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REG-Custodian Property Income REIT plc Custodian Property Income REIT plc: Second quarter trading update shows rental growth supporting fully covered dividends and stable values

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   Custodian Property Income REIT plc (CREI)
   Custodian Property Income REIT plc: Second quarter trading update shows
   rental growth supporting fully covered dividends and stable values

   31-Oct-2023 / 07:00 GMT/BST

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                                                              31 October 2023

                                        

                       Custodian Property Income REIT plc

                                        

              (“Custodian Property Income REIT” or “the Company”)

                                        

   Second quarter trading update shows rental growth supporting fully covered
                          dividends and stable values

    

   Custodian Property  Income REIT  (LSE: CREI),  which seeks  to deliver  an
   enhanced income return by investing in a diversified portfolio of smaller,
   regional properties  with strong  income  characteristics across  the  UK,
   today provides a trading  update for the quarter  ended 30 September  2023
   (“Q2” or the “Quarter”).

    

   Strong leasing activity  continues to support  rental growth and  underpin
   fully covered dividends

    

     • 1.375p dividend per share approved  for the Quarter, fully covered  by
       unaudited EPRA earnings, in line with target of no less than 5.5p  for
       the year ending 31 March 2024, representing a 6.8% yield based on  the
       prevailing 81p share price 1  1 
     • EPRA earnings per share 2  2  of 1.4p for the Quarter (FY24 Q1:  1.5p,
       FY23 Q4: 1.4p)
     • Nine new leases signed and one rent review settled during the  Quarter
       across a range of property sectors,  on average, in line with ERV  and
       24% above previous passing rent.  These initiatives added £1.0m of new
       annual rent through letting vacant assets and secured a further  £0.7m
       of existing annual  rent roll,  increasing property  capital value  by
       £4.5m
     • ERV has increased  by 0.7%  since 30  June 2023,  driven primarily  by
       capital expenditure.  Portfolio ERV (£49.7m) now exceeds passing  rent
       (£43.2m) by  15% (30  June 2023:  17%) demonstrating  the  portfolio’s
       significant reversionary potential
     • EPRA occupancy 3  3  increased to  91% (30 June  2023: 90%).  2.8%  of
       ERV is vacant subject to  refurbishment or redevelopment with 2.2%  of
       ERV vacant but under offer to let or sell

   Valuations remain stable

    

     • The valuation of  the Company’s  diversified portfolio  of 159  assets
       decreased like-for-like 4  4  by  1.8% (£12.3m) to  £609.8m, net of  a
       £4.5m valuation increase from  active asset management activity  (FY24
       Q1: £2.0m increase from asset management)
     • Q2 net asset value (“NAV”) total return per share 5  5  of -1.4%
     • NAV per share of 95.9p (30 June 2023: 98.6p) with a NAV of £422.8m (30
       June 2023: £434.9m)

    

   Redevelopment  and  refurbishment  of  existing  assets  continues  to  be
   accretive with an expected yield on cost above average cost of borrowing

    

     • £6.9m of capital expenditure undertaken during the Quarter,  including
       buying the long-leasehold of a unit  at a 10-unit industrial asset  in
       Knowsley (£1.3m) and the refurbishment  of: offices in Manchester  and
       Leeds (£2.7m);  an industrial  unit in  Ashby-de-la-Zouch (£1.1m)  and
       retail assets in Shrewsbury and Liverpool (£0.6m)
     • All  ongoing  capital  works  are  expected  to  enhance  the  assets’
       valuations and environmental credentials and, once let, increase rents
       to give  a yield  on  cost of  at least  7%,  ahead of  the  Company’s
       marginal cost of borrowing
     • Weighted average energy performance certificate rating has improved to
       C(56) (30 June 2023:   C(58)) due to re-ratings  being carried out  at
       three  assets   following   refurbishment  (Redditch,   Winsford   and
       Liverpool) and one  following a new  letting (Grantham), with  ongoing
       capital expenditure initiatives expected to drive further improvements
       in subsequent quarters

    

   Prudent debt levels mean gearing remains broadly in line with target, with
   significant borrowing covenant headroom

    

     • Net gearing 6  6  was 29.6% loan-to-value as of 30 September 2023  (30
       June 2023: 28.0%), broadly in line with the Company’s 25% target
     • £185.0m of drawn debt  comprising £140m (76%) of  fixed rate debt  and
       £45m  (24%)  drawn  under  the  Company’s  revolving  credit  facility
       (“RCF”).   We  expect  that  sales  proceeds  from  the  disposal   of
       properties under offer will  reduce drawn debt  over the remainder  of
       the financial year
     • Aggregate borrowings have a weighted average cost of 4.2%
     • Fixed rate debt facilities have a  weighted average term of 6.5  years
       and a weighted average cost  of 3.4% offering significant  medium-term
       interest rate risk mitigation

   Asset recycling continues to generate proceeds in excess of valuation

    

     • At 30 September 2023 five properties  were under offer to sell  valued
       at c.£19m which are expected, in aggregate, to generate proceeds  more
       than 10% in excess of valuation.  Proceeds are expected to be invested
       in the Company’s remaining pipeline of profitable capital  expenditure
       and to reduce variable rate borrowings 
     • Of these properties under offer, we have exchanged contracts to sell a
       children’s day nursery in Chesham  for £0.55m and out-of-town  offices
       on Pride Park, Derby for £2.05m (including receipt of a £0.2m deposit)

    

   Net asset value

    

   In line with the  portfolio valuation, the Company’s  unaudited NAV at  30
   September 2023 decreased to £422.8m,  or approximately 95.9p per share,  a
   decrease of 2.7p (-2.7%) since 30 June 2023:

    

                                                  Pence per share     £m
                                                                        
   NAV at 30 June 2023                                       98.6  434.9
                                                                        
   Valuation movements relating to:                                     
   - Asset management activity                                1.0    4.5
   - General valuation decreases                            (3.7) (16.8)
   Net valuation movement                                   (2.7) (12.3)
                                                                        
   EPRA earnings for the Quarter                              1.4    6.3
   Interim dividend paid 7  7  during the Quarter           (1.4)  (6.1)
                                                                        
   NAV at 30 September 2023                                  95.9  422.8

    

   The NAV attributable to the ordinary  shares of the Company is  calculated
   under International  Financial Reporting  Standards and  incorporates  the
   independent portfolio valuation at  30 September 2023  and net income  for
   the Quarter.   The movement  in NAV  reflects the  payment of  an  interim
   dividend of 1.375p per  share during the Quarter,  but as usual this  does
   not include any provision  for the approved dividend  of 1.375p per  share
   for the Quarter to be paid on 30 November 2023.

    

   Investment Manager’s commentary

    

   UK property market

    

   The disconnect between the occupational and investment markets in UK  real
   estate continues  to persist.   While the  impacts of  high inflation  and
   interest rates appear to weigh heavily on investor sentiment, perhaps  the
   greater influence has been the marked re-rating of valuations in the final
   quarter of 2022, which still seems  to colour investors’ attitude to  real
   estate investment.  However, since the start of 2023 valuations have  been
   reasonably stable across the market,  with some sub-sectors showing  signs
   of recovery while others  continue to drift.  The  outcome for the NAV  of
   Custodian Property Income REIT has been  a marginal decrease of 3.9%  over
   the past three quarters.

    

   By contrast, occupational  demand has been  consistently strong which  has
   led to a reduced vacancy rate and increase in the portfolio rent roll.  We
   experienced a post  lockdown increase in  vacancy to c.10%,  but this  has
   steadily improved and based on  lettings under offer, vacancy is  expected
   to reach c.7% by 31 December 2023. 

    

   Similarly, the portfolio rent roll has grown 2.9% from £42.0m at the start
   of the financial year to  £43.2m at the end  of the Quarter, through  both
   reduced vacancy and  rental growth.   During the  Quarter, letting  vacant
   units added £1.0m (2.3%) to the rent roll.

    

   It is the strength  of the occupational market  driving rental growth  and
   low vacancy  that  will ultimately  support  fully covered  dividends  and
   earnings growth.   Income/earnings remain  a central  focus for  Custodian
   Property Income REIT, and  it is income that  will deliver positive  total
   returns for shareholders.  On this basis we remain cautiously optimistic.

    

   Asset management

    

   The Investment Manager  has remained  focused on  active asset  management
   during the Quarter, completing nine new leases adding £1.0m of new  annual
   rent through letting vacant assets and secured a further £0.7m of existing
   annual rent roll, increasing property  capital value by £4.5m.  These  new
   leases had a  weighted average  unexpired term  to first  break or  expiry
   (“WAULT”) of 5.5 years, with the overall portfolio WAULT remaining at  4.8
   years. These asset management initiatives included completing:

    

     • A 10  year lease  with fifth  year  break option  to Zavvigroup  on  a
       vacant, comprehensively  refurbished industrial  unit in  Winsford  at
       annual rent of  £741k, a 75%  increase on the  previous passing  rent,
       increasing valuation by £2.2m (24%);
     • A 10 year lease renewal with fifth year break option on an  industrial
       unit in Hamilton let to  Ichor Systems at an  annual rent of £295k,  a
       29% increase on  the previous  passing rent,  increasing valuation  by
       £0.8m (27%);
     • A 15 year lease with  tenth year break option to  JD Gyms on a  vacant
       retail warehouse unit in Swindon at  an annual rent of £150k, in  line
       with ERV, increasing valuation by £0.7m (12%);
     • A 15 year lease with tenth year break to Farmfoods at a vacant  retail
       warehouse unit in Grantham at an annual rental of £100k, in line  with
       ERV, increasing valuation by £0.5m (22%);
     • A five year  lease renewal  with Next on  a retail  warehouse unit  in
       Evesham, at an annual rent of £128k, in line with ERV;
     • A 10 year lease  with fifth year  break to Aubin &  Wills on a  retail
       unit in  Edinburgh  at an  annual  rent of  £95k,  in line  with  ERV,
       increasing valuation by £0.3m (31%);
     • A five year lease renewal with third year break option to Halfords  on
       a retail warehouse unit  in Weymouth at an  annual rental of £71k,  in
       line with ERV;
     • A five year lease to Blue Cross  on a retail unit in Shrewsbury at  an
       annual rental of £33k, in line with ERV; and
     • A three year lease to Community 360 at a retail unit in Colchester  at
       an annual rental of £24k.

    

   During the Quarter  the Company also  settled an open  market rent  review
   with Charles Stanley at Willow Court,  Oxford at £111k, a 43% increase  on
   the  previous  passing   level,  and  completed   the  following   capital
   initiatives:

    

     • Purchased  the  long  leasehold  interest  of  a  unit  at  a  10-unit
       industrial asset in Knowsley for £1.25m; and
     • Achieved practical completion of a £7m redevelopment of an  industrial
       unit in Redditch.

    

   The impact  of  these  positive  outcomes  was  partially  offset  by  the
   Administration of  Wilko,  which  exited  the  Company’s  retail  unit  in
   Taunton, decreasing the Company’s annual rent roll by £0.1m.

    

   Post Quarter end we exchanged contracts for the disposal of an out-of-town
   office property on Pride Park, Derby  for £2.05m.  A deposit of £0.2m  was
   received with completion expected in December 2023.

    

   Fully covered dividend

    

   The Company paid an interim dividend of 1.375p per share on 31 August 2023
   relating to the  quarter ended 30  June 2023.  The  Board has approved  an
   interim dividend per  share of 1.375p  for the Quarter,  fully covered  by
   EPRA earnings,  payable  on 30  November  2023.  The  Board  is  targeting
   aggregate dividends per share 8  8  of at  least 5.5p for the year  ending
   31 March  2024.   The Board’s  objective  is to  grow  the dividend  on  a
   sustainable basis, at a rate which  is fully covered by net rental  income
   and does not inhibit the flexibility of the Company’s investment strategy.

    

   Borrowings

    

   At 30 September 2023 the Company had £185.0m of debt drawn at an aggregate
   weighted average cost of  4.2% with no expiries  until September 2024  and
   diversified across a range of lenders.  This debt comprised:

    

     • £45m (24%)  at a  variable prevailing  interest rate  of 6.84%  and  a
       facility maturity of 1.0 years; and
     • £140m (76%) at a weighted average  fixed rate of 3.4% with a  weighted
       average maturity of 6.5 years. 

    

   At 30 September 2023 the Company’s borrowing facilities are:

    

   Variable rate borrowing

    

     • £45m drawn under the Lloyds RCF.

    

   The Company expects  to complete  an extension  of the  Lloyds RCF  during
   November 2023, increasing the total funds available from £50m to £75m  for
   a term of three years, with an option to extend the term by a further  two
   years subject to Lloyds’ approval.

    

   Fixed rate borrowing

    

     • A £20m  term  loan  with Scottish  Widows plc  (“SWIP”)  repayable  on
       13 August 2025 with interest fixed at 3.935%;
     • A £45m term  loan with  SWIP repayable on  5 June  2028 with  interest
       fixed at 2.987%; and

     • A £75m term loan with Aviva comprising:

          ▪ A £35m tranche repayable on 6 April 2032 with fixed annual
            interest of 3.02%;
          ▪ A £25m tranche repayable on 3 November 2032 with fixed annual
            interest of 4.10%; and
          ▪ A £15m tranche repayable on 3 November 2032 with fixed annual
            interest of 3.26%.

    

   Each facility  has  a  discrete  security pool,  comprising  a  number  of
   individual properties, over  which the  relevant lender  has security  and
   covenants:

    

     • The maximum LTV of the discrete  security pools is either 45% or  50%,
       with an overarching covenant on the property portfolio of a maximum of
       35% LTV; and
     • Historical interest  cover, requiring  net  rental receipts  from  the
       discrete security pools,  over the preceding  three months, to  exceed
       either 200% or  250% of the  associated facility’s quarterly  interest
       liability.

    

   Portfolio analysis

    

   At 30 September 2023  the portfolio is split  between the main  commercial
   property sectors,  in line  with  the Company’s  objective to  maintain  a
   suitably balanced  investment  portfolio.   Sector  weightings  are  shown
   below:

    

               Valuation
                                                Quarter                      
                 30 Sept                      valuation
                    2023   Weighting by value  movement   Quarter   Weighting
                                 30 Sept 2023           valuation by value 30
                      £m                             £m  movement    Jun 2023
   Sector
                                                                             
   Industrial      303.2                  50%     (0.2)         -         49%
   Retail          127.6                  21%     (3.7)      (3%)         21%
   warehouse
   Other 9  9       78.1                  13%     (1.8)      (2%)         13%
   Office           67.5                  11%     (5.9)      (8%)         11%
   High street      33.4                   5%     (0.7)      (2%)          6%
   retail
                                                                             
   Total           609.8                         (12.3)      (2%)        100%

    

   For  details   of   all   properties   in   the   portfolio   please   see
    10 custodianreit.com/property-portfolio.

    

                                    - Ends -

    

   Further information:

    

   Further information regarding the  Company can be  found at the  Company's
   website  11 custodianreit.com or please contact:

    

   Custodian Capital Limited                                                 
   Richard Shepherd-Cross / Ed Moore / Ian           Tel: +44 (0)116 240 8740
   Mattioli MBE
                                                  12 www.custodiancapital.com

    

   Numis Securities Limited                             
   Hugh Jonathan / Nathan Brown Tel: +44 (0)20 7260 1000
                                     www.numis.com/funds

    

   FTI Consulting                                                            
   Richard Sunderland / Andrew Davis /               Tel: +44 (0)20 3727 1000
   Oliver Parsons
                                           13 custodianreit@fticonsulting.com

    

    

   Notes to Editors

    

   Custodian Property Income REIT plc is  a UK real estate investment  trust,
   which listed on the main market of  the London Stock Exchange on 26  March
   2014.  Its   portfolio   comprises   properties   predominantly   let   to
   institutional  grade  tenants  throughout   the  UK  and  is   principally
   characterised by smaller, regional, core/core-plus properties. 

    

   The Company  offers  investors the  opportunity  to access  a  diversified
   portfolio of UK commercial  real estate through  a closed-ended fund.   By
   principally targeting  smaller, regional,  core/core-plus properties,  the
   Company seeks to provide investors with an attractive level of income with
   the potential for capital growth.

    

   Custodian Capital Limited is the  discretionary investment manager of  the
   Company.

    

   For     more     information      visit      14 custodianreit.com      and
    15 custodiancapital.com.

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    16  1  Price on 30 October 2023. Source: London Stock Exchange.

    17  2  Profit after tax excluding net gains or losses on investment
   property divided by weighted average number of shares in issue.

    18  3  Estimated rental value (“ERV”) of let property divided by total
   portfolio ERV.

    19  4  Adjusting for capital expenditure.

    20  5  NAV per share movement including dividends paid during the
   Quarter.

    21  6  Gross borrowings less cash (excluding rent deposits) divided by
   portfolio valuation.

    22  7  An interim dividend of 1.375p per share relating to the quarter
   ended 30 June 2023 was paid on 31 August 2023.

    23  8  This is a target only and not a profit forecast. There can be no
   assurance that the target can or will be met and it should not be taken as
   an indication of the Company’s expected or actual future results.
   Accordingly, shareholders or potential investors in the Company should not
   place any reliance on this target in deciding whether or not to invest in
   the Company or assume that the Company will make any distributions at all
   and should decide for themselves whether or not the target dividend yield
   is reasonable or achievable.

    24  9   Comprises   drive-through  restaurants,   car  showrooms,   trade
   counters, gymnasiums, restaurants and leisure units.

    

   ══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

   Dissemination of a Regulatory Announcement that contains inside
   information in accordance with the Market Abuse Regulation (MAR),
   transmitted by EQS Group.
   The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.

   ══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

   ISIN:           GB00BJFLFT45
   Category Code:  MSCH
   TIDM:           CREI
   LEI Code:       2138001BOD1J5XK1CX76
   OAM Categories: 3.1. Additional regulated information required to be
                   disclosed under the laws of a Member State
   Sequence No.:   281485
   EQS News ID:    1760901


    
   End of Announcement EQS News Service

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