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REG-PJSC PhosAgro: PhosAgro 1Q18 EBITDA Grows 13% YoY to RUB 14.3 bn

For Immediate Release   30 May 2018 

PhosAgro 1Q18 EBITDA Grows 13% YoY to RUB 14.3 bn

Moscow – PhosAgro ("PhosAgro" or the “Company") (Moscow Exchange, LSE:
PHOR), one of the world’s leading vertically integrated phosphate-based
fertilizer producers, today announces its consolidated IFRS financial results
for the three months ended 31 March 2018 (“1Q 2018”).

Revenue in 1Q 2018 increased by 23% year-on-year to RUB 54.6 billion (USD 960
million). EBITDA for 1Q 2018 was RUB 14.3 billion (USD 251 million), advancing
by 13% year-on-year, with an EBITDA margin of 26%. Net income (adjusted for
non-cash FX items)*** in 1Q 2018 increased by 13% year-on-year to RUB 6.3
billion (USD 111 million).

1Q 2018 financial and operational highlights

 RUB million or %    1Q 2018     1Q 2017   Chng, % YoY  
 Revenue             54,622      44,398        23%      
 EBITDA**            14,293      12,675        13%      
 EBITDA margin         26%         29%         -3pp     
 Net income           6,878      12,263       -4 4 %    
 Net income adj*      6,343       5,638       1 3 %     
                   31.03.2018  31.12.2017               
 Net debt            120,105     119,985                
 ND/LTM EBITDA        2.27x       2.34x                 
 Sales, 000' mt      1Q 2018     1Q 2017   Chng, % YoY  
 Phosphate-based      1,753       1,533        14%      
 Nitrogen-based        652         461        4 1 %     
 Phosphate rock        956         911          5%      

RUB/USD rates: average 1Q 2018: 56.9; average 1Q 2017: 58.8; as of 31 March
2018: 57.3; as of 31 December 2017: 57.6
**EBITDA is calculated as operating profit adjusted for depreciation and
amortisation.
* adjusted for non-cash FX items

*** Net Income adjusted calculated as Net Income minus Foreign exchange gain
(net)
 

PhosAgro CEO Andrey Guryev said: “I am proud of the financial results
PhosAgro has delivered for the first quarter of 2018. I would particularly
underscore the year-on-year improvements in EBITDA and free cash flow
generation, which shareholders have been eagerly awaiting following
management’s successful implementation of our multi-year strategy. We have
grown production organically, kept operating costs under control and completed
major construction projects on time and on budget. These achievements,
combined with a sustainable recovery in phosphate prices and our expectation
of a weaker year-on-year ruble, give us a high degree of confidence that the
Company has passed the bottom in terms of profitability.

“Operationally, PhosAgro is off to a strong start in 2018, with nearly 20%
year-on-year growth in downstream production and a more than 10% year-on-year
rise in upstream output. The impressive growth in our downstream operations
was provided by a nearly 50% year-on-year jump in production of nitrogen
products after the launch of our new granulated urea line in August 2017.

“Our sales strategy, which is based on the principle of moving closer to our
end customers, is also a cornerstone of our long-term strategy. In 1Q 2018
sales volumes increased by more than 20% year-on-year, while sales to our
priority European and Latin American markets advanced by over 60% and nearly
20% year-on-year, respectively. At the same time, we have maintained a focus
on a core principal of our sales strategy, which is to leverage our flexible
business model to maximise our net-back price. We boosted sales to North
America by almost 60% year-on-year as the North American market has become
highly attractive after the idling of Plant City by Mosaic.

“Looking ahead to market conditions in the second half of 2018, we remain
constructive on prices. Our view is based on exceptionally firm import demand
from India after two consecutive increases in phosphoric acid prices, and weak
import numbers in 1Q 2018 in Brazil (MAP imports were down by half
year-on-year), which means additional demand is likely to appear during the
summer ahead of the high season. Taken together, these factors should help the
market to avoid any traditional softening in prices in May-June and to move
into the traditionally strong July-September period, which is the autumn
season for markets like Russia, Europe and North America.”

1Q 2018 market conditions
* The average price of DAP (FOB Tampa) in 1Q 2018 was USD 404 per tonne, which
implies a year-on-year increase of USD 48, or 13%, per tonne.
* The key reasons behind the recovery in phosphate prices were: 1) idling of
Plant City by Mosaic, resulting in a deficit on the North American market and
higher import volumes; 2) a nearly 10% cut in exports from China during the
domestic market’s high season; and 3) lower shipments from Morocco as a
result of bad weather conditions. 
* The average price of urea (FOB Baltic) in 1Q 2018 was USD 226 per tonne vs.
USD 238 per tonne in 1Q 2017. The price decrease was due to cold spring
weather conditions in Europe and North America, which delayed the beginning of
seasonal demand.
Financial performance

Revenue in 1Q 2018 was up by 23% year-on-year to RUB 54.6 billion (USD 960
million), primarily driven by 21% year-on-year growth in the sales of
fertilizers and MCP and a 13% year-on-year increase in the average realised
price (in USD terms) for MAP/DAP/NPK/NPS products. These were partially
balanced on the negative side by further RUB strengthening against USD of 3%
year-on-year as well as a 13% year-on-year decrease in realised USD prices for
phosphate rock.

A more detailed revenue breakdown by key products is presented below.

Revenue breakdown by key products

 RUB million              1Q 2018  1Q 2017  Chng, % YoY  
 DAP/MAP                   18,631   15,151      23%      
 NPK(S)                    10,880   7,888       38%      
 PhosRock                  4,862    5,750       -15%     
 Nitrogen-based products   9,555    6,134       56%      

Gross profit was RUB 22.6 billion (USD 397 million) in 1Q 2018, up by 13%
year-on-year, with the gross profit margin declining to 41%, versus 45% in 1Q
2017. Gross profit and margin performance for the phosphate-based and
nitrogen-based segments in 1Q 2018 were as follows: 
* The phosphate-based segment saw a 2% year-on-year increase in gross profit
to RUB 17.3 billion (USD 303 million), while the gross margin decreased to
41%, from 47% in 1Q 2017.
* Gross profit for the nitrogen-based segment was up by 74% year-on-year to
RUB 5.0 billion (USD 88 million). The gross margin for the segment increased
to 52%, from 46% in 1Q 2017.
EBITDA increased by 13% year-on-year in 1Q 2018 to RUB 14.3 billion (USD 251
million), while the EBITDA margin declined to 26% from 29% in 1Q 2017. Net
profit (adjusted for non-cash FX items)*** amounted to RUB 6.3 billion (USD
111 million) in 1Q 2018, up by 13% year-on-year.

The RUB appreciated by 3% year-on-year against the USD during the quarter (the
average RUB/USD exchange rates for 1Q 2018 and 1Q 2017 were RUB 56.9 and RUB
58.8, respectively), which had a net negative impact, as prices for most of
the Company’s products are denominated in USD, while costs are primarily
RUB-based. The appreciation of the RUB as of 31 March 2018 (RUB 57.26 per USD)
compared to 31 December 2017 (RUB 57.60 per USD) resulted in an FX gain of RUB
0.5 billion (vs. a RUB 6.6 billion gain in 1Q 2017). 

Cash flow from operating activities in 1Q 2018 increased by 49% year-on-year
to RUB 10.4 billion (USD 183 million), mainly driven by lower income tax and
interest payments.

Gross debt (including finance lease liabilities) as of 31 March 2018 increased
marginally by 1% quarter-on-quarter to RUB 124 billion (USD 2.2 billion).
Nonetheless, net debt as of 31 March 2018 remained flat in comparison to
end-December 2017, at RUB 120 billion (USD 2.1 billion), representing a net
debt/LTM EBITDA ratio of 2.27x, versus 2.34x as of 31 December 2017.

Cost of Sales

 RUB million                                1Q 2018       1Q 2017       Chng, % YoY  
 Materials and services                      8,805         7,008            26%      
 D&A                                         4,754         2,801            70%      
 Natural gas                                 3,497         1,937            81%      
 Salaries and social contributions           3,201         2,873            11%      
 Sulphur and sulph. acid                     2,878         1,178            144%     
 Potash                                      2,272         1,444            57%      
 Fertilisers and other products for resale   1,862         1,647            13%      
 Electricity                                 1,427         1,418             1%      
 Ammonium sulphate                           1,099          735             50%      
 Ammonia                                     1,091         2,168            -50%     
 Fuel                                         999           940              6%      
 Heating energy                                  169         268         -37%        
 Total                                          32,054     24,417         31%        
                                                                                     

Cost of goods sold grew by 31% year-on-year in 1Q 2018 to RUB 32.1 billion
(USD 564 million). The key factors behind the growth were as follows:
* Spending on materials and services grew by 26% year-on-year to RUB 8.8
billion (USD 155 million), mainly driven by 19% year-on-year growth in overall
fertilizer production and 6% year-on-year PPI inflation.
* D&A reached RUB 4.8 billion (USD 84 million), up 70% year-on-year, due to
the commissioning of the new ammonia and urea units.
* Spending on natural gas increased by 81% year-on-year to RUB 3.5 billion
(USD 61 million), mainly due to nearly 80% year-on-year growth in ammonia
production after the launch of PhosAgro’s new ammonia unit, where natural
gas is the main feedstock.
* Salaries were up by 11% year-on-year to RUB 3.2 billion (USD 56 million),
mainly due to a higher headcount at the Kirovsk branch of Apatit.   
* Spending on sulphur and sulphuric acid was up by 144% year-on-year to RUB
2.9 billion (USD 51 million). The key reason for this was a more than doubling
of RUB-denominated prices (in sulphur equivalent) and 12% year-on-year growth
in production of phosphate-based fertilizers.
* Expenses on potash purchases came to RUB 2.3 billion (USD 40 million), up by
57% year-on-year, mainly driven by 26% growth in purchased volumes as a result
of an increase in production of NPK and by a 13% increase in RUB-denominated
prices.
* The 50% year-on-year decrease in spending on purchased ammonia, to RUB 1.1
billion (USD 19 million), was mainly due to a 50% year-on-year decrease in
purchase volumes after the launch of PhosAgro’s new ammonia unit.
* Spending on ammonium sulphate increased by 50% year-on-year to RUB 1.1
billion (USD 19 million), primarily as a result of 22% growth in consumption
(on the back of higher NPK and NPS production) and 4% growth in average
RUB-denominated prices.
Administrative expenses decreased by 4% year-on-year to RUB 3.6 billion (USD
64 million) in 1Q 2018, primarily due to an 18% year-on-year decrease in
personnel costs to RUB 2.0 billion (USD 36 million) on the back of lower bonus
payments

In 1Q 2018 selling expenses increased by 48% year-on-year to RUB 8.3 billion
(USD 145 million). The main factors behind the growth were: 1) freight, port
and stevedoring expenses grew by 68% year-on-year to RUB 4.1 billion (USD 73
million) primarily due to a 24% year-on-year increase in export sales of
phosphate rock and fertilizers, as well as growth in shipping rates and
changes in incoterms (more CFR sales); 2) spending on transportation grew by
19% year-on-year to RUB 2.8 billion (USD 50 million), driven by the 16%
year-on-year growth in overall sales and the indexation in railroad tariffs.

Capital expenditure for 1Q 2018 came in at RUB 8.9 billion (USD 157 million),
flat year-on-year. Capital expenditures were primarily focused on the further
development of the upstream business, as well as modernisation of the
phosphate business and construction of new sulphuric and nitric acid plants.

Outlook

Market outlook
* Imports of phosphates to India are expected to reach 5.0-5.5 million tonnes
of DAP in 2018, implying a 25%+ year-on-year increase over the 4.0 million
tonnes imported in 2017. The growth in imports is being driven by the increase
in phosphoric acid prices, which currently stand at USD 730 per tonne of
P(2)O(5), or USD 150 higher than a year ago, making Indian domestic production
loss-making.
* PhosAgro expects to see typically high activity in 2Q and 3Q in the domestic
Russian market, as well as postponed demand in Latin America driven by the
artificial cut in import to Brazil in 1Q 2018.
* Rising competition and the ramping-up new capacities from Maaden 2 and the
final fourth unit of OCP are the main factors that could limit the further
upward trend in phosphate prices.    
* Stable prices for the main phosphate products means demand and prices for
sulphur are due to firm.
Conference call and webcast

PhosAgro will hold a conference call and webcast today at 14:30 London time
(16:30 Moscow; 09:30 New York).

The call will be held in English, with simultaneous translation into Russian
on a separate line.

Webcast links:

English:
http://event.onlineseminarsolutions.com/wcc/r/1679371-1/48997544507D22B55F037772E08AF95B?partnerref=rss-events   

Russian:
http://event.onlineseminarsolutions.com/wcc/r/1679393-1/9CF8DC84B49481BE021D474D23B52BEF?partnerref=rss-events   

Participant dial-in numbers:

Russian Federation       +7 495 221 6523
Russian Federation       8 10 8002 041 4011
United Kingdom           +44 203 043 2440
United Kingdom           0808 238 1774
United States              1 877 887 4163

Conference ID numbers:

English call: 67573894#
Russian call: 37002369#
 

For further information please contact:

PhosAgro

Alexander Seleznev, Head of Investor Relations Department
+7 495 232 9689 ext 2187
ir@phosagro.ru

Timur Belov, Press Officer
Anastacia Basos, Deputy Press Secretary
+7 495 232 9689

EM
Sam VanDerlip
vanderlip@em-comms.com
+44 7554 993 032
+7 499 918 3134

PhosAgro (www.phosagro.ru) is one of the world’s leading vertically
integrated phosphate-based fertilizer producers in terms of production volumes
of phosphate-based fertilizers and high-grade phosphate rock with a P(2)O(5)
content of not less than 39% (according to IFA, Fertecon and CRU).

PhosAgro’s main products include phosphate rock, 39 grades of fertilizers,
feed phosphates, ammonia, and sodium tripolyphosphate, which are used by
customers in 100 countries spanning all of the world’s inhabited continents.
The Company’s priority markets outside of Russia and the CIS are Latin
America, Europe and Asia.

PhosAgro’s shares are traded on the Moscow Exchange, and global depositary
receipts (“GDRs”) for shares trade on the London Stock Exchange (under the
ticker PHOR). Since 1 June 2016, the Company’s GDRs have been included in
the MSCI Russia and MSCI Emerging Markets indexes.  

                                                                       Three months ended 31 March      
                                                                      2018                     2017     
                                                                  RUB million              RUB million  
 Revenues                                                            54,622                   44,398    
 Cost of sales                                                      (32,054)                 (24,417)   
 Gross profit                                                        22,568                   19,981    
                                                                                                        
 Administrative expenses                                            (3,643)                  (3,787)    
 Selling expenses                                                   (8,260)                  (5,588)    
 Taxes, other than income tax                                        (887)                    (627)     
 Other expenses, net                                                 (692)                    (421)     
 Operating profit                                                    9,086                    9,558     
                                                                                                        
 Finance income                                                        99                      192      
 Finance costs                                                      (1,229)                  (1,061)    
 Foreign exchange gain, net                                           535                     6,625     
 Share of profit of associates                                         87                      125      
 Profit before tax                                                   8,578                    15,439    
                                                                                                        
 Income tax expense                                                 (1,700)                  (3,176)    
 Profit for the period                                               6,878                    12,263    
                                                                                                        
 Attributable to:                                                                                       
 Non-controlling interests ^                                           16                       3       
 Shareholders of the Parent                                          6,862                    12,260    
                                                                                                        
 Other comprehensive income                                                                             
 Items that will never be reclassified to profit or loss                                                
 Actuarial gains and losses, net of tax                                -                        -       
 Items that may be reclassified subsequently to profit or loss                                          
 Foreign currency translation difference                              342                     (864)     
 Other comprehensive income/(loss) for the period                     342                     (864)     
 Total comprehensive income for the period                           7,220                    11,399    
                                                                                                        
 Attributable to:                                                                                       
 Non-controlling interests ^                                           16                       3       
 Shareholders of the Parent                                          7,204                    11,396    
 Basic and diluted earnings per share (in RUB)                         53                       95      

   

                                                                               31 March 2018             31 December 2017    
                                                                                RUB million                 RUB million      
 Assets                                                                                                                      
 Property, plant and equipment                                                    176,635                     175,113        
 Advances issued for property, plant and equipment                                 3,180                       2,334         
 Intangible assets                                                                 1,810                       1,773         
 Investments in associates                                                          960                         969          
 Deferred tax assets                                                               5,543                       5,371         
 Other non-current assets                                                          1,910                       1,955         
 Non-current assets                                                               190,038                     187,515        
                                                                                                                             
 Other current investments                                                          385                         352          
 Inventories                                                                      26,132                      27,345         
 Trade and other receivables                                                      35,215                      33,727         
 Cash and cash equivalents                                                         3,879                       2,691         
 Current assets                                                                   65,611                      64,115         
 Total assets                                                                     255,649                     251,630        
                                                                                                                             
 Equity                                                                                                                      
 Share capital                                                                      372                         372          
 Share premium                                                                     7,494                       7,494         
 Retained earnings                                                                89,622                      85,480         
 Other reserves                                                                    5,109                       4,767         
 Equity attributable to shareholders of the Parent                                102,597                     98,113         
 Equity attributable to non-controlling interests                                   145                         129          
 Total equity                                                                     102,742                     98,242         
                                                                                                                             
 Liabilities                                                                                                                 
 Loans and borrowings                                                             104,810                     76,530         
 Finance lease liabilities                                                          848                        1,004         
 Defined benefit obligations                                                        942                         950          
 Deferred tax liabilities                                                          8,552                       7,914         
 Non-current liabilities                                                          115,152                     86,398         
                                                                                                                             
 Loans and borrowings                                                             17,392                      44,025         
 Finance lease liabilities                                               934                                1,117            
 Trade and other payables                                                      19,429                       21,848           
 Current liabilities                                                           37,755                       66,990           
 Total equity and liabilities                                                  255,649                     251,630           
                                                                                                                             

   

                                                                                   Three months ended 31 March      
                                                                                  2018                     2017     
                                                                              RUB million              RUB million  
 Cash flows from operating activities                                                                               
 Profit before tax                                                               8,578                    15,439    
 Adjustments for:                                                                                                   
 Depreciation and amortisation                                                   5,207                    3,117     
 Loss on disposal of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets          127                      575      
 Finance income                                                                   (99)                    (192)     
 Finance costs                                                                   1,229                    1,061     
 Share of profit of associates                                                    (87)                    (125)     
 Foreign exchange gain, net                                                      (575)                   (6,673)    
 Operating profit before changes in working capital and provisions               14,380                   13,202    
 Decrease in inventories                                                         1,161                     153      
 (Increase)/Decrease in trade and other receivables                             (1,990)                   2,523     
 Decrease in trade and other payables                                           (1,516)                  (4,900)    
 Cash flows from operations before income taxes and interest paid                12,035                   10,978    
 Income tax paid                                                                 (616)                   (2,864)    
 Finance costs paid                                                              (988)                   (1,107)    
 Cash flows from operating activities                                            10,431                   7,007     
                                                                                                                    
 Cash flows from investing activities                                                                               
 Acquisition of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets             (8,954)                  (8,949)    
 Repayment of loans issued, net                                                    15                      115      
 Proceeds from disposal of property, plant and equipment                           3                        26      
 Finance income received                                                           46                       70      
 Other payments                                                                  (213)                      -       
 Disposal of investments, net                                                      -                       245      
 Cash flows used in investing activities                                        (9,103)                  (8,493)    
                                                                                                                    
 Cash flows from financing activities                                                                               
 Proceeds from borrowings                                                        43,164                   18,470    
 Repayment of borrowings                                                        (41,961)                 (8,056)    
 Dividends paid to shareholders of the Parent                                   (1,563)                  (5,051)    
 Finance leases paid                                                             (371)                    (483)     
 Other proceeds                                                                    -                        63      
 Cash flows (used in)/from financing activities                                  (731)                    4,943     
 Net increase in cash and cash equivalents                                        597                     3,457     
 Cash and cash equivalents at 1 January                                          2,691                    7,261     
 Effect of exchange rates fluctuations                                            591                     (514)     
 Cash and cash equivalents at 31 March                                           3,879                    10,204    



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