** Analysts at Morningstar cut fair value estimate for Australia's Viva Energy VEA.AX by 4% to A$2.40, citing higher crude prices weighing on refined fuel demand following disruptions linked to the Strait of Hormuz
** Refiner margin futures for 2026 are stronger, about 24% above 2025 levels, but these gains are offset by weaker refined fuel demand as oil prices rise, says investment research firm
** Refining has contributed about 20% of Viva's earnings on average over four years to 2025
** Morningstar raises 2026 earnings per share forecast for the retail convenience and fuel network operator by 4% to A$0.25, but cuts 2027 EPS forecast by 4% to A$0.27
** Seven of 10 analysts rate the stock "buy" or higher, three "hold"; median PT is A$2.70 - data compiled by LSEG
** Stock up 16.1% YTD
(Reporting by Roshan Thomas in Bengaluru)
((Roshan.Thomas@thomsonreuters.com;))