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REG - South32 Limited - Quarterly Report: September 2024

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RNS Number : 8871I  South32 Limited  21 October 2024

QUARTERLY REPORT

September 2024

 

 

South32 Chief Executive Officer, Graham Kerr: "We were devastated by the loss
of Mr José Luis Pérez, who was fatally injured in an incident at Cerro
Matoso on 17 September and we express our sincere and deepest sympathies to
his family, friends and colleagues.

"We remain committed to improving our safety performance. We continue to
implement our Safety Improvement Program, which will help us to achieve a step
change in our performance so that everyone goes home safe and well every day.

"We have maintained annual production guidance for all of our operations with
a strong start to the year in aluminium and a 20 per cent uplift in copper
equivalent volumes from Sierra Gorda.

"Completing the sale of Illawarra Metallurgical Coal is a major milestone in
our portfolio transformation which has unlocked significant value and
streamlined our business toward commodities critical for a low-carbon future.

"The sale has also lowered our sustaining capital intensity and strengthened
our financial position, enabling us to self fund our growth in base metals and
deliver returns to shareholders via our on-market share buy-back.

"At Hermosa, construction of our large-scale, long-life Taylor
zinc-lead-silver project is progressing as planned and we are continuing to
unlock value across our broader land package.

"During the quarter, Hermosa was selected for a US$166 million award
negotiation from the US Department of Energy, which recognises Clark's
potential to supply battery-grade manganese for the emerging North American
market.

"Our transformed portfolio, focused on copper, zinc and our aluminium value
chain, leaves us well placed to capitalise on the global energy transition and
stronger market conditions to start the year."

 ·                 Completed the sale of Illawarra Metallurgical Coal and received upfront cash
                   proceeds of US$964M(1).
 ·                 Expanded our capital management program by US$200M and commenced our on-market
                   share buy-back.
 ·                 Maintained FY25 production guidance for all operations.
 ·                 Aluminium production increased by 5% as Hillside Aluminium continued to test
                   its maximum technical capacity, and low-carbon aluminium(2) production from
                   Brazil Aluminium and Mozal Aluminium increased by 12%.
 ·                 Worsley Alumina saleable production declined by 7% as planned calciner
                   maintenance was undertaken and we managed constrained bauxite supply. The
                   Western Australian Environment Minister is expected to consider approval of
                   new bauxite mining areas in December 2024, with Federal approvals expected
                   shortly thereafter.
 ·                 Brazil Alumina saleable production was largely unchanged as plant availability
                   continued to improve. A preliminary environmental license for the MRN West
                   Zone mine life extension project was issued during the September 2024
                   quarter.
 ·                 Sierra Gorda payable copper equivalent production(3) increased by 20% due to
                   higher planned copper grades and a significant increase in molybdenum
                   recoveries as a result of improved ore quality.
 ·                 Cannington payable zinc equivalent production(4) declined by 34% due to
                   challenging ground conditions, resulting in the deferral of a higher grade
                   stope to the December 2024 quarter.
 ·                 South Africa Manganese production increased by 12% as the operation delivered
                   strong mining performance and continued to sell secondary products to maximise
                   margins.
 ·                 Australia Manganese continued a substantial dewatering program and remains on
                   track to resume production in the December 2024 quarter. Initial external
                   insurance recoveries of US$100M (100% basis) were received during the quarter.
 ·                 Continued construction of Hermosa's Taylor zinc-lead-silver project as
                   planned. Clark was selected for a US$166M award negotiation from the US
                   Department of Energy for a potential commercial-scale battery-grade manganese
                   facility(5).
 ·                 Entered into a strategic alliance to explore for copper in the Kalahari copper
                   belt in Namibia and an earn-in agreement for a zinc-lead-silver prospect in
                   Nevada, USA.
 Production summary
 South32 share                       YTD FY24   YTD FY25   YoY                                                              1Q24       4Q24       1Q25       QoQ
 Alumina production (kt)             1,290      1,184                              (8%)                                     1,290      1,249      1,184                              (5%)
 Aluminium production (kt)           288        298                 3%                                                      288        285        298                 5%
 Payable copper production (kt)      16.0       17.6                   10%                                                  16.0       15.3       17.6                   15%
 Payable silver production (koz)     3,375      2,066                              (39%)                                    3,375      3,224      2,066                              (36%)
 Payable lead production (kt)        28.5       19.3                               (32%)                                    28.5       28.8       19.3                               (33%)
 Payable zinc production (kt)        13.2       12.1                               (8%)                                     13.2       17.4       12.1                               (30%)
 Payable nickel production (kt)      8.3        8.6                 4%                                                      8.3        11.5       8.6                                (25%)
 Manganese ore production (kwmt)     1,518      597                                (61%)                                    1,518      534        597                    12%
 Unless otherwise noted: percentage variance relates to performance during the
 September 2024 quarter compared with the September 2023 quarter (YoY), or the
 September 2024 quarter compared with the June 2024 quarter (QoQ); production
 and sales volumes are reported on an attributable basis.

 

CORPORATE UPDATE

Safety

 ·   On 17 September 2024, Mr José Luis Pérez was fatally injured in an incident
     at Cerro Matoso, our ferronickel operation in Colombia. Our deepest sympathies
     are with Mr Pérez's family and colleagues to whom we are providing support
     and counselling. An investigation into the incident is underway and we are
     engaging with the relevant authorities.
 ·   We remain united by our belief that everyone can go home safe and well every
     day. We are continuing to implement our global multi-year Safety Improvement
     Program to deliver improved safety performance, including investment in safety
     leadership through our LEAD Safely Every Day Program which has been completed
     by more than 1,500 leaders, employees and contractors in our business.

Sustainability

 ·   Worsley Alumina achieved performance standard certification against the
     Aluminium Stewardship Initiative (ASI), a certification organisation which
     aims to foster responsible production, sourcing and stewardship of
     aluminium.  With Mozal Aluminium also having ASI certification, we can now
     deliver aluminium with full value chain certification from the mining and
     refining of bauxite to alumina at Worsley Alumina, to the production  of
     aluminium at Mozal Aluminium.

Portfolio

 ·   On 29 August 2024, we completed the sale of Illawarra Metallurgical Coal (the
     Transaction) to an entity owned by Golden Energy and Resources Pte Ltd and M
     Resources Pty Ltd, receiving upfront cash proceeds of US$964M(1).  The total
     Transaction consideration also includes deferred cash consideration of
     US$250M, payable in March 2030, and contingent price-linked cash consideration
     of up to US$350M(6).
 ·   On 12 August 2024, we completed the sale of our 50% interest in the Eagle
     Downs metallurgical coal project to a subsidiary of Stanmore Resources
     Limited, for US$18M(7) in cash, a contingent payment of US$20M(8) and a
     price-linked royalty of up to US$100M(9).

Financial

 ·   Net debt(10) decreased by US$723M to US$39M in the September 2024 quarter as
     we completed the sale of Illawarra Metallurgical Coal, continued our
     investment in growth at Hermosa, and experienced a temporary build in working
     capital.
 ·   Working capital increased by approximately US$150M during the September 2024
     quarter, primarily related to a temporary increase in work in progress and
     finished goods inventories in our aluminium value chain.
 ·   We provided funding of US$63M to our manganese equity accounted investment
     (EAI) during the September 2024 quarter to support the operational recovery
     plan at Australia Manganese following the impacts of Tropical Cyclone Megan.
 ·   Our manganese EAI received initial recoveries of US$100M (100% basis) from
     external insurers and a one-off recovery of US$50M (100% basis) under the
     Group's captive insurance program during the September 2024 quarter. We are
     continuing to work with our insurers to assess the timing and value of further
     recoveries under property damage and business interruption policies.
 ·   We received net distributions(11) of US$32M (South32 share) from our Sierra
     Gorda EAI during the September 2024 quarter, with a further distribution
     anticipated in the December 2024 quarter.
 ·   We invested US$135M in Group capital expenditure (excluding EAIs and Hermosa)
     during the September 2024 quarter, including US$57M at Illawarra Metallurgical
     Coal prior to completion of the Transaction.
 ·   We made Group tax payments of US$47M (excluding EAIs) during the September
     2024 quarter.
 ·   Reflecting our strengthened financial position and disciplined approach to
     capital allocation, we expanded our capital management program by US$200M, and
     commenced our on-market share buy-back in September 2024. We spent US$3M
     purchasing 1M shares at an average price of A$3.26 per share in September
     2024, leaving US$197M remaining to be returned to shareholders ahead of
     extension or expiry of the program on 12 September 2025(12).
 ·   Following the end of the September 2024 quarter, we paid a fully-franked
     ordinary dividend of US$140M in respect of the June 2024 half year.

DEVELOPMENT AND EXPLORATION UPDATE

Hermosa project

 ·   We invested US$123M in growth capital expenditure at Hermosa during the
     September 2024 quarter, as we progressed construction of the Taylor
     zinc-lead-silver project and an exploration decline for the Clark
     battery-grade manganese deposit.
 ·   All critical path dewatering wells for both Taylor and Clark were commissioned
     during the September 2024 quarter.
 ·   Construction of Taylor progressed as planned. The main shaft headframe has
     been completed and commissioning of the hoisting system for the ventilation
     shaft is underway. Shaft sinking is on track to commence in the December 2024
     quarter.
 ·   Clark was selected for an award negotiation of up to US$166M from the US
     Department of Energy under the Battery Materials Processing and Battery
     Manufacturing program(5), to support the potential development of a
     commercial-scale battery-grade manganese production facility.
 ·   We directed US$7M to capitalised exploration during the September 2024 quarter
     as we continued to test the potential for a continuous copper system
     connecting Peake and Taylor Deeps.

Greenfield exploration

 ·   We invested US$7M in our greenfield exploration opportunities during the
     September 2024 quarter as we progressed multiple exploration programs
     targeting base metals in Australia, USA, Canada, Argentina and Ireland.
 ·   We added to our portfolio of prospective exploration options, forming a
     strategic alliance with Noronex Limited to explore for copper in the Kalahari
     copper belt in Namibia, and signed an earn-in agreement with Ridgeline
     Minerals for the Selena zinc-lead-silver carbonate replacement deposit style
     prospect in Nevada, USA.

Other exploration

 ·   We invested US$15M (US$13M capitalised) in exploration programs at our
     existing operations and development options during the September 2024 quarter,
     including US$7M at the Hermosa project (noted above, all capitalised), US$3M
     for our Sierra Gorda EAI (all capitalised) and US$2M for our manganese EAI
     (nil capitalised).

 

PRODUCTION SUMMARY

 Production guidance (South32 share)
                                               FY24    YTD FY25  FY25e((a))  %((b))                            Comments
 Worsley Alumina
 Alumina production (kt)                       3,777   850       3,750                   23%                   Planned calciner maintenance in Q1 FY25
 Brazil Alumina (non-operated)
 Alumina production (kt)                       1,286   334       1,350                   25%
 Brazil Aluminium (non-operated)
 Aluminium production (kt)                     104     30        130                     23%                   Smelter continues to ramp-up in accordance with guidance
 Hillside Aluminium(13)
 Aluminium production (kt)                     720     180       720                     25%
 Mozal Aluminium(13)
 Aluminium production (kt)                     314     88        360                     24%
 Sierra Gorda (non-operated)
 Payable copper equivalent production (kt)(3)  73.5    22.1      84.8                    26%
 Payable copper production (kt)                60.8    17.6      70.0                    25%
 Payable molybdenum production (kt)            0.9     0.4       1.3                     31%
 Payable gold production (koz)                 24.6    7.7       25.0                    31%
 Payable silver production (koz)               607     151       550                     27%
 Cannington
 Payable zinc equivalent production (kt)(4)    302.5   50.7      265.4                   19%                   Challenging ground conditions in Q1 FY25

                                                                                                               Higher metal grades and throughput expected across the remainder of FY25
 Payable silver production (koz)               12,666  1,915     11,300                  17%
 Payable lead production (kt)                  112.4   19.3      100.0                   19%
 Payable zinc production (kt)                  60.7    12.1      50.0                    24%
 Cerro Matoso
 Payable nickel production (kt)                40.6    8.6       35.0                    25%
 Australia Manganese
 Manganese ore production (kwmt)               2,324   -         1,000                  N/A                    On track to resume production in Q2 FY25
 South Africa Manganese
 Manganese ore production (kwmt)               2,175   597       2,000                   30%
 Illawarra Metallurgical Coal(14)
 Total coal production (kt)                    4,938   766       N/A         N/A                               Results represent ownership period July to August 2024
 Metallurgical coal production (kt)            4,305   676       N/A         N/A
 Energy coal production (kt)                   633     90        N/A         N/A

a.         The denotation (e) refers to an estimate or forecast year.

b.         Reflects percentage of achieved production for YTD FY25
compared to current FY25e.

 

s

WORSLEY ALUMINA (86% SHARE)

 South32 share            YTD FY24  YTD FY25  YoY                                                       1Q24  4Q24  1Q25  1Q25                                                  1Q25

                                                                                                                          vs                                                    vs

                                                                                                                          1Q24                                                  4Q24
 Alumina production (kt)  972       850                               (13%)                             972   916   850                           (13%)                                                 (7%)
 Alumina sales (kt)       913       824                               (10%)                             913   974   824                           (10%)                                                 (15%)

Worsley Alumina saleable production decreased by 7% (or 66kt) to 850kt in the
September 2024 quarter as planned calciner maintenance was undertaken, and we
managed constrained bauxite supply due to delayed approvals for new mining
areas. FY25 production guidance remains unchanged at 3,750kt with the refinery
to convert excess hydrate stocks to calcined alumina across the remainder of
the year.

Sales decreased by 15% in the September 2024 quarter due to lower product
availability and the timing of shipments.  We realised a circa 8% discount to
the Platts Alumina index(15) on a volume weighted M-1 basis for alumina sales
in the September 2024 quarter, which reflected market based prices with the
exception of a legacy supply contract with Mozal Aluminium which is linked to
the LME aluminium price.

On 8 July 2024, the Western Australian Environmental Protection Authority (WA
EPA) published its recommendation that the Worsley Mine Development Project
(the Project) be approved, subject to conditions. If imposed in their current
form, several conditions would create significant operating challenges. We
have lodged an appeal in relation to the WA EPA assessment report.

On 15 October 2024, the Western Australian State Government announced that it
would defer regulation of greenhouse gas emissions to the Federal Government's
Safeguard Mechanism. The change will remove policy inconsistencies that
currently exist between the State and Federal Government with regard to
greenhouse gas emissions, and is expected to be addressed as part of the
appeals process for the Project.

We continue to work collaboratively with the Western Australian Government to
enable Worsley Alumina to continue to meet the State's robust environmental
standards. The Western Australian Environment Minister is expected to consider
approval of the Project in December 2024, with required Federal approvals
expected shortly thereafter.

 

BRAZIL ALUMINA (36% SHARE, NON-OPERATED)

 South32 share            YTD FY24  YTD FY25  YoY                                      1Q24  4Q24  1Q25  1Q25                                 1Q25

                                                                                                         vs                                   vs

                                                                                                         1Q24                                 4Q24
 Alumina production (kt)  318       334                5%                              318   333   334            5%                                   0%
 Alumina sales (kt)       272       326                   20%                          272   358   326               20%                                              (9%)

Brazil Alumina saleable production was largely unchanged at 334kt in the
September 2024 quarter as the refinery continued to benefit from improved
plant availability. FY25 production guidance remains unchanged at 1,350kt.

A preliminary environmental license for MRN's West Zone project, which has the
potential to extend the life of the bauxite mine by more than 20 years(16),
was issued during the September 2024 quarter. A final investment decision for
an enabling transmission line to connect MRN to the Brazilian power grid is
expected during the December 2024 quarter.

 

BRAZIL ALUMINIUM (40% SHARE, NON-OPERATED)

 South32 share              YTD FY24  YTD FY25  YoY                                                                1Q24  4Q24  1Q25  1Q25                                                           1Q25

                                                                                                                                     vs                                                             vs

                                                                                                                                     1Q24                                                           4Q24
 Aluminium production (kt)  24        30                    25%                                                    24    28    30                25%                                                         7%
 Aluminium sales (kt)       8         25                       213%                                                8     30    25                   213%                                                                    (17%)

Brazil Aluminium saleable production increased by 7% (or 2kt) to 30kt in the
September 2024 quarter as the smelter continued to ramp-up all three potlines.
FY25 production guidance remains unchanged at 130kt.

 

HILLSIDE ALUMINIUM (100% SHARE)

 South32 share              YTD FY24  YTD FY25  YoY                                      1Q24  4Q24  1Q25  1Q25                                 1Q25

                                                                                                           vs                                   vs

                                                                                                           1Q24                                 4Q24
 Aluminium production (kt)  180       180                0%                              180   180   180            0%                                   0%
 Aluminium sales (kt)       170       175                3%                              170   184   175            3%                                                  (5%)

Hillside Aluminium saleable production was unchanged at 180kt in the September
2024 quarter as the smelter continued to test its maximum technical capacity,
despite the impact of load-shedding. FY25 production guidance remains
unchanged at 720kt(13).

MOZAL ALUMINIUM (63.7% SHARE)

 South32 share              YTD FY24  YTD FY25  YoY                                      1Q24  4Q24  1Q25  1Q25                                 1Q25

                                                                                                           vs                                   vs

                                                                                                           1Q24                                 4Q24
 Aluminium production (kt)  84        88                 5%                              84    77    88             5%                                      14%
 Aluminium sales (kt)       77        86                    12%                          77    101   86                12%                                              (15%)

Mozal Aluminium saleable production increased by 14% (or 11kt) to 88kt in the
September 2024 quarter as the smelter achieved improved process stability
following completion of its operational recovery plan, despite the impact of
load-shedding.  FY25 production guidance remains unchanged at 360kt(13).

The smelter sources all of its alumina from our Worsley Alumina refinery with
approximately 50% priced as a percentage of the LME aluminium index under a
legacy contract and the remainder linked to the Platts Alumina index on a M-1
basis, with caps and floors that reset every calendar year. As a result, the
smelter's cost of alumina was at a discount to the index in the September 2024
quarter.

As previously disclosed, we continue to work with Eskom and the Government of
the Republic of Mozambique to extend the smelter's hydro-electric power supply
beyond March 2026, as there are currently no viable alternative suppliers of
renewable energy at the required scale.

 

SIERRA GORDA (45% SHARE)

 South32 share                                 YTD FY24  YTD FY25  YoY                                 1Q24  4Q24  1Q25  1Q25                            1Q25

                                                                                                                         vs                              vs

                                                                                                                         1Q24                            4Q24
 Payable copper equivalent production (kt)(3)  20.1      22.1                  10%                     20.1  18.4  22.1              10%                             20%
 Payable copper production (kt)                16.0      17.6                  10%                     16.0  15.3  17.6              10%                             15%
 Payable copper sales (kt)                     15.3      17.9                  17%                     15.3  15.3  17.9              17%                             17%

Sierra Gorda payable copper equivalent production(3) increased by 20% (or
3.7kt) to 22.1kt in the September 2024 quarter  with higher planned copper
grades and a significant increase in molybdenum recoveries due to improved ore
quality.  FY25 production guidance remains unchanged at 84.8kt payable copper
equivalent (copper 70.0kt, molybdenum 1.3kt, gold 25.0koz and silver 550koz).

A feasibility study and final investment decision by the joint venture
partners for the fourth grinding line expansion is now expected in the second
half of calendar year 2025, to enable additional detailed engineering and
study work on the tailings thickeners to be completed.

 

CANNINGTON (100% SHARE)

 South32 share                               YTD FY24  YTD FY25  YoY                                                       1Q24   4Q24   1Q25   1Q25                                                  1Q25

                                                                                                                                                vs                                                    vs

                                                                                                                                                1Q24                                                  4Q24
 Payable zinc equivalent production (kt)(4)  74.7      50.7                              (32%)                             74.7   77.3   50.7                           (32%)                                                 (34%)
 Payable silver production (koz)             3,230     1,915                             (41%)                             3,230  3,065  1,915                          (41%)                                                 (38%)
 Payable silver sales (koz)                  2,873     2,342                             (18%)                             2,873  3,054  2,342                          (18%)                                                 (23%)
 Payable lead production (kt)                28.5      19.3                              (32%)                             28.5   28.8   19.3                           (32%)                                                 (33%)
 Payable lead sales (kt)                     25.6      25.1                              (2%)                              25.6   27.9   25.1                           (2%)                                                  (10%)
 Payable zinc production (kt)                13.2      12.1                              (8%)                              13.2   17.4   12.1                           (8%)                                                  (30%)
 Payable zinc sales (kt)                     13.9      12.6                              (9%)                              13.9   20.2   12.6                           (9%)                                                  (38%)

Cannington payable zinc equivalent production(4) decreased by 34% (or 26.6kt)
to 50.7kt in the September 2024 quarter, as the operation managed increased
underground activity and complexity which is expected to continue to drive
variability in quarterly performance.

Ore mined decreased by 24% during the September 2024 quarter as additional
dewatering and ground rehabilitation was required to access stoping fronts.
Average metal grades also declined as the processing of a higher grade stope
was deferred to the December 2024 quarter.

FY25 production guidance remains unchanged at 265.4kt payable zinc equivalent
(silver 11,300koz, lead 100.0kt, zinc 50.0kt), with dewatering completed in
the September 2024 quarter expected to benefit underground performance and
access to higher grade stopes across the remainder of the year.

 

CERRO MATOSO (99.9% SHARE)

 South32 share                   YTD FY24  YTD FY25  YoY                                      1Q24  4Q24  1Q25  1Q25                                 1Q25

                                                                                                                vs                                   vs

                                                                                                                1Q24                                 4Q24
 Payable nickel production (kt)  8.3       8.6                4%                              8.3   11.5  8.6            4%                                                  (25%)
 Payable nickel sales (kt)       8.5       8.8                4%                              8.5   12.1  8.8            4%                                                  (27%)

Cerro Matoso payable nickel production decreased by 25% (or 2.9kt) to 8.6kt in
the September 2024 quarter due to lower planned nickel grades. FY25 production
guidance remains unchanged at 35.0kt.

Sales decreased by 27% during the September 2024 quarter due to lower product
availability. The discount for our ferronickel product narrowed to ~14% to the
LME Nickel Index(17) (FY24: ~25% discount) in the September 2024 quarter,
reflecting tighter global supply of class two nickel.

We continued to progress our strategic review of Cerro Matoso and expect to
provide an update in the June 2025 half year.

 

AUSTRALIA MANGANESE (60% SHARE)

 South32 share                    YTD FY24  YTD FY25  YoY                                   1Q24  4Q24  1Q25  1Q25                              1Q25

                                                                                                              vs                                vs

                                                                                                              1Q24                              4Q24
 Manganese ore production (kwmt)  890       -         N/A                                   890   -     -     N/A                               N/A
 Manganese ore sales (kwmt)       940       -                    N/A                        940   -     -                N/A                               N/A

Australia Manganese continued to implement the operational recovery plan
following the impacts of Tropical Cyclone Megan in the March 2024 quarter. We
progressed a substantial dewatering program and a phased mining restart during
the September 2024 quarter and remain on track to resume production from the
primary concentrator during the December 2024 quarter.

We also continued our investment in mine repairs and infrastructure, including
a critical bridge and the wharf.  Wharf construction activity during the
September 2024 quarter prioritised stabilisation of existing infrastructure
and safe demolition of undersea structures.

FY25 production guidance remains unchanged at 1,000kwmt. Subject to
maintaining construction productivity during the upcoming wet season, sales
volumes are expected to progressively increase over the June 2025 quarter.

 

SOUTH AFRICA MANGANESE (ORE 54.6% SHARE)

 South32 share                    YTD FY24  YTD FY25  YoY                                                      1Q24  4Q24  1Q25  1Q25                                                 1Q25

                                                                                                                                 vs                                                   vs

                                                                                                                                 1Q24                                                 4Q24
 Manganese ore production (kwmt)  628       597                               (5%)                             628   534   597                           (5%)                                     12%
 Manganese ore sales (kwmt)       518       590                   14%                                          518   549   590               14%                                               7%

South Africa Manganese saleable production increased by 12% (or 63kwmt) to
597kwmt in the September 2024 quarter as the operation delivered strong mining
performance and continued to sell secondary products to maximise margins.  We
will continue to optimise our product mix and use of higher cost trucking in
response to market conditions, with FY25 production guidance remaining
unchanged at 2,000kwmt. Planned maintenance is scheduled for the June 2025
half year.

 

NOTES

 1.   Upfront cash consideration of US$1,050M less the already received deposit
      (US$40M) and a provisional adjustment for working capital, net debt and
      capital expenditure (US$46M).

A final adjustment to the purchase price is expected to be determined in the
      December 2024 quarter.
 2.   Refers to aluminium produced in a process that results in less than 4t CO(2)-e
      Scope 1 and Scope 2 GHG emissions per tonne of aluminium.
 3.   Payable copper equivalent production (kt) was calculated by aggregating
      revenues from copper, molybdenum, gold and silver, and dividing the total
      Revenue by the price of copper. FY24 realised prices for copper (US$3.86/lb),
      molybdenum (US$20.60/lb), gold (US$2,129/oz) and silver (US$24.8/oz) have been
      used for FY24, Q1 FY25 and FY25e.
 4.   Payable zinc equivalent production (kt) was calculated by aggregating revenues
      from payable silver, lead and zinc, and dividing the total Revenue by the
      price of zinc. FY24 realised prices for zinc (US$2,230/t), lead (US$2,002/t)
      and silver (US$24.8/oz) have been used for FY24, Q1 FY25 and FY25e.
 5.   Refer to market release "US Department of Energy Grant for Clark Battery-Grade
      Manganese" dated 20 September 2024.
 6.   Applicable for five years from the date of completion with no annual cap. The
      first two years will be calculated and paid on the second anniversary of
      completion and annually thereafter. The contingent price-linked consideration
      will be calculated as 50% of incremental metallurgical coal revenue from
      equity production, net of royalties, based on the following metallurgical coal
      price thresholds: Year 1: US$200/t, Year 2: US$200/t, Year 3: US$190/t, Year
      4: US$180/t, Year 5: US$180/t.
 7.   Upfront consideration of US$15M and completion adjustments of US$3M.
 8.   Subject to the Eagle Downs project reaching metallurgical coal production of
      100,000 tonnes.
 9.   Price-linked royalty calculated based on potential future metallurgical coal
      production and a metallurgical coal index price of at least US$170/t.
 10.  Net debt number is unaudited and should not be considered as an indication of
      or alternative to an IFRS measure of profitability, financial performance or
      liquidity.
 11.  Net distributions from our material equity accounted investments (EAI)
      (manganese and Sierra Gorda) includes dividends, capital contributions and net
      repayments/drawdowns of shareholder loans, which are unaudited and should not
      be considered as an indication of or alternative to an IFRS measure of
      profitability, financial performance or liquidity.
 12.  Since inception, US$1.7B has been allocated to our on-market share buy-back
      (796M shares at an average price of A$3.05 per share) and US$525M returned in
      the form of special dividends.
 13.  Production guidance for Hillside Aluminium and Mozal Aluminium does not assume
      any load-shedding impact on production.
 14.  Reflects the period from 1 July 2024 to completion of the Transaction.
 15.  The sales volume weighted average of the Platts Alumina index (FOB) on the
      basis of a one-month lag to published pricing (Month minus one or "M-1") was
      US$495/t in the September 2024 quarter.
 16.  The information in this announcement that refers to Production Target and
      forecast financial information for MRN is based on Proved (8%) and Probable
      (1%) Ore Reserves and Measured (91%) Mineral Resources. The Mineral Resources
      and Ore Reserves underpinning the Production Target have been prepared by
      Competent Persons in accordance with the requirement of the JORC Code and is
      available to view in South32's 2024 Annual Report (www.south32.net) published
      on 29 August 2024. South32 confirms that all material assumptions underpinning
      the Production Target and forecast financial information derived from the
      Production Target continues to apply and have not materially changed.
 17.  Our realised price for nickel sales during the September 2024 quarter was
      US$6.34/lb, which represented a ~14% discount to the average LME Nickel Index
      price of US$7.37/lb.
 18.  Illawarra Metallurgical Coal sales are adjusted for moisture and will not
      reconcile directly to Illawarra Metallurgical Coal production.

The following abbreviations have been used throughout this report: US$ million
(US$M); US$ billion (US$B); grams per tonne (g/t); tonnes (t); thousand tonnes
(kt); thousand tonnes per annum (ktpa); million tonnes (Mt); million tonnes
per annum (Mtpa); ounces (oz); thousand ounces (koz); million ounces (Moz);
thousand wet metric tonnes (kwmt); million wet metric tonnes (Mwmt); million
wet metric tonnes per annum (Mwmt pa); dry metric tonne unit (dmtu); thousand
dry metric tonnes (kdmt); Mineração Rio do Norte (MRN).

Figures in Italics indicate that an adjustment has been made since the figures
were previously reported. The denotation (e) refers to an estimate or forecast
year.

 

OPERATING PERFORMANCE

 South32 share                                  YTD FY24  YTD FY25      1Q24   2Q24   3Q24   4Q24   1Q25
 Worsley Alumina (86% share)
 Alumina hydrate production (kt)                973       932           973    961    926    919    932
 Alumina production (kt)                        972       850           972    962    927    916    850
 Alumina sales (kt)                             913       824           913    985    895    974    824
 Brazil Alumina (36% share)
 Alumina production (kt)                        318       334           318    322    313    333    334
 Alumina sales (kt)                             272       326           272    375    277    358    326
 Brazil Aluminium (40% share)
 Aluminium production (kt)                      24        30            24     26     26     28     30
 Aluminium sales (kt)                           8         25            8      32     32     30     25
 Hillside Aluminium (100% share)
 Aluminium production (kt)                      180       180           180    179    181    180    180
 Aluminium sales (kt)                           170       175           170    157    209    184    175
 Mozal Aluminium (63.7% share)
 Aluminium production (kt)                      84        88            84     82     71     77     88
 Aluminium sales (kt)                           77        86            77     90     58     101    86
 Sierra Gorda (45% share)
 Ore mined (Mt)                                 5.9       6.4           5.9    6.0    3.1    4.9    6.4
 Ore processed (Mt)                             5.5       5.6           5.5    5.4    5.5    5.5    5.6
 Copper ore grade processed (%, Cu)             0.37      0.41          0.37   0.38   0.34   0.37   0.41
 Payable copper equivalent production (kt)(3)   20.1      22.1          20.1   18.3   16.7   18.4   22.1
 Payable copper production (kt)                 16.0      17.6          16.0   15.6   13.9   15.3   17.6
 Payable copper sales (kt)                      15.3      17.9          15.3   17.2   13.1   15.3   17.9
 Payable molybdenum production (kt)             0.4       0.4           0.4    0.1    0.2    0.2    0.4
 Payable molybdenum sales (kt)                  0.4       0.2           0.4    0.3    0.4    0.2    0.2
 Payable gold production (koz)                  6.3       7.7           6.3    7.1    5.3    5.9    7.7
 Payable gold sales (koz)                       6.3       7.8           6.3    7.5    5.2    5.9    7.8
 Payable silver production (koz)                145       151           145    150    153    159    151
 Payable silver sales (koz)                     140       157           140    160    141    164    157
 Cannington (100% share)
 Ore mined (kwmt)                               551       438           551    599    529    573    438
 Ore processed (kdmt)                           562       440           562    577    525    557    440
 Silver ore grade processed (g/t, Ag)           206       163           206    216    200    199    163
 Lead ore grade processed (%, Pb)               5.8       5.1           5.8    6.2    5.6    5.9    5.1
 Zinc ore grade processed (%, Zn)               3.2       3.7           3.2    3.6    3.8    4.1    3.7
 Payable zinc equivalent production (kt)(4)     74.7      50.7          74.7   81.6   68.8   77.3   50.7
 Payable silver production (koz)                3,230     1,915         3,230  3,474  2,897  3,065  1,915
 Payable silver sales (koz)                     2,873     2,342         2,873  3,656  2,210  3,054  2,342
 Payable lead production (kt)                   28.5      19.3          28.5   30.3   24.8   28.8   19.3
 Payable lead sales (kt)                        25.6      25.1          25.6   31.0   17.9   27.9   25.1
 Payable zinc production (kt)                   13.2      12.1          13.2   15.8   14.3   17.4   12.1
 Payable zinc sales (kt)                        13.9      12.6          13.9   14.4   11.6   20.2   12.6
 Cerro Matoso (99.9% share)
 Ore mined (kwmt)                               940       1,338         940    1,243  1,486  1,526  1,338
 Ore processed (kdmt)                           594       664           594    723    711    746    664
 Ore grade processed (%, Ni)                    1.57      1.46          1.57   1.53   1.61   1.70   1.46
 Payable nickel production (kt)                 8.3       8.6           8.3    10.0   10.8   11.5   8.6
 Payable nickel sales (kt)                      8.5       8.8           8.5    9.5    10.8   12.1   8.8
 Australia Manganese (60% share)
 Manganese ore production (kwmt)                890       -             890    789    645    -      -
 Manganese ore sales (kwmt)                     940       -             940    924    709    -      -
 Ore grade sold (%, Mn)                         42.9      -             42.9   42.2   42.2   -      -
 South Africa Manganese (54.6% share)
 Manganese ore production (kwmt)                628       597           628    483    530    534    597
 Manganese ore sales (kwmt)                     518       590           518    564    485    549    590
 Ore grade sold (%, Mn)                         39.0      38.9          39.0   38.4   38.7   39.1   38.9
 Illawarra Metallurgical Coal (100% share)(14)
 Total coal production (kt)                     1,168     766           1,168  877    1,405  1,488  766
 Total coal sales (kt)(18)                      1,196     540           1,196  900    1,238  1,537  540
 Metallurgical coal production (kt)             1,043     676           1,043  744    1,244  1,274  676
 Metallurgical coal sales (kt)                  996       507           996    763    1,053  1,360  507
 Energy coal production (kt)                    125       90            125    133    161    214    90
 Energy coal sales (kt)                         200       33            200    137    185    177    33

 

Forward-looking statements

This release contains forward-looking statements, including statements about
trends in commodity prices and currency exchange rates; demand for
commodities; production forecasts; plans, strategies and objectives of
management; capital costs and scheduling; operating costs; anticipated
productive lives of projects, mines and facilities; and provisions and
contingent liabilities. These forward-looking statements reflect expectations
at the date of this release, however they are not guarantees or predictions of
future performance. They involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and
other factors, many of which are beyond our control, and which may cause
actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the statements
contained in this release. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on
forward-looking statements. Except as required by applicable laws or
regulations, the South32 Group does not undertake to publicly update or review
any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information or
future events. Past performance cannot be relied on as a guide to future
performance. South32 cautions against reliance on any forward-looking
statements or guidance.

 

FURTHER INFORMATION

 

 INVESTOR RELATIONS            MEDIA RELATIONS

 Ben Baker                     Jamie Macdonald                     Miles Godfrey

M  +61 408 925 140
M  +61 415 325 906
 M  +61 403 763 086

                             E   Jamie.Macdonald@south32.net     E   Miles.Godfrey@south32.net
 E   Ben.Baker@south32.net

 

Approved for release to the market by Graham Kerr, Chief Executive Officer

JSE Sponsor: The Standard Bank of South Africa Limited

21 October 2024

South32 Limited

(Incorporated in Australia under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth))

(ACN 093 732 597)

ASX / LSE / JSE Share Code: S32; ADR: SOUHY

ISIN: AU000000S320

 

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