282  1,349           5%                              358   323   335                           (6%)                                  4%

Brazil Alumina saleable production increased by 4% (or 54kt) to 1,340kt in
FY25, as the refinery benefitted from improved plant availability. Despite
lower feed rates due to wet weather impacts in H2 FY25, the refinery achieved
99% of FY25 production guidance. Production volumes are expected to be largely
unchanged in FY26 with guidance revised to 1,360kt (from 1,380kt).

 

BRAZIL ALUMINIUM (40% SHARE, NON-OPERATED)

 South32 share              FY24  FY25  YoY                                 4Q24  3Q25  4Q25  4Q25                            4Q25

                                                                                              vs                              vs

                                                                                              4Q24                            3Q25
 Aluminium production (kt)  104   138               33%                     28    36    38                36%                          6%
 Aluminium sales (kt)       102   138               35%                     30    31    46                53%                             48%

Brazil Aluminium saleable production increased by 33% (or 34kt) to 138kt in
FY25, exceeding guidance by 6%, as the smelter continued to ramp-up all three
potlines. FY26 production guidance remains unchanged at 160kt.

Sales increased by 48% in the June 2025 quarter due to a carry-over export
shipment from the prior quarter.

 

HILLSIDE ALUMINIUM (100% SHARE)

 South32 share              FY24  FY25  YoY                                    4Q24  3Q25  4Q25  4Q25                                 4Q25

                                                                                                 vs                                   vs

                                                                                                 4Q24                                 3Q25
 Aluminium production (kt)  720   718              (0%)                        180   175   181            1%                                   3%
 Aluminium sales (kt)       720   732             2%                           184   171   194            5%                                      13%

Hillside Aluminium saleable production was largely unchanged at 718kt in FY25,
as the smelter continued to test its maximum technical capacity, despite the
impact of load-shedding. FY26 production guidance remains unchanged at
720kt(7).

Sales increased by 13% in the June 2025 quarter as we drew down inventory.

 

MOZAL ALUMINIUM (63.7% SHARE)

 South32 share              FY24  FY25  YoY                                      4Q24  3Q25  4Q25  4Q25                                 4Q25

                                                                                                   vs                                   vs

                                                                                                   4Q24                                 3Q25
 Aluminium production (kt)  314   355               13%                          77    87    90                17%                               3%
 Aluminium sales (kt)       326   351            8%                              101   72    105            4%                                      46%

Mozal Aluminium saleable production increased by 13% (or 41kt) to 355kt in
FY25, as the smelter completed its operational recovery plan and operated near
nameplate capacity in the June 2025 quarter, having successfully managed the
impacts of civil unrest in Mozambique.

Sales increased by 46% in the June 2025 quarter as improved product
availability supported a planned draw down of inventory.

We are continuing to engage with the Government of the Republic of Mozambique,
Hidroeléctrica de Cahora Bassa and Eskom on securing affordable electricity
supply to enable Mozal Aluminium to operate beyond March 2026 and maintain its
substantial contribution to the economy of Mozambique(6). Given the
uncertainty of operating beyond March 2026, FY26 production guidance remains
under review.

 

SIERRA GORDA (45% SHARE, NON-OPERATED)

 South32 share                                 FY24  FY25  YoY                                 4Q24  3Q25  4Q25  4Q25                            4Q25

                                                                                                                 vs                              vs

                                                                                                                 4Q24                            3Q25
 Payable copper equivalent production (kt)(4)  73.5  88.1              20%                     18.4  19.8  21.9              19%                             11%
 Payable copper production (kt)                60.8  71.4              17%                     15.3  17.0  17.7              16%                          4%
 Payable copper sales (kt)                     60.9  72.9              20%                     15.3  16.9  18.1              18%                          7%

Sierra Gorda payable copper equivalent production(4) increased by 20% (or
14.6kt) to 88.1kt in FY25, exceeding guidance by 4%, as the operation realised
higher copper grades and improved molybdenum recoveries.

FY26 payable copper equivalent production(4) guidance is revised to 84.7kt
(from 86.1kt) reflecting expected metal grades(25).

 

CANNINGTON (100% SHARE)

 South32 share                               FY24    FY25    YoY                                                       4Q24   3Q25   4Q25   4Q25                                                  4Q25

                                                                                                                                            vs                                                    vs

                                                                                                                                            4Q24                                                  3Q25
 Payable zinc equivalent production (kt)(8)  302.5   241.9                           (20%)                             77.3   50.2   61.8                           (20%)                                     23%
 Payable silver production (koz)             12,666  10,292                          (19%)                             3,065  2,099  2,578                          (16%)                                     23%
 Payable silver sales (koz)                  11,793  11,019                          (7%)                              3,054  2,494  3,056           0%                                                       23%
 Payable lead production (kt)                112.4   92.4                            (18%)                             28.8   17.7   25.1                           (13%)                                     42%
 Payable lead sales (kt)                     102.4   99.3                            (3%)                              27.9   19.8   25.2                           (10%)                                     27%
 Payable zinc production (kt)                60.7    44.5                            (27%)                             17.4   11.0   10.6                           (39%)                                                 (4%)
 Payable zinc sales (kt)                     60.1    45.7                            (24%)                             20.2   9.6    13.1                           (35%)                                     36%

Cannington payable zinc equivalent production(8) decreased by 20% (or 60.6kt)
to 241.9kt in FY25, as the operation continued to manage increased underground
activity and complexity. Average metal grades also declined in accordance with
the mine plan. Production increased by 23% in the June 2025 quarter, supported
by improved underground mining rates following weather related disruptions in
the prior quarter, in line with revised FY25 production guidance.

During the June 2025 quarter, we progressed work to assess the optimal mine
plan to manage increased underground complexity and deliver sustainable
production volumes over the remaining mine life. We will provide an update on
this work and revised FY26 production guidance with our FY25 results
announcement.

 

CERRO MATOSO (99.9% SHARE)

 South32 share                   FY24  FY25  YoY                                                       4Q24  3Q25  4Q25  4Q25                                                  4Q25

                                                                                                                         vs                                                    vs

                                                                                                                         4Q24                                                  3Q25
 Payable nickel production (kt)  40.6  37.1                          (9%)                              11.5  8.9   9.7                           (16%)                                  9%
 Payable nickel sales (kt)       40.9  36.7                          (10%)                             12.1  9.2   9.8                           (19%)                                  7%

Cerro Matoso payable nickel production decreased by 9% (or 3.5kt) to 37.1kt in
FY25 due to lower planned nickel grades. Production improved by 9% in the June
2025 quarter and the operation exceeded FY25 production guidance by 6% as it
achieved higher plant utilisation and recoveries.

Sales increased by 7% in the June 2025 quarter. Price realisations for our
ferronickel product in FY25 reflected a discount of ~16% to the LME Nickel
Index(26).

The divestment of Cerro Matoso is expected to complete in late H1 FY26,
subject to the satisfaction or waiver of certain conditions(5). Payable nickel
production in H1 FY26 is expected to be approximately 16.0kt.

 

AUSTRALIA MANGANESE (60% SHARE)

 South32 share                    FY24   FY25   YoY      4Q24  3Q25  4Q25  4Q25   4Q25

                                                                           vs     vs

                                                                           4Q24   3Q25
 Manganese ore production (kwmt)  2,324  1,106  N/A      -     -     467   N/A    N/A
 Manganese ore sales (kwmt)       2,573  253    N/A      -     -     253   N/A    N/A

Australia Manganese saleable production was 1,106kwmt in FY25, as we
successfully resumed operations following the impacts of Tropical Cyclone
Megan in the March 2024 quarter. The operation exceeded FY25 production
guidance by 11% with the primary concentrator restarting in the June 2025
quarter. The operation is expected to deliver normalised production rates in
FY26, with production guidance unchanged at 3,200kwmt.

Export shipments recommenced in the quarter as planned, following completion
of the wharf construction in May 2025. Shipping rates are expected to reach
full capacity in the September 2025 quarter.

During the quarter, we finalised a new enterprise agreement to December 2027
for covered employees of Groote Eylandt Mining Company.

 

SOUTH AFRICA MANGANESE (ORE 54.6% SHARE)

 South32 share                    FY24   FY25   YoY                                                      4Q24  3Q25  4Q25  4Q25                                 4Q25

                                                                                                                           vs                                   vs

                                                                                                                           4Q24                                 3Q25
 Manganese ore production (kwmt)  2,175  2,151                          (1%)                             534   476   593               11%                                  25%
 Manganese ore sales (kwmt)       2,116  2,096                          (1%)                             549   407   601            9%                                      48%

South Africa Manganese saleable production was largely unchanged at 2,151kwmt
in FY25. The operation delivered a strong finish to the year, with production
increasing by 25% in the June 2025 quarter following the prior period's
planned maintenance shut, exceeding FY25 production guidance by 8%. While we
will continue to monitor and respond to market conditions, FY26 production
guidance remains unchanged at 2,000kwmt.

Sales increased by 48% in the June 2025 quarter due to carry-over shipments
from the prior quarter. We realised a ~11% premium to the medium grade 37%
manganese lump ore index(27) as we optimised our sales mix.

 

 

NOTES

 1.   Group FY25 and current FY25e payable copper equivalent production, calculated
      by applying FY24 realised prices for all operations.
 2.   Group 4Q25 as compared to 3Q25 payable copper equivalent sales, calculated by
      applying FY24 realised prices for all operations.
 3.   Subject to receipt of any necessary secondary approvals. The information in
      this announcement that refers to Production Target and forecast financial
      information for Worsley Alumina is based on Proved (84%) and Probable (16%)
      Ore Reserves. The Ore Reserves underpinning the Production Target have been
      prepared by U Sandilands and reported in accordance with the JORC Code and is
      available to view in the South32 2024 Annual Report (www.south32.net)
      published on 29 August 2024. South32 confirms that all material assumptions
      underpinning the Production Target and forecast financial information derived
      from the Production Target continues to apply and have not materially changed.
 4.   Payable copper equivalent production (CuEq) (kt) was calculated by aggregating
      revenues from copper, molybdenum, gold and silver, and dividing the total
      Revenue by the price of copper. FY24 realised prices for copper (US$3.86/lb),
      molybdenum (US$20.60/lb), gold (US$2,129/oz) and silver (US$24.8/oz) have been
      used for FY24, FY25, FY25e and FY26e.
 5.   Refer to market release "Agreement to Divest Cerro Matoso" dated 7 July 2025.
 6.   Refer to market release "Mozal Aluminium Update" dated 14 July 2025.
 7.   Production guidance for Hillside Aluminium and Mozal Aluminium does not assume
      any load-shedding impact on production.
 8.   Payable zinc equivalent production (ZnEq) (kt) was calculated by aggregating
      revenues from silver, lead and zinc, and dividing the total Revenue by the
      price of zinc.  FY24 realised prices for zinc (US$2,230/t), lead (US$2,002/t)
      and silver (US$24.8/oz) have been used for FY24, FY25 and FY25e.
 9.   Refer to media release "Completion of Metalloys Manganese Alloy Smelter
      Divestment" dated 3 June 2025.
 10.  Net distributions from our material equity accounted investments (EAI)
      (manganese and Sierra Gorda) includes dividends, capital contributions and net
      repayments/drawdowns of shareholder loans, which are unaudited and should not
      be considered as an indication of or alternative to an IFRS measure of
      profitability, financial performance or liquidity.
 11.  Refer to market release "Completion of Illawarra Metallurgical Coal Sale"
      dated 29 August 2024.
 12.  Comprised of US$140M in respect of the June 2024 half year paid in the
      December 2024 quarter and US$154M in respect of the December 2024 half year
      paid in the June 2025 quarter.
 13.  We returned US$56M via the on-market share buy-back in FY25, purchasing 26M
      shares at an average price of A$3.39 per share.
 14.  Since inception of our capital management program, US$1.8B has been allocated
      to our on-market share buy-back (820M shares at an average price of A$3.06 per
      share) and US$525M returned in the form of special dividends.
 15.  The corporate tax rates of the geographies where the Group operates include:
      Australia 30%, South Africa 27%, Colombia 35%, Mozambique 0%, Brazil 34%, and
      Chile 27%. The Mozambique operations are subject to a royalty on revenues
      instead of income tax.
 16.  Australia Manganese is subject to a royalty related tax equal to 20% of
      adjusted EBIT. Sierra Gorda is subject to a royalty related tax based on the
      amount of copper sold and the mining operating margin, the rate is between 5%
      and 14% for annual sales over 50kt of refined copper. These royalties are
      included in Underlying tax expense.
 17.  Hermosa growth capital expenditure excludes lease payments for self generated
      power assets directly attributable to construction of infrastructure at the
      Taylor deposit. These self generated power costs were included in our capital
      cost estimate provided in market release "Final Investment Approval to Develop
      Hermosa's Taylor Deposit" dated 15 February 2024.
 18.  Exploration Target ranges from a low case of 23Mt to a high case of 55Mt. The
      information in this announcement that relates to Exploration Target for the
      Peake deposit is based on information compiled by R Wilson which was
      originally disclosed in the "Strategy and Business Update" dated 13 May 2025
      and is available to view in www.south32.net. South32 confirms that it is not
      aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information
      included in the original announcement. South32 confirms that the form and
      context in which the Competent Person's findings are presented have not been
      materially modified from the original announcement.
 19.  Realised prices are unaudited. Volumes and prices do not include any third
      party trading that may be undertaken independently of equity production.
      Realised sales price is calculated as sales Revenue divided by sales volume
      unless otherwise stated.
 20.  Realised prices for Sierra Gorda and Cannington are net of treatment and
      refining charges.
 21.  Realised nickel sales prices are inclusive of by-products.
 22.  Realised ore prices are calculated as external sales Revenue less freight and
      marketing costs, divided by external sales volume.
 23.  FY25 Operating unit cost guidance includes royalties (where appropriate) and
      the influence of exchange rates, and includes various assumptions for FY25,
      including: an alumina price of US$520/t; a manganese ore price of US$5.10/dmtu
      for 44% manganese product; a nickel price of US$7.10/lb; a silver price of
      US$30.5/oz; a lead price of US$2,070/t (gross of treatment and refining
      charges); a zinc price of US$3,000/t (gross of treatment and refining
      charges); a copper price of US$4.30/lb (gross of treatment and refining
      charges); a molybdenum price of US$20.50/lb (gross of treatment and refining
      charges); a gold price of US$2,550/oz; an AUD:USD exchange rate of 0.64; a
      USD:ZAR exchange rate of 18.50; a USD:COP exchange rate of 4,200; USD:CLP
      exchange rate of 950; and a reference price for caustic soda; which reflect
      forward markets as at February 2025 or our internal expectations.
 24.  Refer to market release "Worsley Mine Development Project Receives State
      Approval" dated 20 December 2024 and "Worsley Mine Development Project
      Receives Federal Approval" dated 12 February 2025.
 25.  FY26 production guidance of ore processed 21.8Mt, copper 72.0kt, molybdenum
      1.2kt,  gold 18.0koz and silver 600koz (from ore processed 22.0Mt, copper
      74.0kt, molybdenum 1.0kt,  gold 20.0koz and silver 600koz).
 26.  Our realised price for nickel sales in FY25 was US$5.99/lb, which represented
      a ~16% discount to the average LME Nickel Index price of US$7.14/lb.
 27.  The sales volume weighted average of the Metal Bulletin 37% manganese lump ore
      index (FOB Port Elizabeth, South Africa) was US$3.33/dmtu in FY25.

The following abbreviations have been used throughout this report: US$ million
(US$M); US$ billion (US$B); grams per tonne (g/t); tonnes (t); thousand tonnes
(kt); thousand tonnes per annum (ktpa); million tonnes (Mt); million tonnes
per annum (Mtpa); ounces (oz); thousand ounces (koz); million ounces (Moz);
thousand wet metric tonnes (kwmt); million wet metric tonnes (Mwmt); million
wet metric tonnes per annum (Mwmt pa); dry metric tonne unit (dmtu); thousand
dry metric tonnes (kdmt).

Figures in Italics indicate that an adjustment has been made since the figures
were previously reported. The denotation (e) refers to an estimate or forecast
year.

 

OPERATING PERFORMANCE

 South32 share                                 FY24   FY25       4Q24  1Q25  2Q25   3Q25  4Q25
 Worsley Alumina (86% share)
 Alumina hydrate production (kt)               3,779  3,725      919   932   940    931   922
 Alumina production (kt)                       3,777  3,727      916   850   1,000  941   936
 Alumina sales (kt)                            3,767  3,699      974   824   965    910   1,000
 Brazil Alumina (36% share)
 Alumina production (kt)                       1,286  1,340      333   334   348    324   334
 Alumina sales (kt)                            1,282  1,349      358   326   365    323   335
 Brazil Aluminium (40% share)
 Aluminium production (kt)                     104    138        28    30    34     36    38
 Aluminium sales (kt)                          102    138        30    25    36     31    46
 Hillside Aluminium (100% share)
 Aluminium production (kt)                     720    718        180   180   182    175   181
 Aluminium sales (kt)                          720    732        184   175   192    171   194
 Mozal Aluminium (63.7% share)
 Aluminium production (kt)                     314    355        77    88    90     87    90
 Aluminium sales (kt)                          326    351        101   86    88     72    105
 Sierra Gorda (45% share)
 Ore mined (Mt)                                19.9   23.0       4.9   6.4   6.2    4.9   5.5
 Ore processed (Mt)                            21.9   21.7       5.5   5.6   5.5    5.2   5.4
 Copper ore grade processed (%, Cu)            0.36   0.42       0.37  0.41  0.44   0.42  0.40
 Payable copper equivalent production (kt)(4)  73.5   88.1       18.4  22.1  24.3   19.8  21.9
 Payable copper production (kt)                60.8   71.4       15.3  17.6  19.1   17.0  17.7
 Payable copper sales (kt)                     60.9   72.9       15.3  17.9  20.0   16.9  18.1
 Payable molybdenum production (kt)            0.9    1.5        0.2   0.4   0.5    0.2   0.4
 Payable molybdenum sales (kt)                 1.3    1.3        0.2   0.2   0.5    0.3   0.3
 Payable gold production (koz)                 24.6   27.9       5.9   7.7   8.2    5.7   6.3
 Payable gold sales (koz)                      24.9   28.5       5.9   7.8   8.4    6.0   6.3
 Payable silver production (koz)               607    584        159   151   150    131   152
 Payable silver sales (koz)                    605    599        164   157   160    130   152

 

 South32 share                               FY24    FY25        4Q24   1Q25   2Q25   3Q25   4Q25
 Cannington (100% share)
 Ore mined (kwmt)                            2,252   1,960       573    438    561    457    504
 Ore processed (kdmt)                        2,221   1,944       557    440    542    427    535
 Silver ore grade processed (g/t, Ag)        205     191         199    163    241    176    175
 Lead ore grade processed (%, Pb)            5.9     5.6         5.9    5.1    6.5    5.0    5.6
 Zinc ore grade processed (%, Zn)            3.7     3.1         4.1    3.7    2.8    3.4    2.8
 Payable zinc equivalent production (kt)(8)  302.5   241.9       77.3   50.7   79.2   50.2   61.8
 Payable silver production (koz)             12,666  10,292      3,065  1,915  3,700  2,099  2,578
 Payable silver sales (koz)                  11,793  11,019      3,054  2,342  3,127  2,494  3,056
 Payable lead production (kt)                112.4   92.4        28.8   19.3   30.3   17.7   25.1
 Payable lead sales (kt)                     102.4   99.3        27.9   25.1   29.2   19.8   25.2
 Payable zinc production (kt)                60.7    44.5        17.4   12.1   10.8   11.0   10.6
 Payable zinc sales (kt)                     60.1    45.7        20.2   12.6   10.4   9.6    13.1
 Cerro Matoso (99.9% share)
 Ore mined (kwmt)                            5,195   4,853       1,526  1,338  1,310  1,076  1,129
 Ore processed (kdmt)                        2,774   2,785       746    664    732    675    714
 Ore grade processed (%, Ni)                 1.60    1.48        1.70   1.46   1.49   1.48   1.47
 Payable nickel production (kt)              40.6    37.1        11.5   8.6    9.9    8.9    9.7
 Payable nickel sales (kt)                   40.9    36.7        12.1   8.8    8.9    9.2    9.8
 Australia Manganese (60% share)
 Manganese ore production (kwmt)             2,324   1,106       -      -      639    -      467
 Manganese ore sales (kwmt)                  2,573   253         -      -      -      -      253
 Ore grade sold (%, Mn)                      42.5    41.7        -      -      -      -      41.7
 South Africa Manganese (54.6% share)
 Manganese ore production (kwmt)             2,175   2,151       534    597    485    476    593
 Manganese ore sales (kwmt)                  2,116   2,096       549    590    498    407    601
 Ore grade sold (%, Mn)                      38.8    38.9        39.1   38.9   39.1   38.9   38.7

 

Forward-looking statements

This release contains forward-looking statements, including statements about
trends in commodity prices and currency exchange rates; demand for
commodities; production forecasts; plans, strategies and objectives of
management; capital costs and scheduling; operating costs; anticipated
productive lives of projects, mines and facilities; and provisions and
contingent liabilities. These forward-looking statements reflect expectations
at the date of this release, however they are not guarantees or predictions of
future performance. They involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and
other factors, many of which are beyond our control, and which may cause
actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the statements
contained in this release. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on
forward-looking statements. Except as required by applicable laws or
regulations, the South32 Group does not undertake to publicly update or review
any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information or
future events.  Past performance cannot be relied on as a guide to future
performance. South32 cautions against reliance on any forward-looking
statements or guidance.

 

FURTHER INFORMATION

 

 INVESTOR RELATIONS            MEDIA RELATIONS

 Ben Baker                     Jamie Macdonald

M  +61 408 925 140
 M  +61 403 763 086

                             E   Jamie.Macdonald@south32.net
 E   Ben.Baker@south32.net

 

Approved for release to the market by Graham Kerr, Chief Executive Officer

JSE Sponsor: The Standard Bank of South Africa Limited

21 July 2025

 

South32 Limited

(Incorporated in Australia under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth))

(ACN 093 732 597)

ASX / LSE / JSE Share Code: S32; ADR: SOUHY

ISIN: AU000000S320

 

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