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Canada's Cogeco Communications Q4 revenue falls on US subscriber losses, competitive pressure

Canada's Cogeco Communications Q4 revenue falls on US subscriber losses, competitive pressure


Overview

  • Canada telecom operator's Q4 revenue fell 1.9% but slightly beat analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q4 declined 1.9% year-over-year

  • Company raised quarterly dividend by 2% to C$1.007 per share


Outlook

  • Cogeco Communications expects fiscal 2027 revenue to decline low to mid single digits (constant currency)

  • Company sees fiscal 2027 adjusted EBITDA down mid to high single digits (constant currency)

  • Cogeco Communications expects fiscal 2027 free cash flow of C$500 mln to C$550 mln (constant currency)


Result Drivers

  • CANADIAN GROWTH - Co said Canadian telecom segment saw revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, driven by high-speed Internet additions and wireless sales

  • US SUBSCRIBER LOSSES - Co said American telecom segment revenue declined due to lower subscriber base and shift to Internet-only services amid competitive market

  • COST EFFICIENCIES - Co said transformation program delivered cost reductions and operating efficiencies, partly offsetting lower revenue


Company press release: ID:nCNW9Z0xra


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Revenue

Slight Beat*

C$695.50 mln

C$692.79 mln (7 Analysts)

Q4 Adjusted EPS

C$2.05

Q4 Adjusted EBITDA

C$344.80 mln

Q4 Free Cash Flow

C$104.20 mln

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 3 "strong buy" or "buy", 6 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the integrated telecommunications services peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Cogeco Communications Inc is C$67.50, about 25.6% above its October 28 closing price of C$53.76

  • The stock recently traded at 6 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 7 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Oct 28 - T-Mobile Q3 revenue beats estimates on postpaid service growth; lifts profit outlook

  • Oct 28 - Shenandoah Telecommunications Q3 revenue rises 4.6% on fiber growth

  • Oct 28 - Norway's Telenor Q3 service revenue rises, maintains 2026 forecast


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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