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AGO — Assured Guaranty News Story

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Assured Guaranty Q3 net income falls, premiums rise on new business

Assured Guaranty Q3 net income falls, premiums rise on new business


Overview

  • US financial guaranty insurer's Q3 net income and adjusted operating income declined yr/yr

  • Q3 gross written premiums rose yr/yr, driven by growth in public and structured finance

  • Company returned $27 mln to shareholders in Q3, including $10 mln in share repurchases


Outlook

  • Company will evaluate capital uses quarterly, including growth, capital cushion and share repurchases

  • Assured Guaranty may repurchase shares depending on capital, market and regulatory factors

  • Company notes rising interest rates have impacted investment portfolio valuations


Result Drivers

  • NEW BUSINESS PRODUCTION - Co said growth in U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, and global structured finance drove higher gross written premiums

  • LOWER LOSS BENEFIT AND INVESTMENT RETURNS - Co said lower loss benefit, fair value losses on trading securities, and reduced equity in earnings of investees weighed on segment operating income


Company press release: ID:nBw5905G5a


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Gross Written Premiums

$127 mln

Q3 EPS

$1.75

Q3 Net Income

$78 mln

Q3 Adjusted EBIT

$86 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 4 "strong buy" or "buy", no "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the property & casualty insurance peer group is "hold."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Assured Guaranty Ltd is $91.00, about 25.5% above its November 4 closing price of $72.51

  • The stock recently traded at 11 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 12 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Nov 3 - Insurer American Financial Group's Q3 adj EPS beats on underwriting and premium growth

  • Nov 3 - AFG P&C combined ratio worsens 90 bps to 94% in comfortable Q3 earnings beat

  • Nov 4 - Allstate Q3 net income falls due to higher catastrophe losses, absence of prior-year sale gain


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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