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REG-Custodian Property Income REIT plc Custodian Property Income REIT plc: First quarter trading update shows rental growth supporting fully covered dividends and stable values

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   Custodian Property Income REIT plc (CREI)
   Custodian Property Income REIT plc: First quarter trading update shows
   rental growth supporting fully covered dividends and stable values

   09-Aug-2023 / 07:00 GMT/BST

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                                                                9 August 2023

                                        

                       Custodian Property Income REIT plc

                                        

              (“Custodian Property Income REIT” or “the Company”)

                                        

   First quarter trading update shows rental growth supporting fully covered
                          dividends and stable values

    

   Custodian Property  Income REIT  (LSE: CREI),  which seeks  to deliver  an
   enhanced income return by investing in a diversified portfolio of smaller,
   regional properties  with strong  income  characteristics across  the  UK,
   today provides a trading update for  the first quarter ended 30 June  2023
   (“Q1” or the “Quarter”).

    

   Strong leasing activity  continues to support  rental growth and  underpin
   fully covered dividends

    

     • 1.375p dividend per share  approved for the  Quarter fully covered  by
       unaudited EPRA earnings
     • Target dividends per share of no less than 5.5p for the year ending 31
       March 2024,  representing a  6.4% yield  based on  the prevailing  86p
       share price 1  1 
     • EPRA earnings per share 2  2  of 1.5p for the Quarter (FY23 Q4:  1.4p,
       Q3: 1.5p)
     • £2.2m of annual rental income secured, in aggregate in line with  ERV,
       which added £2.0m in property capital value during the Quarter through
       leasing, renewals and rental uplifts, comprising:

     ◦ 14 new leases signed across a range of property sectors at an  average
       5% ahead of ERV, adding £1.1m of annual rent for a weighted average of
       4.9 years to first break; and
     ◦ 15% (£0.1m) aggregate annual rental  increase across six rent  reviews
       settled during the Quarter

     • Like-for-like 3  3  ERV has  increased by  1.2% since  31 March  2023,
       driven primarily  by capital  expenditure in  refurbishing  industrial
       assets successfully. Portfolio ERV  (£49.0m) now exceeds passing  rent
       (£42.1m) by 17%  (31 March  2023: 16%)  demonstrating the  portfolio’s
       significant reversionary potential
     • EPRA occupancy 4  4  maintained at 90%  (31 March 2023: 90%). 3.7%  of
       vacant ERV  is subject  to refurbishment  or redevelopment  with  3.9%
       under offer to let or sell.

   Stable valuations

    

     • The valuation of  the Company’s  diversified portfolio  of 159  assets
       remained broadly flat at £614.3m, reflecting a marginal  like-for-like
       decrease of 0.5%  or £3.3m,  net of  a £2.0m  valuation increase  from
       active asset management activity (FY23  Q4: £2.6m increase from  asset
       management)
     • Q1 net asset value (“NAV”) total return per share 5  5  of 0.7%
     • NAV per share of 98.6p  (31 March 2023: 99.3p)  with a NAV of  £434.9m
       (31 March 2023: £437.6m)

    

   £5.3m invested in the redevelopment and refurbishment of existing assets

    

     • During the Quarter:

     ◦ £5.3m of capital  expenditure was undertaken  primarily on  completing
       the redevelopment of an  industrial unit in  Redditch (£2.7m) and  the
       refurbishment of:  offices in  Manchester  and Leeds  (£1.4m);  retail
       assets in Shrewsbury and Liverpool (£0.6m); and an industrial unit  in
       Winsford (£0.4m)
     ◦ All  ongoing  capital  works  are  expected  to  enhance  the  assets’
       valuations and environmental credentials and, once let, increase rents
       to give  a yield  on  cost of  at least  7%,  ahead of  the  Company’s
       marginal cost of borrowing.  The redevelopment in Redditch is  nearing
       completion and based on potential letting demand ERV of the asset  has
       increased by 122% from £298k pa to £660k pa
     ◦ High street retail units in Bury St Edmunds and Cirencester were  sold
       at auction for an aggregate £1.6m, in line with valuation

     • Weighted average energy performance certificate rating remains C  (58)
       with  ongoing  capital  expenditure  initiatives  expected  to   drive
       improvements in subsequent quarters

    

   Gearing remains broadly  in line with  target, with significant  borrowing
   covenant headroom

    

     • Net gearing 6  6  was 28.0% loan-to-value as of 30 June 2023 (31 March
       2023: 27.4%), broadly in line with the Company’s 25% target
     • £178.0m of drawn debt  comprising £140m (79%) of  fixed rate debt  and
       £38m (21%) drawn under the Company’s revolving credit facility (“RCF”)
     • Aggregate borrowings have a weighted average cost of 4.0%
     • Fixed rate debt facilities have a  weighted average term of 6.8  years
       and a weighted average cost  of 3.4% offering significant  medium-term
       interest rate risk mitigation
     • £10m of  properties are  under  offer to  sell, expected  to  generate
       proceeds in  excess  of  valuation,  which will  be  invested  in  the
       Company’s  remaining  pipeline  of  profitable  capital  expenditure. 
       Further potential sales have been identified with proceeds expected to
       be used to reduce borrowings

    

   Net asset value

    

   In line with the  portfolio valuation, the Company’s  unaudited NAV at  30
   June 2023 remained stable at £434.9m, or approximately 98.6p per share,  a
   marginal decrease of 0.7p (-0.7%) since 31 March 2023:

    

                                                  Pence per share    £m
                                                                       
   NAV at 31 March 2023                                      99.3 437.6
                                                                       
   Valuation movements relating to:                                    
   - Asset management activity                                0.4   2.0
   - General valuation decreases                            (1.2) (5.3)
   Net valuation movement                                   (0.8) (3.3)
   Profit on disposal                                           -     -
                                                                       
   EPRA earnings for the Quarter                              1.5   6.7
   Interim dividend paid 7  7  during the Quarter           (1.4) (6.1)
                                                                       
   NAV at 30 June 2023                                       98.6 434.9

    

   The NAV attributable to the ordinary  shares of the Company is  calculated
   under International  Financial Reporting  Standards and  incorporates  the
   independent portfolio valuation  at 30 June  2023 and net  income for  the
   Quarter.  The movement in NAV reflects the payment of an interim  dividend
   of 1.375p per share during the Quarter, but does not include any provision
   for the approved dividend of 1.375p per  share for the Quarter to be  paid
   on 31 August 2023.

    

   Investment Manager’s commentary

    

   UK property market

    

   The listed property market is  acutely sensitive to broader economic  news
   with inflation,  interest  rates  and potential  recession  all  impacting
   investors’ confidence.  Interest rate outlook bites the hardest and at the
   start of the previous quarter there was a belief that interest rates might
   have been close to topping out.   This optimism saw yields harden in  some
   sectors following a market rerating in the second half of 2022, but by the
   end of the Quarter that confidence had been eroded with the 50bps rise  in
   the base rate to 5% and the expectation  of more to come.  On the back  of
   the rate rise listed real estate  prices fell sharply, but there has  been
   some recovery since then on the back of the most recent inflation  numbers
   for June 2023.

    

   This volatility  suggests that  investors  are keen  to upweight  to  real
   estate but are waiting for a  more certain economic future to be  revealed
   before we see  share prices  really rally.  There  is a  strong logic  for
   investing in real estate in the current market as real assets should be  a
   good store of  value in  an inflationary  environment as  rents grow  over
   time.  In the current market,  occupational demand is continuing to  drive
   rental growth which is positive for interest cover and dividends.  All  of
   this  produced  stable  valuations  over  the  Quarter,  with  a  marginal
   like-for-like decrease of 0.5%.

    

   We are  engaged  in  an active  capital  expenditure  programme  including
   re-development, refurbishment,  EPC  improvements  and  the  roll  out  of
   photovoltaic arrays  and electric  vehicle chargers.   This investment  is
   focused on keeping the portfolio up to date, compliant with  environmental
   legislation and positioned to capture rental growth with returns  expected
   well ahead of the prevailing cost  of borrowing.  During the Quarter  this
   investment and the asset  management of the  properties has increased  the
   like-for-like estimated rental  value of the  portfolio by 1.2%  (£0.6m). 
   Continued rental growth is the Investment Manager’s key objective together
   with capturing the  reversionary potential through  the letting of  vacant
   space.

    

   The vacancy rate as a proportion of the ERV of the portfolio stands at 10%
   of which 39% is under offer to let and 37% is under refurbishment, leaving
   only 24% (or 2.4% of the  total) available to let.  Vacancy has  increased
   recently as we have taken back  space from the residual COVID-19  affected
   tenants which has allowed us to refurbish that space and, based on current
   level of  interest, we  are confident  of increasing  occupancy and  rents
   going forwards.

    

   Asset management

    

   The Investment Manager  has remained  focused on  active asset  management
   during the Quarter, completing 14 leasing initiatives adding £1.2m of  new
   income at  an  average 5%  ahead  of ERV  and  adding £2.0m  in  portfolio
   valuation.  These  new leases  had a  weighted average  unexpired term  to
   first break or expiry (“WAULT”) of 4.9 years, with the portfolio WAULT now
   at 4.8 years and included:

    

     • A six-year reversionary lease to Wickes on a retail warehouse unit  in
       Winnersh, maintaining annual rent of £450k and increasing valuation by
       £0.4m (5%);
     • A five-year  lease  to Communicorp  on  a vacant  industrial  unit  in
       Hilton, Derby at an  annual rent of £46k,  reflecting a 2% premium  to
       ERV and increasing valuation by £0.4m (20%);
     • A new 15-year lease in  line with ERV with a  year 10 break option  to
       Howdens Joinery on a trade counter in Crewe at an annual rent of £55k,
       increasing valuation by £0.3m (12%);
     • A surrender of North Warwickshire  Borough Council’s headlease over  a
       multi-let industrial estate  in Atherstone, with  the tenant paying  a
       £375k surrender premium  which will  be used to  fund a  comprehensive
       refurbishment plan, increasing  passing rent by  20% and valuation  by
       £0.2m (11%);
     • A new five-year lease with a third year tenant break option to Menzies
       Aviation on a  vacant office unit  in Edinburgh at  an annual rent  of
       £88k (12% above the ERV of £78k), increasing valuation by £0.2m (4%);
     • A 10-year  lease renewal  with a  five year  break to  Ladbrokes on  a
       retail unit in Birmingham, at an annual rent of £35k 40% ahead of  the
       £25k ERV, increasing valuation by £0.2m (7%);
     • A 10-year reversionary lease to  Scotco Restaurants Limited (t/a  KFC)
       on a drive-through unit in Perth with annual rent increasing by 5%  to
       £75k, increasing valuation by £0.2m (2%);
     • A new 10-year  lease with  a fourth year  tenant break  option to  RSK
       Group on an office in Lancaster House, Birmingham at an annual rent of
       £78k, increasing valuation by £0.1m;
     • A five year  lease renewal with  annual mutual breaks  to Dreams on  a
       retail warehouse unit in Sheldon, at an annual rent of £90k;
     • A 10-year lease renewal  with fifth year break  to Subway on a  retail
       unit in Dunfermline, at an annual rent of £23k; and
     • A 10-year lease renewal with fifth and seventh year break to  Innovate
       Hair Salon on a retail unit in Dunfermline, at an annual rent of £27k.

    

   Post Quarter end we have completed:

    

     • A 15-year lease with  a 10-year break  to JD Sports  Gyms on a  vacant
       retail  warehouse  unit  in  Swindon  at  an  annual  rent  of  £150k,
       increasing valuation by £0.7m;
     • A 15-year  straight  term  lease  to  Farmfoods  on  a  vacant  retail
       warehouse unit  in Grantham  at an  annual rent  of £100k,  increasing
       valuation by £0.3m;
     • A five-year lease  renewal with  Next on  a retail  warehouse unit  in
       Evesham at an annual rent of £128k and
     • Buying in  the  long leasehold  interest  of  a unit  at  a  multi-let
       industrial asset in Knowsley for £1.25m. 

    

   During the Quarter rent reviews were settled at an aggregate of 15%  ahead
   of previous passing rent with:

    

     • DX at an industrial  unit in Nuneaton with  annual rent increasing  by
       31% to £350k;
     • Sytner at an industrial unit in Oldbury with annual rent increasing by
       12% to £236k;
     • VP Packaging  at  two industrial  units  in Kettering  with  aggregate
       annual rent increasing by 8% to £190k;
     • KFC at a leisure unit in  Perth, Scotland with annual rent  increasing
       by 5% to £75k; and
     • PSL at an industrial unit in  Speke with annual rent increasing by  3%
       to £150k.

    

   Fully covered dividend

    

   The Company paid an interim  dividend of 1.375p per  share on 31 May  2023
   relating to the quarter  ended 31 March 2023.   The Board has approved  an
   interim dividend per  share of 1.375p  for the Quarter,  fully covered  by
   EPRA earnings,  payable  on  31  August  2023.   The  Board  is  targeting
   aggregate dividends per share 8  8  of at  least 5.5p for the year  ending
   31 March  2024.   The Board’s  objective  is to  grow  the dividend  on  a
   sustainable basis, at a rate which  is fully covered by net rental  income
   and does not inhibit the flexibility of the Company’s investment strategy.

    

   Borrowings

    

   At 30 June  2023 the Company  had £178.0m  of debt drawn  at an  aggregate
   weighted average cost of 4.0% with no expiries until September 2024.  This
   debt comprised:

    

     • £38.0m (21%) at  a variable prevailing  interest rate of  6.58% and  a
       facility maturity of 1.25 years; and
     • £140m (79%) at a weighted average  fixed rate of 3.4% with a  weighted
       average maturity of 6.8 years. 

    

   At 30 June 2023 the Company’s borrowing facilities are:

    

   Variable rate borrowing

    

     • A £40m  RCF with  Lloyds  Bank plc  expiring  in September  2024  with
       interest of between 1.5% and 1.8% above SONIA determined by  reference
       to the prevailing LTV ratio of  a discrete security pool.  At 30  June
       2023 £38.0m was drawn  under the RCF.  The  limit on the RCF  facility
       can be increased to £50m with Lloyds’ approval.

    

   Fixed rate borrowing

    

     • A £20m  term  loan  with Scottish  Widows plc  (“SWIP”)  repayable  on
       13 August 2025 with interest fixed at 3.935%;
     • A £45m term  loan with  SWIP repayable on  5 June  2028 with  interest
       fixed at 2.987%; and

     • A £75m term loan with Aviva comprising:

          ▪ A £35m tranche repayable on 6 April 2032 with fixed annual
            interest of 3.02%;
          ▪ A £25m tranche repayable on 3 November 2032 with fixed annual
            interest of 4.10%; and
          ▪ A £15m tranche repayable on 3 November 2032 with fixed annual
            interest of 3.26%.

    

   Each facility  has  a  discrete  security pool,  comprising  a  number  of
   individual properties, over  which the  relevant lender  has security  and
   covenants:

    

     • The maximum LTV of the discrete  security pools is either 45% or  50%,
       with an overarching covenant on the property portfolio of a maximum of
       35% LTV; and
     • Historical interest  cover, requiring  net rental  receipts from  each
       discrete security pool,  over the  preceding three  months, to  exceed
       250% of the facility’s quarterly interest liability.

    

   Portfolio analysis

    

   At 30  June  2023  the  property  portfolio  comprised  159  assets.   The
   portfolio is split between the  main commercial property sectors, in  line
   with the Company’s  objective to maintain  a suitably balanced  investment
   portfolio.  Sector weightings are shown below:

    

    
                 Valuation                      Quarter                      
                                              valuation
               30 Jun 2023 Weighting by value  movement   Quarter   Weighting
                                  30 Jun 2023           valuation by value 31
                        £m                           £m  movement    Mar 2023
   Sector
                                                                             
   Industrial        300.1                49%       1.6        1%         48%
   Retail            130.7                21%     (1.3)      (1%)         21%
   warehouse
   Other 9  9         79.4                13%       0.2         -         13%
   Office             70.0                11%     (3.0)      (4%)         12%
   High street        34.1                 6%     (0.8)      (2%)          6%
   retail
                                                                             
   Total             614.3               100%     (3.3)      (1%)        100%

    

   For  details   of   all   properties   in   the   portfolio   please   see
    10 custodianreit.com/property-portfolio.

    

   Board changes

    

   In accordance with Listing  Rule 9.6.11 the Company  advises that, at  the
   conclusion of  its  AGM  on 8  August  2023,  David Hunter  retired  as  a
   Non-Executive Director of the Company, with David MacLellan replacing  him
   as Chair.

    

                                    - Ends -

    

   Further information:

    

   Further information regarding the  Company can be  found at the  Company's
   website  11 custodianreit.com or please contact:

    

   Custodian Capital Limited                                                 
   Richard Shepherd-Cross / Ed Moore / Ian           Tel: +44 (0)116 240 8740
   Mattioli MBE
                                                  12 www.custodiancapital.com

    

   Numis Securities Limited                             
   Hugh Jonathan / Nathan Brown Tel: +44 (0)20 7260 1000
                                     www.numis.com/funds

    

   FTI Consulting                                                            
   Richard Sunderland / Andrew Davis /               Tel: +44 (0)20 3727 1000
   Oliver Parsons
                                           13 custodianreit@fticonsulting.com

    

    

   Notes to Editors

    

   Custodian Property Income REIT plc is  a UK real estate investment  trust,
   which listed on the main market of  the London Stock Exchange on 26  March
   2014.  Its   portfolio   comprises   properties   predominantly   let   to
   institutional grade  tenants  on long  leases  throughout the  UK  and  is
   principally   characterised   by    smaller,   regional,    core/core-plus
   properties. 

    

   The Company  offers  investors the  opportunity  to access  a  diversified
   portfolio of UK commercial  real estate through  a closed-ended fund.   By
   principally targeting  smaller, regional,  core/core-plus properties,  the
   Company seeks to provide investors with an attractive level of income with
   the potential for capital growth.

    

   Custodian Capital Limited is the  discretionary investment manager of  the
   Company.

    

   For     more     information      visit      14 custodianreit.com      and
    15 custodiancapital.com.

   ══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

    16  1  Price on 8 August 2023. Source: London Stock Exchange.

    17  2  Profit after tax excluding net gains or losses on investment
   property divided by weighted average number of shares in issue.

    18  3  Adjusting for property disposals and capital expenditure.

    19  4  Estimated rental value (“ERV”) of let property divided by total
   portfolio ERV.

    20  5  NAV per share movement including dividends paid during the
   Quarter.

    21  6  Gross borrowings less cash (excluding rent deposits) divided by
   portfolio valuation.

    22  7  An interim dividend of 1.375p per share relating to the quarter
   ended 31 March 2023 was paid on 31 May 2023.

    23  8  This is a target only and not a profit forecast. There can be no
   assurance that the target can or will be met and it should not be taken as
   an indication of the Company’s expected or actual future results.
   Accordingly, shareholders or potential investors in the Company should not
   place any reliance on this target in deciding whether or not to invest in
   the Company or assume that the Company will make any distributions at all
   and should decide for themselves whether or not the target dividend yield
   is reasonable or achievable.

    24  9   Comprises   drive-through  restaurants,   car  showrooms,   trade
   counters, gymnasiums, restaurants and leisure units.

    

   ══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

   Dissemination of a Regulatory Announcement that contains inside
   information in accordance with the Market Abuse Regulation (MAR),
   transmitted by EQS Group.
   The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.

   ══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

   ISIN:           GB00BJFLFT45
   Category Code:  MSCH
   TIDM:           CREI
   LEI Code:       2138001BOD1J5XK1CX76
   OAM Categories: 3.1. Additional regulated information required to be
                   disclosed under the laws of a Member State
   Sequence No.:   263249
   EQS News ID:    1698849


    
   End of Announcement EQS News Service

   ══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

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