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REG - Lloyds Bank Plc Lloyds Banking Group - 2022 Q1 Interim Management Statement

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RNS Number : 5635J  Lloyds Bank PLC  27 April 2022

 

 

 

Lloyds Bank plc

Q1 2022 Interim Management Statement

27 April 2022

 

 

 

 

 

 

Member of the Lloyds Banking Group

REVIEW OF PERFORMANCE

Income statement

In the three months to 31 March 2022, the Group recorded a profit before tax
of £1,457 million compared to £1,768 million in the same period in 2021,
representing a reduction of £311 million as higher total income was more than
offset by the impact of a net impairment charge for the period compared to a
net credit in the first quarter of 2021. Profit after tax was £1,050 million.

Total income increased by £166 million, or 5 per cent, to £3,810 million in
the three months to 31 March 2022 compared to £3,644 million in the first
three months of 2021; there was an increase of £266 million in net interest
income offset by a decrease of £100 million in other income.

Net interest income was £2,922 million, an increase of £266 million compared
to £2,656 million in the three months to 31 March 2021. The increased net
interest income was driven by growth in average interest-earning assets and
deposits as well as an improved margin; the net interest margin benefited from
bank base rate increases and deposit growth, offsetting mortgage book margin
impacts.

Other income was £100 million lower at £888 million in the three months to
31 March 2022 compared to £988 million in the same period last year. Net fee
and commission income increased to £301 million, compared to £239 million in
the first quarter of 2021 due to higher card and other transaction-based
income streams, reflecting improved levels of customer activity compared to
the first quarter of 2021. Net trading income was £89 million lower at £91
million in the three months to 31 March 2022, in part reflecting the change
in fair value of interest rate derivatives and foreign exchange contracts in
the banking book not mitigated through hedge accounting. Other operating
income decreased to £496 million compared to £569 million in the three
months to 31 March 2021 as a result of lower gains on the disposal of
financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income.

Total operating expenses decreased by £37 million to £2,175 million compared
to £2,212 million in the first three months of 2021. There was a decrease of
£6 million in operating costs; the impact of staff pay increases was offset
by staff number reductions and an increase in IT-related costs, as a result of
the Group's strategic investment, was in part offset by increased gains on
disposal of operating lease assets as a result of strong used car prices. The
charge in respect of regulatory provisions was £31 million lower at £33
million and largely related to pre-existing programmes. There have been no
further charges relating to HBOS Reading since the end of 2021 and the
provision held continues to reflect the Group's estimate of its full
liability, albeit significant uncertainties remain.

There was a net impairment charge in the quarter of £178 million, compared to
a net credit of £336 million in the first quarter of 2021, largely reflecting
a low incurred charge and a charge in the first quarter of 2022 as a result of
revisions to the Group's economic outlook, as an improvement from unemployment
assumptions and house prices was offset by additional provisions taken to
capture elevated inflation risk.

Overall the Group's loan portfolio continues to be well-positioned, reflecting
a prudent through-the-cycle approach to credit risk with high levels of
security. The Group's expected credit loss (ECL) allowance remained stable in
the first three months of the year at £4,060 million (31 December 2021:
£4,000 million). The Group continues to retain £0.7 billion of net
management judgements in respect of coronavirus (31 December 2021: £0.8
billion); within this, the Group has maintained its central adjustment of
£0.4 billion to recognise the downside risks outside of the base case
conditioning assumptions. As noted above, additional judgements have been
raised to capture the increased risk of inflation and impact on the cost of
living, with a further £0.1 billion added in the quarter, largely within the
segments of the Retail book that are considered less resilient to disposable
income shocks.

 

REVIEW OF PERFORMANCE (continued)

Following changes in credit risk measurement and modelling associated with CRD
IV regulatory requirements during the quarter, the Group has amended its
definition of Stage 3 for UK mortgages to maintain alignment between IFRS 9
and regulatory definitions of default. Default continues to be considered to
have occurred when there is evidence that the customer is experiencing
financial difficulty which is likely to significantly affect their ability to
repay the amount due. For UK mortgages, this was previously deemed to have
occurred no later than when a payment was 180 days past due; in line with CRD
IV this has now been reduced to 90 days, as well as including end-of-term
payments on interest-only accounts and all non-performing loans. Overall ECL
is not impacted as management judgements were previously held in lieu of these
known changes, however they result in £0.1 billion of ECL moving from Stage 1
and 2 to Stage 3 with £1.5 billion of additional assets in Stage 3. These
changes also lead to £7.4 billion of additional assets moving to Stage 2
given the consequential change in approach to the prediction and modelling of
up to date accounts and their likelihood of reaching the new broader
definition of default in the future. Given these are up to date accounts with
low probability of default that are moving to Stage 2, there is no material
ECL impact. Absent this definitional change, the sustained low levels of new
to arrears observed means that mortgage accounts that are classified as Stage
2, due to being in early arrears, have reduced slightly in the quarter.

The Group recognised a tax expense of £407 million in the period compared to
£485 million in the first three months of 2021. On 2 February 2022, the UK
Government substantively enacted a change in banking surcharge from 8 per cent
to 3 per cent with effect from 1 April 2023. As a result of rate changes,
including the impact of the surcharge reduction, the Group recognised a
£12 million deferred tax charge in the income statement and a £69 million
credit within other comprehensive income, increasing the Group's net deferred
tax asset by £57 million.

Balance sheet

Total assets were £28,131 million, or 5 per cent higher at £630,980 million
at 31 March 2022 compared to £602,849 million at 31 December 2021. Cash and
balances at central banks rose by £28,536 million to £82,815 million
reflecting the placement of funds from increased available liquidity.
Financial assets at amortised cost were £1,566 million higher at £491,882
million at 31 March 2022 compared to £490,316 million at 31 December 2021, as
a result of a £2,041 million increase in loans and advances to customers,
net of impairment allowances, and £1,455 million in debt securities, offset
by a £1,740 million decrease in reverse repurchase agreement balances. The
increase in loans and advances to customers, net of impairment allowances was
driven by continued growth in the open mortgage book, partially offset by
further reductions in the closed mortgage book. Other assets increased
£2,657 million due to a £1,579 million increase in retirement benefit
assets as a result of significant accelerated pension contributions in the
period and a £509 million increase in current tax recoverable. Financial
assets at fair value through other comprehensive income were £4,191 million
lower at £23,595 million as a result of sales during the period.

Total liabilities were £28,297 million, or 5 per cent higher at £590,374
million compared to £562,077 million at 31 December 2021. Customer deposits
increased by £4,586 million, or 1 per cent, to £453,959 million compared to
£449,373 million at 31 December 2021, as a result of continued inflows to
retail current and savings accounts and commercial deposits. Repurchase
agreements at amortised cost increased £16,414 million to £46,520 million,
as the Group took advantage of favourable funding opportunities and debt
securities in issue increased by £6,415 million reflecting issuances of
commercial paper and certificates of deposit. Subordinated liabilities
decreased by £2,040 million following redemptions during the period.

Ordinary shareholders' equity decreased £155 million to £36,255 million at
31 March 2022 as retained profit for the period and positive actuarial
remeasurements in respect of the Group's post-retirement defined benefit
schemes were more than offset by negative movements in the cash flow hedging
reserve.

 

REVIEW OF PERFORMANCE (continued)

The Group's operations are predominantly UK-based with no direct credit
exposure to Russia or Ukraine. The Group does have credit exposure to
businesses that are impacted, either directly or indirectly, by higher energy
costs or commodity prices, or potential disruption within their supply chains.
Such activity is monitored through prudent risk management. The Group
continues to monitor and analyse carefully key internal and external
indicators for signs of contagion risk and any second or third order risks
that may arise from the war in Ukraine above and beyond those captured in the
macroeconomic outlook. Investigations so far have not revealed any significant
risks, although the Group remains vigilant and proactive risk mitigation is
undertaken as appropriate to ensure that it supports clients, including those
in financial difficulty, whilst protecting its portfolios.

Capital

The Group's common equity tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio reduced from 16.7 per
cent at 31 December 2021 to 14.1 per cent on 1 January 2022, before increasing
during the quarter to 14.5 per cent(1) at 31 March 2022. The reduction on
1 January 2022 reflected the impact of regulatory changes, including an
increase in risk-weighted assets as well as other related modelled impacts, in
addition to the reinstatement of the full deduction treatment for intangible
software assets and phased unwind of IFRS 9 transitional relief. The
subsequent increase during the quarter reflected profits for the period and a
reduction in risk-weighted assets, partly offset by accelerated pension
contributions.

The total capital ratio reduced from 23.5 per cent at 31 December 2021 to 20.0
per cent(1) at 31 March 2022.

Risk-weighted assets increased from £161.6 billion at 31 December 2021 to
around £178 billion on 1 January 2022, before reducing during the quarter
to £175.4 billion at 31 March 2022. The increase on 1 January 2022
reflected the impact of regulatory changes, including the implementation of
new CRD IV models to meet revised regulatory standards for modelled outputs
and a new standardised approach for measuring counterparty credit risk
(SA-CCR) following the UK implementation of the remainder of Capital
Requirements Regulation (CRR) 2. The subsequent reduction in risk-weighted
assets during the quarter was largely driven by optimisation activities and
model recalibrations, partially offset by the growth in balance sheet lending.

The UK leverage ratio reduced from 5.3 per cent at 31 December 2021 to 5.1 per
cent(1) at 31 March 2022.

 

(1        )Incorporating profits for the quarter that remain subject to
formal verification in accordance with capital regulations.

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT (UNAUDITED)

                                                   Three                                             Three

                                                   months                                            months

                                                   ended                                             ended

                                                   31 Mar                                            31 Mar

                                                   2022                                              2021
                                                   £m                                                £m

 Net interest income                                             2,922                                             2,656
 Other income                                                       888                                               988
 Total income                                                    3,810                                             3,644
 Operating expenses                                             (2,175)                                           (2,212)
 Impairment (charge) credit                                        (178)                                              336
 Profit before tax                                               1,457                                             1,768
 Tax expense                                                       (407)                                             (485)
 Profit for the period                                           1,050                                             1,283

 Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders                       986                                            1,176
 Profit attributable to other equity holders                          55                                              102
 Profit attributable to equity holders                           1,041                                             1,278
 Profit attributable to non-controlling interests                        9                                                 5
 Profit for the period                                           1,050                                             1,283

 

 

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET

                                                                    At 31 Mar 2022                               At 31 Dec 2021
                                                                    £m                                           £m
                                                                    (unaudited)                                  (audited)

 Assets
 Cash and balances at central banks                                             82,815                                       54,279
 Financial assets at fair value through profit or loss                            1,841                                        1,798
 Derivative financial instruments                                                 5,031                                        5,511
 Loans and advances to banks                                                      4,364                                        4,478
 Loans and advances to customers                                             432,870                                      430,829
 Reverse repurchase agreements                                                  47,968                                       49,708
 Debt securities                                                                  6,017                                        4,562
 Due from fellow Lloyds Banking Group undertakings                                   663                                          739
 Financial assets at amortised cost                                          491,882                                      490,316
 Financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income              23,595                                       27,786
 Other assets                                                                   25,816                                       23,159
 Total assets                                                                630,980                                      602,849

 Liabilities
 Deposits from banks                                                              4,266                                        3,363
 Customer deposits                                                           453,959                                      449,373
 Repurchase agreements at amortised cost                                        46,520                                       30,106
 Due to fellow Lloyds Banking Group undertakings                                  3,006                                        1,490
 Financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss                       5,919                                        6,537
 Derivative financial instruments                                                 5,047                                        4,643
 Debt securities in issue                                                       55,139                                       48,724
 Other liabilities                                                                9,900                                        9,183
 Subordinated liabilities                                                         6,618                                        8,658
 Total liabilities                                                           590,374                                      562,077

 Ordinary shareholders' equity                                                  36,255                                       36,410
 Other equity instruments                                                         4,268                                        4,268
 Non-controlling interests                                                             83                                           94
 Total equity                                                                   40,606                                       40,772
 Total equity and liabilities                                                630,980                                      602,849

 

 

ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION

1.             Basis of presentation

This release covers the results of Lloyds Bank plc together with its
subsidiaries (the Group) for the three months ended 31 March 2022.

Accounting policies

The accounting policies are consistent with those applied by the Group in its
2021 Annual Report and Accounts.

2.             Capital

Capital and leverage ratios reported as at 31 March 2022 incorporate profits
for the three months that remain subject to formal verification in accordance
with capital regulations. The Group's Q1 2022 Interim Pillar 3 Report will be
available in early May and can be found at:
https://www.lloydsbankinggroup.com/investors/financial-downloads.html.

ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)

3.             Group loans and advances to customers and expected
credit loss allowance

                                   Stage 1                                       Stage 2                         Stage 3                         POCI                        Total                                           Stage 2                   Stage 3

                                                                                                                                                                                                                             as % of                   as % of

                                                                                                                                                                                                                             total                     total
 At 31 March 2022                  £m                                            £m                              £m                              £m                          £m

 Loans and advances to customers

 UK mortgages                      266,028                                          29,188                            3,480                         10,768                    309,464                                               9.4                  1.1
 Credit cards                         12,181                                          2,092                              287                                -                   14,560                                        14.4                      2.0
 Loans and overdrafts                   8,225                                         1,213                              269                                -                     9,707                                        12.5                        2.8
 UK Motor Finance                     12,305                                          1,866                              192                                -                   14,363                                        13.0                        1.3
 Other                                16,148                                          2,302                           1,009                                 -                   19,459                                           11.8                     5.2
 Retail                              314,887                                        36,661                            5,237                         10,768                    367,553                                           10.0                       1.4
 SME                                  26,775                                          3,167                              822                                -                   30,764                                          10.3                       2.7
 Corporate and other                  34,131                                          3,151                           1,798                                 -                   39,080                                              8.1                    4.6
 Commercial Banking                   60,906                                          6,318                           2,620                                 -                   69,844                                              9.0                  3.8
 Other(1)                                 (762)                                            36                              56                               -                       (670)
 Total gross lending                375,031                                         43,015                            7,913                         10,768                    436,727                                               9.8                   1.8
 ECL allowance on drawn balances          (901)                                      (1,102)                         (1,643)                            (211)                    (3,857)
 Net balance sheet carrying value                  374,130                          41,913                            6,270                         10,557                                   432,870

 Customer related ECL allowance (drawn and undrawn)

 UK mortgages                                41                                          305                             269                             211                         826
 Credit cards                              151                                           284                             126                                -                        561
 Loans and overdrafts                      130                                           191                             136                                -                        457
 UK Motor Finance(2)                       106                                             72                            110                                -                        288
 Other                                       45                                            65                              56                               -                        166
 Retail                                    473                                           917                             697                             211                      2,298
 SME                                         61                                          121                               86                               -                        268
 Corporate and other                         65                                          155                             855                                -                     1,075
 Commercial Banking                        126                                           276                             941                                -                     1,343
 Other                                     406                                                1                               9                             -                        416
 Total                                  1,005                                         1,194                           1,647                              211                      4,057

 Customer related ECL allowance (drawn and undrawn) as a percentage of loans
 and advances to customers(3)

 UK mortgages                           -                                               1.0                             7.7                             2.0                         0.3
 Credit cards                             1.2                                            13.6                            57.5                         -                             3.9
 Loans and overdrafts                     1.6                                            15.7                            66.7                         -                             4.7
 UK Motor Finance                         0.9                                           3.9                      57.3                                 -                             2.0
 Other                                    0.3                                           2.8                         14.0                              -                             0.9
 Retail                                   0.2                                           2.5                         15.5                                2.0                         0.6
 SME                                      0.2                                           3.8                         12.8                              -                             0.9
 Corporate and other                      0.2                                           4.9                              47.6                         -                             2.8
 Commercial Banking                       0.2                                           4.4                              38.1                         -                             1.9
 Other                                                                                  2.8                         16.1                              -
 Total                                    0.3                                           2.8                              23.5                           2.0                         0.9

(1        )Contains centralised fair value hedge accounting
adjustments.

(2        )UK Motor Finance for Stages 1 and 2 includes £94 million
relating to provisions against residual values of vehicles subject to finance
leasing agreements. These provisions are included within the calculation of
coverage ratios.

(3        )Total and Stage 3 ECL allowances as a percentage of drawn
balances exclude loans in recoveries in credit cards of £68 million, loans
and overdrafts of £65 million, Retail other of £610 million, SME of £149
million and in Corporate and other of £2 million. Other excludes the £400
million ECL central adjustment.

ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)

3.             Group loans and advances to customers and expected
credit loss allowance (continued)

                                   Stage 1                                  Stage 2                         Stage 3                         POCI                        Total                                          Stage 2                       Stage 3

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       as % of                       as % of

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       total                         total
 At 31 December 2021               £m                                       £m                              £m                              £m                          £m

 Loans and advances to customers

 UK mortgages                          273,629                                 21,798                            1,940                         10,977                                  308,344                                7.1                           0.6
 Credit cards                         12,148                                     2,077                              292                                -                   14,517                                             14.3                          2.0
 Loans and overdrafts                   8,181                                    1,105                              271                                -                     9,557                                       11.6                               2.8
 UK Motor Finance                     12,247                                     1,828                              201                                -                   14,276                                              12.8                         1.4
 Other                                16,414                                     1,959                              778                                -                   19,151                                       10.2                                4.1
 Retail                               322,619                                  28,767                            3,482                         10,977                     365,845                                             7.9                           1.0
 SME                                  27,260                                     3,002                              843                                -                   31,105                                             9.7                           2.7
 Corporate and other                  32,056                                     3,081                           2,019                                 -                   37,156                                             8.3                           5.4
 Commercial Banking                   59,316                                     6,083                           2,862                                 -                   68,261                                             8.9                           4.2
 Other(1)                                  431                                        34                              62                               -                        527                                           6.5                            11.8
 Total gross lending                     382,366                               34,884                            6,406                         10,977                     434,633                                             8.0                           1.5
 ECL allowance on drawn balances          (909)                                 (1,112)                         (1,573)                            (210)                    (3,804)
 Net balance sheet carrying value               381,457                        33,772                            4,833                         10,767                                  430,829

 Customer related ECL allowance (drawn and undrawn)

 UK mortgages                                49                                     394                             184                             210                         837
 Credit cards                              144                                      249                             128                                -                        521
 Loans and overdrafts                      136                                      170                             139                                -                        445
 UK Motor Finance(2)                       108                                        74                            116                                -                        298
 Other                                       45                                       65                              55                               -                        165
 Retail                                    482                                      952                             622                             210                      2,266
 SME                                         61                                     104                               90                               -                        255
 Corporate and other                         63                                     140                             857                                -                     1,060
 Commercial Banking                        124                                      244                             947                                -                     1,315
 Other                                     406                                           2                               9                             -                        417
 Total                                  1,012                                    1,198                           1,578                              210                      3,998

 Customer related ECL allowance (drawn and undrawn) as a percentage of loans
 and advances to customers(3)

 UK mortgages                           -                                          1.8                             9.5                             1.9                         0.3
 Credit cards                             1.2                                    12.0                               56.9                         -                             3.6
 Loans and overdrafts                     1.7                                       15.4                            67.5                         -                             4.7
 UK Motor Finance                         0.9                                      4.0                              57.7                         -                             2.1
 Other                                    0.3                                      3.3                              13.8                         -                             0.9
 Retail                                   0.1                                      3.3                              20.9                           1.9                         0.6
 SME                                      0.2                                      3.5                              12.7                         -                             0.8
 Corporate and other                      0.2                                      4.5                              42.5                         -                             2.9
 Commercial Banking                       0.2                                      4.0                              34.8                         -                             1.9
 Other                                    1.4                                      5.9                              14.5                         -                             3.2
 Total                                    0.3                                      3.4                               27.4                          1.9                         0.9

(1     )Contains centralised fair value hedge accounting adjustments.

(2    )UK Motor Finance for Stages 1 and 2 includes £95 million relating
to provisions against residual values of vehicles subject to finance leasing
agreements. These provisions are included within the calculation of coverage
ratios.

(3   )Total and Stage 3 ECL allowances as a percentage of drawn balances
exclude loans in recoveries in credit cards of £67 million, loans and
overdrafts of £65 million, Retail other of £379 million, SME of £135
million and in Corporate and other of £4 million. Other excludes the £400
million ECL central adjustment.

( )

ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)

4.             UK economic assumptions

Scenarios by year

Key annual assumptions made by the Group are shown below. Gross domestic
product and CPI inflation are presented as an annual change, house price
growth and commercial real estate price growth are presented as the growth in
the respective indices within the period. UK Bank Rate and unemployment rate
are averages for the period. CPI numbers are translations of modelled RPIX
estimates, except for the base case view.

                                      2022                                   2023                                   2024                                   2025                                  2026                                  2022-2026

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       average
 At 31 March 2022                     %                                      %                                      %                                      %                                     %                                     %

 Upside
 Gross domestic product                      3.6                                    1.0                                    1.8                                    1.6                                   1.6                                   1.9
 UK Bank Rate                                  1.39                                   1.80                                   2.00                                   2.02                                  2.05                                  1.85
 Unemployment rate                           3.3                                    3.4                                    3.6                                    3.8                                   3.8                                   3.6
 House price growth                          5.3                                    4.8                                    4.9                                    3.9                                   3.8                                   4.5
 Commercial real estate price growth         9.1                                    3.1                                    0.5                                             (2.9)                                 (0.8)                        1.7
 CPI inflation                               7.6                                    4.6                                    2.2                                    2.1                                   2.3                                   3.8

 Base case
 Gross domestic product                      3.5                                    1.2                                    1.7                                    1.7                                   1.5                                   1.9
 UK Bank Rate                                  1.06                                   1.31                                   1.50                                   1.50                                  1.50                                  1.38
 Unemployment rate                           4.1                                    4.3                                    4.4                                    4.5                                   4.5                                   4.3
 House price growth                          3.3                                    0.0                                    0.2                                    0.7                                   1.0                                   1.0
 Commercial real estate price growth         0.5                                             (1.3)                                  (0.3)                                  (1.5)                                 (0.3)                                 (0.6)
 CPI inflation                               7.5                                    4.3                                    1.6                                    1.2                                   1.3                                   3.2

 Downside
 Gross domestic product                      3.3                                    0.7                                    1.6                                    1.7                                   1.5                                   1.7
 UK Bank Rate                                  0.67                                   0.47                                   0.52                                   0.53                                  0.53                                  0.54
 Unemployment rate                           5.1                                    6.1                                    6.1                                    6.0                                   5.9                                   5.8
 House price growth                          0.0                                             (7.0)                                  (6.7)                                  (5.0)                                 (2.2)                                 (4.2)
 Commercial real estate price growth                  (6.8)                                  (6.1)                                  (3.6)                                  (3.4)                                 (0.2)                                 (4.0)
 CPI inflation                               7.5                                    4.1                                    1.2                                    1.2                                   1.4                                   3.1

 Severe downside
 Gross domestic product                      1.1                                             (0.2)                         1.6                                    1.7                                   1.5                                   1.1
 UK Bank Rate                                  0.24                                   0.03                                   0.06                                   0.06                                  0.06                                  0.09
 Unemployment rate                           6.8                                    8.5                                    8.5                                    8.1                                   7.8                                   7.9
 House price growth                                   (1.4)                                  (12.1)                                 (12.3)                                 (9.4)                                 (6.1)                                 (8.4)
 Commercial real estate price growth                  (17.9)                                 (12.8)                                 (6.5)                                  (4.3)                                 (0.8)                                 (8.7)
 CPI inflation                               7.5                                    3.9                                    0.6                                    0.4                                   0.7                                   2.6

 Probability-weighted
 Gross domestic product                      3.2                                    0.8                                    1.7                                    1.6                                   1.5                                   1.8
 UK Bank Rate                                  0.96                                   1.08                                   1.21                                   1.22                                  1.23                                  1.14
 Unemployment rate                           4.4                                    5.0                                    5.1                                    5.1                                   5.0                                   4.9
 House price growth                          2.4                                             (1.9)                                  (1.7)                                  (1.1)                        0.1                                            (0.4)
 Commercial real estate price growth                  (1.0)                                  (2.6)                                  (1.7)                                  (2.8)                                 (0.5)                                 (1.7)
 CPI inflation                               7.5                                    4.3                                    1.6                                    1.4                                   1.6                                   3.3

 

ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)

4.             UK economic assumptions (continued)

Base case scenario by quarter

Key quarterly assumptions made by the Group are shown below. Gross domestic
product is presented quarter-on-quarter, house price growth, commercial real
estate growth and CPI inflation are presented year-on-year. UK Bank Rate and
unemployment rate are presented as at the end of each quarter.

                                      First                       Second                     Third                       Fourth                   First                  Second                        Third                 Fourth

                                      quarter                     quarter                    quarter                     quarter                  quarter                quarter                       quarter               quarter

                                      2022                        2022                       2022                        2022                     2023                   2023                          2023                  2023
 At 31 March 2022                     %                           %                          %                           %                        %                      %                             %                     %

 Gross domestic product                      0.8                         0.0                        0.2                         0.2                      0.4                    0.2                           0.4                   0.4
 UK Bank Rate                                  0.75                        1.00                       1.25                        1.25                     1.25                   1.25                      1.25                   1.50
 Unemployment rate                           3.9                         4.0                        4.1                         4.2                      4.2                    4.2                           4.3                   4.3
 House price growth                            10.5                      9.5                        6.5                         3.3                      1.4                    0.0                           0.1                   0.0
 Commercial real estate price growth           13.9               11.5                            6.7                         0.5                      (0.8)                     (2.0)                        (0.9)                 (1.3)
 CPI inflation                               5.9                         8.0                        7.9                         8.3                      7.5                    4.0                           3.9                   1.6

 

 

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

This document contains certain forward looking statements within the meaning
of Section 21E of the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and
section 27A of the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended, with respect to the
business, strategy, plans and/or results of Lloyds Bank plc together with its
subsidiaries (the Lloyds Bank Group) and its current goals and expectations.
Statements that are not historical or current facts, including statements
about the Lloyds Bank Group's or its directors' and/or management's beliefs
and expectations, are forward looking statements. Words such as, without
limitation, 'believes', 'achieves', 'anticipates', 'estimates', 'expects',
'targets', 'should', 'intends', 'aims', 'projects', 'plans', 'potential',
'will', 'would', 'could', 'considered', 'likely', 'may', 'seek', 'estimate',
'probability', 'goal', 'objective', 'deliver', 'endeavour', 'prospects',
'optimistic' and similar expressions or variations on these expressions are
intended to identify forward looking statements. These statements concern or
may affect future matters, including but not limited to: projections or
expectations of the Lloyds Bank Group's future financial position, including
profit attributable to shareholders, provisions, economic profit, dividends,
capital structure, portfolios, net interest margin, capital ratios, liquidity,
risk-weighted assets (RWAs), expenditures or any other financial items or
ratios; litigation, regulatory and governmental investigations; the Lloyds
Bank Group's future financial performance; the level and extent of future
impairments and write-downs; the Lloyds Bank Group's ESG targets and/or
commitments; statements of plans, objectives or goals of the Lloyds Bank Group
or its management and other statements that are not historical fact;
expectations about the impact of COVID-19; and statements of assumptions
underlying such statements. By their nature, forward looking statements
involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend upon
circumstances that will or may occur in the future. Factors that could cause
actual business, strategy, plans and/or results (including but not limited to
the payment of dividends) to differ materially from forward looking statements
include, but are not limited to: general economic and business conditions in
the UK and internationally; market related risks, trends and developments;
risks concerning borrower and counterparty credit quality; fluctuations in
interest rates, inflation, exchange rates, stock markets and currencies;
volatility in credit markets; volatility in the price of our securities; any
impact of the transition from IBORs to alternative reference rates; the
ability to access sufficient sources of capital, liquidity and funding when
required; changes to the Lloyds Bank Group's or Lloyds Banking Group plc's
credit ratings; the ability to derive cost savings and other benefits
including, but without limitation, as a result of any acquisitions, disposals
and other strategic transactions; inability to capture accurately the expected
value from acquisitions; potential changes in dividend policy; the ability to
achieve strategic objectives; insurance risks; management and monitoring of
conduct risk; exposure to counterparty risk; credit rating risk; tightening of
monetary policy in jurisdictions in which the Lloyds Bank Group operates;
instability in the global financial markets, including within the Eurozone,
and as a result of ongoing uncertainty following the exit by the UK from the
European Union (EU) and the effects of the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation
Agreement; political instability including as a result of any UK general
election and any further possible referendum on Scottish independence;
operational risks; conduct risk; technological changes and risks to the
security of IT and operational infrastructure, systems, data and information
resulting from increased threat of cyber and other attacks; natural pandemic
(including but not limited to the COVID-19 pandemic) and other disasters;
inadequate or failed internal or external processes or systems; acts of
hostility or terrorism and responses to those acts, or other such events;
geopolitical unpredictability; the war between Russia and Ukraine; risks
relating to sustainability and climate change (and achieving climate change
ambitions), including the Lloyds Bank Group's or the Lloyds Banking Group's
ability along with the government and other stakeholders to measure, manage
and mitigate the impacts of climate change effectively; changes in laws,
regulations, practices and accounting standards or taxation; changes to
regulatory capital or liquidity requirements and similar contingencies;
assessment related to resolution planning requirements; the policies and
actions of governmental or regulatory authorities or courts together with any
resulting impact on the future structure of the Lloyds Bank Group; failure to
comply with anti-money laundering, counter terrorist financing, anti-bribery
and sanctions regulations; failure to prevent or detect any illegal or
improper activities; projected employee numbers and key person risk; increased
labour costs; assumptions and estimates that form the basis of our financial
statements; the impact of competitive conditions; and exposure to legal,
regulatory or competition proceedings, investigations or complaints. A number
of these influences and factors are beyond the Lloyds Bank Group's control.
Please refer to the latest Annual Report on Form 20-F filed by Lloyds Bank plc
with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC), which is available
on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov, for a discussion of certain factors and
risks. Lloyds Bank plc may also make or disclose written and/or oral
forward-looking statements in other written materials and in oral statements
made by the directors, officers or employees of Lloyds Bank plc to third
parties, including financial analysts. Except as required by any applicable
law or regulation, the forward-looking statements contained in this document
are made as of today's date, and the Lloyds Bank Group expressly disclaims any
obligation or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any
forward looking statements contained in this document whether as a result of
new information, future events or otherwise. The information, statements and
opinions contained in this document do not constitute a public offer under any
applicable law or an offer to sell any securities or financial instruments or
any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or financial
instruments.

 

CONTACTS

For further information please contact:

INVESTORS AND ANALYSTS

Douglas Radcliffe

Group Investor Relations Director

020 7356 1571

douglas.radcliffe@lloydsbanking.com

Edward Sands

Director of Investor Relations

020 7356 1585

edward.sands@lloydsbanking.com

Eileen Khoo

Director of Investor Relations

07385 376435

eileen.khoo@lloydsbanking.com

Nora Thoden

Director of Investor Relations - ESG

020 7356 2334

nora.thoden@lloydsbanking.com

CORPORATE AFFAIRS

Grant Ringshaw

External Relations Director

020 7356 2362

grant.ringshaw@lloydsbanking.com

Matt Smith

Head of Media Relations

020 7356 3522

matt.smith@lloydsbanking.com

 

Copies of this interim management statement may be obtained from:

Investor Relations, Lloyds Banking Group plc, 25 Gresham Street, London EC2V
7HN

The statement can also be found on the Group's website -
www.lloydsbankinggroup.com

Registered office: Lloyds Bank plc, 25 Gresham Street, London EC2V 7HN

Registered in England No. 2065

This information is provided by RNS, the news service of the London Stock Exchange. RNS is approved by the Financial Conduct Authority to act as a Primary Information Provider in the United Kingdom. Terms and conditions relating to the use and distribution of this information may apply. For further information, please contact
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 or visit
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