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REG - BHP Group Limited - Quarterly Activities Report

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RNS Number : 5104I  BHP Group Limited  17 October 2024

   17 October 2024

Operational review for the quarter ended 30 September 2024

Strong operational performance with increased copper, iron ore and coal
production.

"BHP had a strong start to the 2025 financial year, with production up across
all major commodities for the quarter. Copper production was up 4% due to
higher grade and recoveries at Escondida, and WAIO production was up 3% as we
unlocked capacity by completing the debottlenecking work at the port.

We are also seeing signs of stabilisation in our steelmaking coal business
with production up 20% in the quarter, excluding the recently divested
Blackwater and Daunia mines.

We added to our copper growth prospects in the quarter, announcing a proposed
50/50 joint venture in Argentina with Lundin Mining to advance what we
consider to be one of the most significant global copper discoveries in
decades.

In Canada, our Jansen Stage 1 potash project is 58% complete after a
productive summer period with first production scheduled in around two years.

China has announced a series of monetary easing policies in an effort to
support economic growth, and has indicated more significant fiscal stimulus is
on the horizon. Upcoming stimulus is likely to focus on relieving local debt,
stabilising the property market and bolstering business confidence."

Mike Henry

BHP Chief Executive Officer

Summary
 Operational excellence                                                           Social value
 On track to meet FY25 production guidance                                        Climate Transition Action Plan
 Strong operational performance with copper production increasing 4% driven by    We released our second Climate Transition Action Plan (CTAP)
 higher concentrator feed grades and recoveries at Escondida. Production at       (https://www.bhp.com/sustainability/climate-change/climate-transition-action-plan)
 WAIO increased 2% following commissioning of the Port Debottlenecking Project    which lays out our climate strategy and GHG emissions goals and targets, and
 (PDP1) and completion of the South Flank ramp up.                                provides an in depth view of our plans and how we're progressing against them.
                                                                                  The CTAP will be put to a shareholder advisory vote at our upcoming AGM on 30
                                                                                  October 2024
                                                                                  (https://www.bhp.com/news/media-centre/releases/2024/09/notice-of-annual-general-meeting)
                                                                                  . We also announced collaborations with India's JSW Steel and Carbon Clean
                                                                                  (https://www.bhp.com/news/articles/2024/10/bhp-carbon-clean-and-jsw-steel-sign-agreement-to-explore-carbon-cleans-cyclonecc-technology)
                                                                                  and Steel Authority of India
                                                                                  (https://www.bhp.com/news/media-centre/releases/2024/10/bhp-and-sail-sign-mou-to-accelerate-potential-pathways-to-steel-decarbonisation)
                                                                                  to support decarbonisation technology in steelmaking.
 Portfolio                                                                        Outlook
 Increased exposure to copper                                                     Copper outlook supports growth pipeline
 In July, we agreed to jointly acquire Filo Corp.                                 We published our outlook for the copper market
 (https://www.bhp.com/news/media-centre/releases/2024/07/bhp-and-lundin-mining)   (https://www.bhp.com/news/bhp-insights/2024/09/how-copper-will-shape-our-future)
 with Lundin Mining through a Canadian plan of arrangement. In September, the     , including copper demand, copper supply and long-term copper pricing. We
 Filo Corp shareholders approved the plan of arrangement. We also agreed to       expect copper demand to grow by 70% by 2050, as a result of traditional
 form a 50/50 joint venture with Lundin Mining to consolidate and advance the     economic growth, electrification and the energy transition, and digital
 Filo del Sol and Josemaria copper projects. We expect the transaction to         infrastructure (including data centres). We will be hosting an investor site
 complete in Q3 FY25, subject to regulatory approvals.                            visit to our Chilean copper assets in November 2024 to outline our attractive
                                                                                  organic copper growth pipeline in the region.
 Production                                                                                                Quarter performance                                                        Production guidance
                                                                                                           Q1 FY25                  v Q4 FY24                v Q1 FY24                Current FY25

guidance
 Copper (kt)                                                                                                476.3                   (6%)                     4%                       1,845 - 2,045
   Escondida (kt)                                                                                          304.2                    (2%)                     11%                      1,180 - 1,300            Unchanged
   Pampa Norte (kt)(i)                                                                                     60.1                     (9%)                     (23%)(i)                 240 - 270(i)             Unchanged
   Copper South Australia (kt)                                                                             73.4                     (18%)                    2%                       310 - 340                Unchanged
   Antamina (kt)                                                                                           36.3                     (5%)                     12%                      115 - 135                Unchanged
   Carajás (kt)                                                                                            2.3                      10%                      10%                      -                        -
 Iron ore (Mt)                                                                                              64.6                    (7%)                     2%                       255 - 265.5
   WAIO (Mt)                                                                                                63.4                    (7%)                     2%                       250 - 260                Unchanged
   WAIO (100% basis) (Mt)                                                                                   71.6                    (7%)                     3%                       282 - 294                Unchanged
   Samarco (Mt)                                                                                            1.3                      23%                      4%                       5 - 5.5                  Unchanged
 Steelmaking coal - BMA (Mt)                                                                               4.5                      (8%)                     (19%)(ii)                16.5 - 19
   BMA (100% basis) (Mt)                                                                                   9.0                      (8%)                     (19%)(ii)                33 - 38                  Unchanged
 Energy coal - NSWEC (Mt)                                                                                  3.7                      (2%)                     2%                       13 - 15                  Unchanged
 Nickel - Western Australia Nickel (kt)                                                                    19.6                     (15%)                    (3%)                     -                        -

i         Q1 FY24 includes 9.5 kt from Cerro Colorado which entered
care and maintenance in December 2023. Excluding these volumes, Q1 FY25
production decreased 13%. Production guidance for FY25 is for Spence only.
Refer to production and sales report (#_Appendix_2_2) and copper (#_Copper)
for further information.

ii        Q1 FY24 production includes 1.8 Mt (3.7 Mt on a 100% basis)
from Blackwater and Daunia mines which were divested on 2 April 2024.
Excluding these volumes, Q1 FY25 production increased 20%. Refer to production
and sales report (#_Appendix_2_2) and steelmaking coal (#_Metallurgical_coal)
for further information.

 

   Further information in Appendix 1 (#_Appendix_1)

   Detailed production and sales information for all operations in Appendix 2
   (#_Appendix_2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

BHP | Operational review for the year ended 30 September 2024

Segment and asset performance | FY25 YTD v FY24 YTD
Copper
 Production               Total copper production increased 4% to 476 kt. Copper production guidance for

                        FY25 remains unchanged at between 1,845 and 2,045 kt.
 476 kt Up 4%
Escondida 304 kt Up 11% (100% basis)

Increased production primarily due to a higher concentrator feed grade of
 Q1 FY24 457 kt           1.00% (Q1 FY24: 0.85%) and higher recoveries as mining progressed into areas

                        of higher-grade ore as planned. This was partially offset by planned lower
 FY25e 1,845 - 2,045 kt   cathode production, as the integration of the FullSaL project continued. The

                        project remains on track for first production later in FY25.

                        A new collective agreement with Union N°1 of Operators and Maintainers was
 Average realised price   signed and became effective for 36 months from 2 August 2024. The associated

                        industrial action did not have a material impact on production during the
 US$4.24/lb Up 17%        quarter as a result of mitigating actions taken by management, including mine

                        resequencing and prioritisation of ore movement.
 Q1 FY24 US$3.63/lb

                        During Q1 FY25, one access ramp into the PL1 high grade mining area was
                          impacted by geotechnical instability. We utilised alternative access ramps and

                        completed stabilisation works, and as a result no material production impacts
                          are expected.

                          Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 1,180 and 1,300 kt,
                          weighted to the second half. Concentrator feed grade for FY25 is expected to
                          remain above 0.90%.

                          Pampa Norte 60 kt Down 23%

                          Spence production decreased 13% as expected, as a result of lower cathode
                          production in line with an expected decline in stacked feed grade and planned
                          quarterly maintenance at the concentrator. Concentrator feed grade and
                          recoveries are in line with prior periods.

                          Production guidance for Spence remains unchanged at between 240 and 270 kt for
                          FY25.

                          Cerro Colorado remains in temporary care and maintenance (having contributed
                          9.5 kt in Q1 FY24).

Copper South Australia 73 kt Up 2%

Higher production primarily driven by strong underlying operational
                          performance, particularly at Carrapateena following the commissioning of
                          Crusher 2 in Q3 FY24 which has enabled higher productivity from the sub-level
                          cave and resulted in an increase in ore mined and milled. We also completed
                          planned major maintenance at Olympic Dam on the hoist and underground
                          materials handling system, and annual planned maintenance at the refinery.
                          Production was lower at Prominent Hill due to minor pit geotechnical
                          instability and ventilation constraints which impacted trucking capacity and
                          ore mined, both of which have since been rectified.

                          Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 310 and 340 kt,
                          weighted to the second half.

Other copper

At Antamina, copper production increased 12% to 36 kt as a result of higher
                          ore grade and recoveries, partially offset by planned lower concentrator
                          throughput. Zinc production was 46% lower at 19 kt, as a result of planned
                          lower feed grades. FY25 copper production guidance of between 115 and 135 kt
                          and zinc production guidance of between 90 and 110 kt remain unchanged.

                          Carajás produced 2.3 kt of copper and 1.7 troy koz of gold.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

 

 

 

 

BHP | Operational review for the year ended 30 September 2024

Iron ore
 Production               Iron ore production increased 2% to 65 Mt. Production guidance for FY25

                        remains unchanged at between 255 and 265.5 Mt.
 65 Mt Up 2%
WAIO 63.4 Mt Up 2% | 71.6 Mt (100% basis)

Production increased as a result of strong supply chain performance with
 Q1 FY24 63 Mt            increased capacity unlocked by PDP1. Higher volumes were delivered from the

                        Central Pilbara hub (South Flank and Mining Area C) following the completion
 FY25e 255 - 265.5 Mt     of South Flank ramp up in FY24. We continue to progress the multi-year Rail

                        Technology Program (RTP1), with tie-in activity increasing in FY25.

                        Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 250 and 260 Mt (282
 Average realised price   and 294 Mt on a 100% basis).

Samarco 1.3 Mt Up 4% | 2.6 Mt (100% basis)]
 US$80.10/wmt Down 18%
Production increased due to early resumption of Pelletizing Plant No. 4

                        enabling improved performance. Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged
 Q1 FY24 US$98.04/wmt     at between 5 and 5.5 Mt. The second concentrator at Samarco is expected to

                        come online during Q3 FY25, which will increase production capacity to ~16
                          Mtpa of pellets (100% basis) once fully ramped up, which is expected to be by

                        the end of FY26.

                        BHP Brasil, Samarco and Vale have been engaging in negotiations with the
                          Brazilian State and Federal Governments and other public entities to seek a
                          settlement of obligations under the Framework Agreement, the Federal Public
                          Prosecution Office Claim, and other claims by government entities relating to
                          the Samarco dam failure. Those negotiations are ongoing.

                          BHP Group Limited and BHP Group (UK) Limited are defendants to a group action
                          claim in the English High Court, brought by over 600,000 claimants seeking
                          damages in relation to the Fundão Dam failure in 2015. The liability hearing
                          for the group action will begin on 21 October 2024.

Coal
Steelmaking coal
 Production               BMA 4.5 Mt Down 19% | 9 Mt (100% basis)

Production increased 20% (excluding 1.8 Mt from Blackwater and Daunia in Q1
 4.5 Mt Down 19%          FY24), due to increased stripping enabled by improved truck productivity as

                        well as Q1 FY24 being impacted by the extended longwall move at Broadmeadow.
 Q1 FY24 5.6 Mt           We maintain our focus on restoring value chain stability, with an increase in

                        raw coal inventory, which will continue into CY26.
 FY25e 16.5 - 19 Mt

                        During the quarter we completed planned maintenance at Goonyella Riverside and
                          Hay Point Coal Terminal, and commenced a longwall move at Broadmeadow.

 Average realised price   Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 16.5 and 19 Mt (33

                        and 38 Mt on a 100% basis).
 US$214.86/t Down 9%

 Q1 FY24 US$237.07/t

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

BHP | Operational review for the year ended 30 September 2024

Energy coal
 Production               NSWEC 3.7 Mt Up 2%

Production increased 2%, including a higher proportion of washed coal in line
 3.7 Mt Up 2%             with our strategy of prioritising higher quality coals. This was enabled by a

                        drawdown of inventory to offset the impacts of reduced truck availability and
 Q1 FY24 3.6 Mt           unfavourable weather conditions.

 FY25e 13 - 15 Mt         Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 13 and 15 Mt.

                          The modification to extend mining consent to 30 June 2030 is currently being

                        assessed by the NSW Government with an outcome anticipated in Q3 FY25.
 Average realised price

 US$124.32/t Down 1%

 Q1 FY24 US$125.66/t

Group & Unallocated
Nickel
 Production               Western Australia Nickel 19.6 kt Down 3%

Production decreased as we commenced the temporary suspension of operations at
 19.6 kt Down 3%          Nickel West. Operations will be suspended from October 2024 and handover

                        activities will be completed by December 2024.  We continue to support the
 Q1 FY24 20.2 kt          workforce through this transition period and have made redeployment offers to

                        a large portion of our frontline employees.

                        We expect costs to remain elevated during the transition to suspension in the
 Average realised price   first half and we plan to invest ~US$300 m per annum beginning in January 2025

                        to preserve optionality for a potential restart.
 US$16,359/t Down 20%

                        No production guidance has been provided for FY25.
 Q1 FY24 US$20,354/t

Quarterly performance | Q1 FY25 v Q4 FY24
 Copper                                                                                            Iron ore
 476 kt Down 6%    Lower production due to planned maintenance, in particular across Copper SA,    65 Mt Down 7%    Lower production at WAIO as a result of planned equipment maintenance and

                 lower concentrator throughput and production across leaching at Escondida due
                increased RTP1 tie-in activity.
 Q4 FY24 505 kt    to mine sequencing, and planned lower grades at Spence.                         Q4 FY24 69 Mt
 Steelmaking coal                                                                                  Energy coal
 4.5 Mt Down 8%    Lower production as a result of the ramp down and commencement of the longwall  3.7 Mt Down 2%   Slightly lower production due to operational challenges from truck

                 move at Broadmeadow in Q1 FY25, and higher yield and lower strip ratio in the
                availability and wet weather, partially offset by a drawdown of inventory.
 Q4 FY24 4.9 Mt    prior quarter as a result of mine sequencing.                                   Q4 FY24 3.8 Mt

 Nickel
 19.6 kt Down 15%  Lower production as transition of operations to temporary suspension

                 commenced.
 Q4 FY24 23.0 kt

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4

 

 

 

 

BHP | Operational review for the year ended 30 September 2024

Appendix 1
Average realised prices(i)
                                Quarter
                                Q1 FY25  v Q4 FY24  v Q1 FY24
 Copper (US$/lb)(i)(i)          4.24     (7%)       17%
 Iron ore (US$/wmt, FOB)        80.10    (12%)      (18%)
 Steelmaking coal (US$/t)(iii)  214.86   (12%)      (9%)
 Thermal coal (US$/t)(iv)       124.32   1%         (1%)
 Nickel metal (US$/t)(v)        16,359   (11%)      (20%)

i         Based on provisional, unaudited estimates. Prices exclude
sales from equity accounted investments, third party product and internal
sales, and represent the weighted average of various sales terms (for example:
FOB, CIF and CFR), unless otherwise noted. Includes the impact of provisional
pricing and finalisation adjustments.

ii        Sales from Carrapateena and Prominent Hill acquired through
the purchase of OZL are included from Q4 FY24.

iii       From FY25, steelmaking coal refers to hard coking coal which is
generally those steelmaking coals with a Coke Strength after Reaction (CSR) of
35 and above, and includes coals across the spectrum from Premium Coking to
Semi Hard Coking coals. Comparative periods include impacts from weak coking
coal, which refers generally to those steelmaking coals with a CSR below 35,
which were sold by Blackwater and Daunia mines, divested on 2 April 2024.

iv       Export sales only. Includes thermal coal sales from steelmaking
coal mines.

v        Relates to refined nickel metal only, excludes intermediate
products and nickel sulphate.

Current year unit cost guidance
                                  Current
 Unit cost                        FY25 guidance(i)
 Escondida (US$/lb)               1.30 - 1.60       Unchanged
 Spence (US$/lb)                  2.00 - 2.30       Unchanged
 Copper South Australia (US$/lb)  1.30 - 1.80(ii)   Unchanged
 WAIO (US$/t)                     18.00 - 19.50     Unchanged
 BMA (US$/t)                      112 - 124         Unchanged

i         FY25 unit cost guidance is based on exchange rates of
AUD/USD 0.66 and USD/CLP 842.

Ii        Calculated using the following assumptions for by-products:
gold US$2,000/oz, and uranium US$80/lb

Medium term guidance(i)
                    Production        Unit cost
                    guidance          guidance(ii)
 Escondida(iii)     900 - 1,000 ktpa  US$1.50 - 1.80/lb
 Spence             ~250 ktpa         US$2.05 - 2.35/lb
 WAIO (100% basis)  >305 Mtpa         

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