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RNS Number : 4952T Macau Property Opportunities Fund 16 January 2025
Macau Property Opportunities Fund Limited
("MPO" or the "Company")
Investor Update H2 2024
KEY DATA
Inception date 5 June 2006
Exchange London Stock Exchange
Domicile Guernsey
Market capitalisation £15.5 million
Portfolio valuation US$135.9 million1 +0.8%
(vs 30 June 2024)
Adjusted NAV US$64.4 million1
Adjusted NAV per share US$1.04 1/ 83 p2 -2.6%
(vs 30 June 2024)
Share price 25 p -29.8%
(vs 30 June 2024)
Discount to adjusted NAV 70% 63%
(as at 30 June 2024)
Cash balance US$3.3 million1
Total debt US$69.2 million1
Loan-to-value ratio 49.7 %1
1 As at 30 September 2024.
2 Based on a US$/£ exchange rate of 1.256 as at 31 December 2024.
All other data are as at 31 December 2024.
Opening Paragraph
The Company made further progress with divestments, despite ongoing challenges
in the property sector. Notably, two villas at The Fountainside were sold,
along with five additional units at The Waterside. These transactions brought
total gross sales proceeds to c.US$93 million since the divestment programme
began in mid-2022. The Company allocated up to 85% of the sales proceeds to
debt reduction, reducing its overall loan-to-value ratio to 49.4%.
Portfolio
The Waterside
The Company sold a further five units at The Waterside in H2 2024for a total
gross value of HK$696.9 million (US$89.6 million). A total of 32 units out of
a total of 59 have now been sold since the divestment programme began in
mid-2022. Although the leasing programme at The Waterside has been terminated
to facilitate sales, some of the remaining 27 units continue to be leased for
shorter terms. At the end of 2024, the occupancy rate for the remaining units
was approximately 52% of the gross floor area.
The Fountainside
Two villas together with car-parking spaces at The Fountainside were sold in
H2 2024. The two villas were sold on an individual basis after the Manager was
unable to progress discussions with an en-bloc buyer. Further details about
the sales will be presented in the Company's forthcoming interim results.
Three reconfigured apartments and two car-parking spaces now remain available
for sale. Bureaucratic challenges have arisen relating to approvals for the
newly built parking spaces, which has affected the divestment of these units.
The Company continues to deploy numerous sales and marketing strategies to
divest the remaining assets.
Penha Heights
Investor interest in this trophy home had been hampered by the Covid-19
pandemic and remains affected by the prevailing high-interest rate environment
and weakness in China's economic recovery. To expand its appeal to potential
purchasers who currently remain on the sidelines, the Company has engaged a
firm of specialist Hong Kong real estate agents to market the property to
ultra-high-net-worth individuals in the region. In addition, the Company
continues to explore marketing avenues to showcase the property to a select
group of potential purchasers.
Property
Macau's real estate industry is beginning to benefit, albeit slowly, from the
government's removal of anti-speculation measures in early 2024 that had
dampened demand in the territory's residential property market for more than a
decade. The broader residential market concluded the first three quarters of
2024 with a transaction volume of 2,496 units, representing a 6% year-on-year
(YoY) increase.
The luxury residential market outperformed the overall market, with 163 sales
involving apartments of more than 150 square metres recorded during the first
three quarters of 2024, an overall increase of 38% YoY, albeit from a low
base. However, the number of transactions began to decline between Q2 and Q3,
with an overall 10% drop-in activity between the two quarters. The market also
saw a 7% decline in the average transaction price over the same period and,
despite a subsequent improvement in transaction volumes, prices continued on a
downward trajectory to hit a nine-year low.
Despite three interest rate cuts by the Monetary Authority of Macao in 2024,
new approvals for bank loans to purchase residential and commercial properties
saw declines, with residential mortgage approvals dropping by 57% month on
month to October, suggesting that potential purchasers were still sitting on
the sidelines.
The Chinese government has introduced a number of significant stimulus
measures to support GDP growth and the country's real estate sector. These
measures have started to have a visible impact on the residential property
sector in tier-1 cities in mainland China, but potential investors in Macau
have remained cautious and have continued to take a "wait and see" attitude.
Macau
Economy
During the first nine months of 2024, Macau's GDP expanded by 11.5% to
approximately 86% of 2019's figure. In Q3 2024, the territory's GDP rose by
4.7% YoY to 87.3% of Q3 2019's reading. This represents a continued growth
trajectory through 2024 to an expected GDP growth rate of 10.6% for the full
year, bringing the economy close to 93% of its 2019 pre-pandemic size of
approximately MOP419 billion (around US$52 billion).
However, the recovery remains uneven, with tourism and gaming leading the
rebound, but other sectors lagging behind. Many local enterprises are
performing poorly as they face stiff competition from businesses in nearby
cities such as Zhuhai, hampering their growth prospects.
The appointment of Macau's new chief executive, Sam Hou Fai, who took office
on 20 December with Chinese President Xi Jinping attending, is regarded as a
positive development for the territory. The change of leadership raises the
possibility of further economic support for Macau.
It is too early to assess extensively the impact on Macau of the recent US
presidential election. However, Macau's prospects remain firmly focused on
mainland China, where the outlook is potentially looking more positive in the
months ahead.
Tourism and gaming
Macau's visitor arrivals for 2024 showed strong growth in the second half of
2024, surging past the 30 million threshold for the first time since the
pandemic. Total visitor arrivals for full-year 2024 reached more than 34
million, 24% higher than in 2023 and 88% of their volume in 2019. For
full-year 2023, Macau recorded a total of around 28 million visitor arrivals.
The territory also showed remarkable progress in attracting international
visitors, growing that segment by 75% YoY to approximately 76% of 2019's
pre-pandemic level.
The gaming sector continued its strong performance in the second half of 2024,
with gross gaming revenue (GGR) reaching MOP227 billion for full-year 2024, a
24% increase YoY that equated to around 78% of pre-pandemic GGR in 2019.
Outlook
While Macau's economic outlook remains positive with the tourism and gaming
sectors expected to maintain their strong performance and GDP growth
forecasted at 5% for 2025, any meaningful benefits to the property market have
yet to materialise.
Property industry professionals in Macau have urged the government to take
further steps to stimulate the real estate sector. They propose expanding the
"residency through investment" programme to include property investments as
qualifying investments. This would align with measures introduced in Hong Kong
in late 2024 to revitalise its property market by encouraging foreign
investment.
The Company remains committed to its divestment programme, focusing on meeting
debt repayment schedules and returning capital to shareholders. A clear
strategy for 2025, including property-specific tactics, has been established.
The Board sincerely thanks shareholders for voting to extend the Company's
life for another year at the Annual General Meeting on 20 December 2024.
The Company's Interim Results are due to be published by late February.
About Macau Property Opportunities Fund
Premium listed on the London Stock Exchange, Macau Property Opportunities Fund
Limited (http://mpofund.com) is a closed-end investment company registered in
Guernsey and is the only quoted property fund dedicated to investing in Macau,
the world's leading gaming market and the only city in China where gaming is
legalised.
Launched in 2006, the Company targets strategic property investment and
development opportunities in Macau. Its current portfolio comprises prime
residential property assets.
The Company is managed by Sniper Capital Limited (http://snipercapital.com/) ,
an Asia-based property investment manager with an established track record in
fund management and investment advisory.
Stock Code
London Stock Exchange: MPO
LEI
213800NOAO11OWIMLR72
For further information:
Manager
Sniper Capital Limited
Group Communications
Tel: +853 2870 5151
Email: info@snipercapital.com (mailto:info@snipercapital.com)
Corporate Broker
Panmure Liberum
Darren Vickers
Tel: +44 20 3100 2222
Company Secretary & Administrator
Ocorian Administration (Guernsey) Limited
Kevin Smith
Tel: +44 14 8174 2742
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