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Earnings Poll: Topdanmark Q1 profit seen up 12 percent

* Topdanmark first-quarter results
    * Due on Thursday, April 25
    * Q1 pretax profit seen at DKK 341 million

    April 23 - Following is a table of forecasts for Danish
insurer Topdanmark  TOP.CO  first-quarter results, according to
a poll of analysts. 

All figures in millions of DKK, except EPS and Dividend per
share which are in DKK.
    
 2019:Q1                                              Cha      
                   Mean  Median  High   Lo  No   Yr  nge%  Prev
                                         w      Ago          .Q
  - Premiums      2,312   2,303  2,35  2,2   6  2,2  1.69  2,24
 earned,                            4   86       73           9
 Non-life                                                  
 Technical          321     317   356  298   6  336  -4.4   411
 result                                                 1  
 (non-life)                                                
 Investment       -48.0   -38.5  27.0  -15   6  -44  -9.0  -157
 income (net)                            0       .0     9  
 Pretax Profit      341     351   417  210   6  344  -0.9   331
                                                        2  
  - Non-life        273     278   362  148   6  291  -6.0   256
 insurance                                              7  
  - Life           59.8    53.0  99.0  45.   6  44.  35.9  45.0
 insurance                               0        0     8  
  - Parent         7.67    10.0  12.0  -7.   6  9.0  -14.  30.0
 company etc                            00        0    81  
 Profit (group)     299     306   439  164   6  267  12.0   259
                                                        5  
 EPS               3.46    3.54  5.08  1.9   6  3.1  11.6  3.00
                                         0        0     7  
 Combined Ratio    86.1    86.3  86.9  84.   6  85.  1.02  81.7
                                         8        2        
 Shareholders     6,314   6,314  6,34  6,2   2  6,8  -7.6  6,01
 equity                             1   86       35     3     6
 2019                                               Yr   Chang
                  Mean  Median  High   Low  No     Ago      e%
  - Premiums      9,30   9,253  9,59  9,22   7   9,135    1.88
 earned,             7             0     2              
 Non-life                                               
 Technical        1,37   1,388  1,43  1,29   7   1,499    -8.3
 result              5             9     9              
 (non-life)                                             
 Investment        126     140   191  64.0   7   -85.0     n/a
 income (net)                                           
 Pretax Profit    1,77   1,777  1,86  1,66   7   1,702    4.01
                     0             1     3              
  - Non-life      1,50   1,526  1,58  1,38   7   1,420    5.76
 insurance           2             6     5              
  - Life           226     224   257   208   7     228   -0.94
 insurance                                              
  - Parent        42.6    44.0  54.0  27.0   7    54.0  -21.16
 company etc                                            
 Profit (group)   1,38   1,386  1,49  1,29   7   1,331    4.22
                     7             6     7              
 EPS              16.1    16.0  17.3  15.0   7    15.4    4.22
 Dividend per     15.4    15.6  16.3  13.5   7    15.0    2.75
 share                                                  
 Combined Ratio   85.2    85.0  85.6  84.7   7    83.6     1.9
 Shareholders     6,13   6,141  6,19  6,08   4   6,016    2.05
 equity              9             4     1              
 2020                                               
                    Mean  Median    High     Low  No
  - Premiums       9,463   9,337  10,074   9,240   7
 earned,                                          
 Non-life                                         
 Technical         1,403   1,400   1,499   1,284   7
 result                                           
 (non-life)                                       
 Investment          158     147     226     117   7
 income (net)                                     
 Pretax Profit     1,832   1,830   1,951   1,747   7
  - Non-life       1,561   1,542   1,650   1,464   7
 insurance                                        
  - Life             228     224     249     207   7
 insurance                                        
  - Parent          42.4    45.0    51.0    27.0   7
 company etc                                      
 Profit (group)    1,429   1,427   1,522   1,362   7
 EPS                16.5    16.5    17.6    15.8   7
 Dividend per       16.0    16.1    16.9    15.0   7
 share                                            
 Combined Ratio     85.2    85.3    86.1    84.1   7
 Shareholders      6,310   6,316   6,413   6,196   4
 equity                                           
                                                    
 2021                                               
                    Mean  Median    High     Low  No
  - Premiums       9,627   9,534  10,276   9,303   6
 earned,                                          
 Non-life                                         
 Technical         1,451   1,476   1,505   1,310   6
 result                                           
 (non-life)                                       
 Investment          158     149     240     114   6
 income (net)                                     
 Pretax Profit     1,887   1,894   1,967   1,800   6
  - Non-life       1,609   1,612   1,662   1,549   6
 insurance                                        
  - Life             235     228     253     224   6
 insurance                                        
  - Parent          42.5    47.5    52.0    27.0   6
 company etc                                      
 Profit (group)    1,472   1,478   1,534   1,404   6
 EPS                17.0    17.1    17.8    16.2   6
 Dividend per       16.4    16.6    17.2    15.3   6
 share                                            
 Combined Ratio     84.9    85.1    86.0    84.1   6
 Shareholders      6,469   6,477   6,621   6,300   4
 equity                                           
 
    
ANALYST RECOMMENDATIONS
Of the 5 analysts who disclosed their recommendation on the
Topdanmark stock, 2 answered Neutral and 3 Negative.
    
- The following brokerages and investment banks participated in
the poll:
 Firm                      Outlook
 Barclays Capital          Hold
 DNB Markets               Hold
 HSBC                      Sell
 Anonymous                 Underweight
 Handelsbanken Capital     Sell
 Markets                   
 
    
Estimates were collected from 2019-04-03 to 2019-04-18
    
Data provided by Infront Data (www.consensusestimates.com)

 (Gdynia Newsroom)
 ((gdynia.newsroom@thomsonreuters.com; +48 58 772 0920))

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