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Risk and reward: Toyota's close ties to home

* Toyota says no plans to change Just in Time production 
    * Committed to strong production, supplier base in Japan 
    * Nissan has diversified supply chains to minimise 
disruption 
 
    By Naomi Tajitsu 
    TOKYO, April 22 (Reuters) - Toyota Motor's  7203.T  close 
ties to its "keiretsu" - or family of affiliates and suppliers - 
have helped it become the world's top automaker. But two major 
production stoppages this year highlight the risks, too. 
    The car maker's reliance on Aisin Seiki Co  7259.T , an 
affiliate, for door and engine parts forced Toyota to halt much 
of its production at virtually all its plants in Japan this week 
after an earthquake damaged Aisin plants in the south. 
    The stoppage follows another week-long production halt in 
February after a fire at another affiliate, Aichi Steel  5482.T  
 urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL3N15G18J and could initially cost Toyota up to 90,000 
vehicles and 30 billion yen ($275 million) in profit, by some 
estimates. 
    Toyota says it will restart production at most of its 
assembly plants in Japan next week.  
    Nonetheless, the two incidents at the two affiliates 
illustrate the delicate balance for manufacturers like Toyota to 
disaster-proof the supply chain - a crucial part of the 'Just in 
Time' production system it pioneered over half a century ago to 
improve efficiency and reduce wastage. 
    "Just in Time works when everything's running smoothly,"  
said CLSA analyst Christopher Richter. "But if you balance the 
cost (of holding more inventory) for however long you have 
between these disruptive events, it would probably be worth 
sticking with the system." 
    And that's what Toyota is doing. 
    "The Just in Time system is to ensure we receive supply as 
we need and only in amounts required at the time. We have no 
plans to change this policy," a company spokesman told Reuters. 
    "It takes time to procure the 30,000 parts we need to 
produce each vehicle. Bringing all these parts together is a 
massive process, so we're always looking to strengthen our 
supply chain, but we're not considering changing the inventories 
we hold (because of the recent earthquake)." 
     
    RIPPLE EFFECT 
    Toyota says it needs to produce at least 3 million vehicles 
domestically each year to keep its plants, and those of its 
suppliers, operating efficiently, while also making its product 
development arm competitive. 
    "If this base were to crumble because we shifted too many 
operations overseas, we would lose our domestic manufacturing 
expertise," the Toyota spokesman said. 
    Toyota has, though, pushed some of its core suppliers to 
find more customers so they don't over-rely on the 'keiretsu' at 
times of disruption.  
    Around 62 percent of Aisin's sales now go to Toyota, down 
from 68 percent before the devastating 2011 earthquake and 
tsunami. Big, non-Toyota customers now include Volkswagen 
 VOWG_p.DE , Audi  NSUG.DE , Peugeot  PEUP.PA  and Volvo. 
    But the sheer size of orders from Toyota - which gobbles up 
90 percent of Aisin's Japan-made door check straps - means any 
disruption at just one supplier can have a disproportionate 
ripple-on effect across the automaker's production lines. 
 
    'MADE IN JAPAN' 
    Also, Toyota's 'Made-in-Japan' ethos carries risk when 
disaster strikes. Investors will have noted that while Toyota 
shut down in Japan because of quake damage to its supply chain, 
rival automaker Nissan Motor  7201.T  remained operational. 
    Nissan, and third-ranked Honda Motor  7267.T , make less 
than a fifth of their vehicles in Japan, having shifted more 
production overseas after 2011. Toyota produces 40 percent of 
its global output at home. 
    But for Toyota, which with its group companies employs well 
over 150,000 people in Japan, its status as the country's 
flagship company also carries a high responsibility and can come 
before maximising profits in the short term. 
    Nissan, and others, though, are changing tack to minimize 
the disruption from a seismically active domestic production 
base. 
    "We have implemented measures since 2011 so we are better 
equipped to deal with natural disasters," said Masahide Amada, 
Nissan's chief product specialist. "These include diversifying 
production capabilities and supply chains." 
    Analysts said Nissan's plant in southern Japan avoided 
serious impact from the recent earthquake because it sources 
parts both in Japan and from South Korea and China. 
    "Nissan sources more parts from overseas than Toyota. This 
gives it a longer supply chain to avoid possible disruptions," 
said Koichi Sugimoto, auto analyst at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan 
Stanley Securities. 
    Nissan declined to comment in detail on its supply chain. 
    ($1 = 108.9000 yen) 
 
    <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ 
Japan quake    http://tmsnrt.rs/1STtM1A 
Auto plants in Kyushu    http://tmsnrt.rs/1U861bc  
    ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^> 
 (Reporting by Naomi Tajitsu, with additional reporting by Maki 
Shiraki and Ami Miyazaki in TOKYO and Hyunjoo Jin in SEOUL; 
Editing by Ian Geoghegan) 
 ((miyoung.kim@thomsonreuters.com; 65 6870 3026; Reuters 
Messaging: miyoung.kim.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net)) 
 
Keywords: JAPAN QUAKE/TOYOTA

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