The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
By Hudson Lockett
HONG KONG, April 10 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Seven & i's 3382.T decision to push back the listing of 7-Eleven was almost certainly the right call. But time is running out for the Japanese corner store empire to improve operations at its North American gas-and-goods subsidiary—a key plank in CEO Stephen Dacus' bid to revive growth and improve shareholder returns. The case is building for spurned Canadian suitor Alimentation Couche-Tard ATD.TO to take another run.
The planned spin-off of the $34 billion group's largest foreign business, spanning 13,000 shops across the U.S. and Canada, was whipped up last year to help fund 2 trillion yen ($12.6 billion) in share buybacks through 2030. That was part of a broader drive led by Dacus to reassure shareholders deprived of a juicy payout following the collapse of Couche-Tard's $46 billion buyout offer. After announcing the IPO delay on Thursday, Seven & i insisted this programme will continue apace. That, however, didn't stop investors from dumping the stock, which has now fallen 6% since the Nikkei published a report on the delay just before Thursday's market close.
This reflects an uncomfortable reality for the Seven & i boss who, per the Financial Times, said that any listing would be “driven strictly by value”, adding the delay was necessitated by slow progress in turning the American business and market conditions. Dacus took the helm last year with a mandate to convince investors that their best bet to secure sustained returns lay with management in Tokyo.
Progress has been dismal so far. 7-Eleven's same-store merchandise sales fell in three out of the last four quarters, with those in the December quarter down 0.6% year-on-year. To further complicate matters, the American chain also relies on petrol sales, leaving it exposed to oil price shocks like those now roiling global markets. Since Couche-Tard walked away in July, Seven & i has delivered measly shareholder returns of 4.5%, versus 34.6% for Japan's benchmark Topix .TOPX index.
Such struggles are music to the ears of Couche-Tard chair Alain Bouchard, who dropped his 2,600 yen per share takeover bid due to what the Circle K owner described as a lack of engagement from Seven & i. Shares in the latter now trade at a 20% discount to that offer price, leaving a wide gap for the Canadian rival to step through if it wants another crack at Japan’s largest-ever foreign acquisition.
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CONTEXT NEWS
Seven & i Holdings said on April 9 that it will push back the planned listing of its North American operations to the financial year starting April 2027 or later, from the second half of 2026 previously. Chief Executive Stephen Dacus said slow progress in turning around the business as well as market conditions had necessitated the delay, the Financial Times reported.
Shares in Seven & i finished the session 4.6% lower after Japan’s Nikkei newspaper reported the delay shortly before market close. During morning trading in Tokyo on April 10, the stock was trading at a roughly 20% discount to the rejected 2,600 yen offer price floated last year by Canada’s Alimentation Couche-Tard.
Seven & i shares trade well below Couche-Tard's offer price https://www.reuters.com/graphics/BRV-BRV/gdpzanaqlvw/chart.png
(Editing by Robyn Mak; Production by Ujjaini Dutta)
((For previous columns by the author, Reuters customers can click on LOCKETT/ hudson.lockett@thomsonreuters.com))