Fitch Rtgs: Taiwan Bank Holding Companies' Leverage, Outlook to Stay Stable
(The following statement was released by the rating agency)
Fitch Ratings-Taipei-January 17: Fitch Ratings expects the common-equity
double-leverage ratios (DLR) of Taiwanese bank holding companies to remain
stable, reinforcing our stable sector and rating outlook for Taiwanese banks and
their holding companies for 2020. Fitch's rated bank holding companies - CTBC
Financial Holding Co., Ltd. (BBB+/Stable/bbb+), SinoPac Financial Holdings
Company Limited (BBB+/Stable/bbb+) and Taishin Financial Holding Co., Ltd.
(BBB/Stable/bbb) - reported strong net profit for 2019, benefitting from the
solid earnings performance of their operating subsidiaries, resulting in higher
dividends for the parents. Their average common-equity DLR was steady at 115% at
end-September 2019. The continuation of these factors should support a steady
common-equity DLR for the bank holding companies in 2020.
Aggregate net profit for the three Fitch-rated bank holding companies rose 21%
yoy in 2019 after improved earnings at both bank and non-bank subsidiaries. Bank
credit costs were low during 2019, and the non-bank subsidiaries, including life
and securities operations, contributed strongly on the back of continued
business expansion and robust investment income. We expect a modest decline in
profitability for 2020 as a higher reserve requirement on insurance products may
weaken wealth-management fees and bank-impairment charges may rise modestly from
a low base. However, we expect overall bank performance to remain stable on the
back of steady economic growth, supported by a return of manufacturing
activities to Taiwan and accelerating private investment, helping drive similar
performance at the holding company level as banks remain the major earnings
contributors.
Earnings contribution from the holding companies' bank subsidiaries, both rated
and unrated, declined to about 87% of consolidated net profit in 2019 from 93%
in 2016 as the holding companies sought to diversify their business models in
recent years through acquisitions and the expansion of non-bank operations. The
diversification helped strengthen the retail franchise and investment product
offerings at the subsidiary level, but is balanced against higher leverage at
the bank holding company to fund the strategy. This was most evident for CTBC
Financial Holding, whose contribution from Taiwan Life Insurance Co., Ltd.
(BBB+/Stable) rose to 30% of its net profit in 2019 from 18% in 2016, while its
common-equity DLR rose to 126% by end-9M19 from 118% at end-2016 as a result.
CTBC Financial Holding's rating is two notches below that of its banking arm,
CTBC Bank Co., Ltd. (A/Stable/a), to reflect our view on the likely regulatory
focus in protecting bank creditors in the event of stress, Taiwan Life's weaker
standalone credit profile relative to CTBC Bank as well as CTBC Financial
Holding's high common-equity DLR.
We believe the contribution from the non-bank subsidiaries is unlikely to change
significantly, all things being equal, unless triggered by large scale
acquisitions, which we think is less likely over the next two years. This should
support stable common-equity DLRs for our rated bank holding companies and their
ratings, which are notched relative to the ratings of their bank subsidiaries
based on the level of the holding companies' common-equity DLR, among other
factors.
Contact:
Sophia Chen, CFA, CPA
Director
+886 2 8175 7604
Fitch Australia Pty Ltd, Taiwan Branch
Unit 3705, 37F, No. 100, Songren Rd.,
Xinyi District, Taipei 110, Taiwan
Cherry Huang, CFA
Director
+886 2 8175 7603
Media Relations: Alanis Ko, Hong Kong, Tel: +852 2263 9953, Email:
alanis.ko@thefitchgroup.com; Wai Lun Wan, Hong Kong, Tel: +852 2263 9935, Email:
wailun.wan@thefitchgroup.com.
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