(The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions
expressed are his own.)
By Quentin Webb
HONG KONG, June 30 (Reuters Breakingviews) - A Chinese
building materials group is helping to firm up China's sloppy
cement industry. Beijing-based BBMG 601992.SS 2009.HK is
injecting $2 billion of assets into Jidong Cement 000401.SZ
and taking control of its weaker rival's parent company. This
and other big deals are helping rationalise China's glutted
construction-goods industry - even if the M&A is often neither
quick nor straightforward.
Tackling overcapacity in coal, steel, cement, glass,
aluminium and ship-making is key to President Xi Jinping's
"supply-side" reforms. After reckless expansion in China's boom
years, far too many plants are now idle: the country's cement
business used just 71 percent of its capacity last year, UBS
reckons. Unused production is even greater in steel, coal and
glass.
Beijing wants the strong to take charge. In cement, that
means the top ten producers will have 60 percent of the market
by 2020, up from 53 percent now, according to UOB Kay Hian data.
Bosses are listening. For example, China National Building
Material (CNBM) and China National Materials Group have been
talking about a "strategic reorganisation" since January.
The latest deal, first trialed in April, will see BBMG buy
55 percent of unlisted Jidong Development for about 5.2 billion
yuan ($780 million). The government of Tangshan, Jidong's
northeastern hometown, will own the rest. On June 29 BBMG
fleshed out the second part of the transaction, saying it would
swap cement assets valued at nearly 13 billion yuan for 45
percent of Shenzhen-listed affiliate Jidong Cement.
The terms look reasonable. Citi analysts say the investment
in Jidong Development implies an enterprise value of 308 yuan
per tonne of cement at Jidong, in line with other recent deals.
The combined group should benefit from healthy 60 percent-plus
market share in and around Beijing.
Still, the structure is fiddly, and the combined group will
have to balance competing official interests in Beijing and
Hebei. Consolidating big, listed groups might prove easier than
persuading smaller non-public outfits to sell up. That limits
the industry-wide scope for getting rid of excess supply. And
there will be hiccups too: shares in West China Cement
2233.HK , another bid target, mysteriously crashed on June 28.
They are now halted ahead of an update on a pending bid from
Anhui Conch 600585.SS . It's a reminder that, in China, even
overdue consolidation is rarely straightforward.
On Twitter https://twitter.com/qtwebb
CONTEXT NEWS
- Beijing building materials specialist BBMG said on June 29
it had reached a deal to sell its cement and concrete businesses
for stock in Shenzhen-listed Tangshan Jidong Cement, at a
preliminary valuation of 12.95 billion yuan ($1.95 billion).
- Jidong Cement is also raising up to 3.0 billion yuan in
fresh equity by selling shares to no more than 10 investors.
Once both transactions are complete, BBMG will hold a 45.4
percent stake in Jidong Cement.
- The asset injection is part of a broader tie-up that has
been under discussion for months. On May 31, BBMG said it had
agreed to buy 4.75 billion yuan of new shares in Jidong Cement's
unlisted parent company, Jidong Development, and buy a further
475 million yuan of existing shares.
- Those deals would give BBMG, which is listed in Shanghai
and Hong Kong, 55 percent of Jidong Development. The remaining
45 percent is owned by the State-owned Assets Supervision and
Administration Commission (SASAC) of Tangshan, a city in Hebei
province to the east of Beijing. Jidong Development is also a
major shareholder in Shenzhen-listed Jidong Equipment.
- BBMG statement: http://bit.ly/29gUEvO
- Reuters: China's BBMG to sell stakes in cement-related
units to Jidong Cement urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL4N19L487
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(Editing by Peter Thal Larsen and Katrina Hamlin)
((quentin.webb@thomsonreuters.com;)(Reuters
Messaging:)(quentin.webb.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))
Keywords: CHINA CEMENT/BREAKINGVIEWS