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Expected Return (Historic Growth)

What is the definition of Exp. Return (Hist Gwth)?

According to Mary Buffett's "Buffetology", this can be calculated as follows:

  • Calculate the EPS in year 10 by compounding the current EPS by the historical growth rate over the last 10 years.
  • This forecast value can then be multiplied by the 10 year average PE ratio to provide an estimate of the price in year 10.
  • If dividends are paid, an estimate of the amount of dividends paid over the 10-year period should also be added to the year 10 prices.
  • This value can then be compared with the current price to determine if the expected rate of return is greater than Buffett's threshold return of 15%.

Stockopedia explains Exp. Return (Hist Gwth)...

For more details on this approach, read our synopsis of Buffetology

Which Guru Screens is Exp. Return (Hist Gwth) used in?

The 5 highest Exp. Return (Hist Gwth) Stocks in the Market

Ticker Name Exp. Return (Hist Gwth) StockRank
NSI:TCIEXP TCI Express 1109.18 72
PNK:CHHE China Health Industries Holdings Inc 751.24 76
LON:PSH Pershing Square Holdings 704.54 62
BUL:RGL Regala Invest AD 704.1 57
AMS:PSH Pershing Square Holdings 681.75 58
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