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REG-Custodian REIT plc Custodian REIT plc : Unaudited net asset value as at 31 March 2022

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   Custodian REIT plc (CREI)
   Custodian REIT plc : Unaudited net asset value as at 31 March 2022

   10-May-2022 / 07:00 GMT/BST
   Dissemination of a Regulatory Announcement, transmitted by EQS Group.
   The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.

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                                                                  10 May 2022

                                        

                               Custodian REIT plc

                                        

                      (“Custodian REIT” or “the Company”)

                                        

                 Unaudited net asset value as at 31 March 2022

    

   Custodian REIT  (LSE:  CREI), the  UK  commercial real  estate  investment
   company focused  on smaller  lot-sizes, today  reports its  unaudited  net
   asset value (“NAV”) as at 31 March 2022 and highlights for the period from
   1 January 2022 to 31 March 2022 (“the Period”).

    

   Company summary

    

   The Company’s £0.7bn  portfolio comprises 160  smaller lot-sized  regional
   commercial properties diversified  by sector, tenant,  location and  lease
   length and offers  investors a  prospective 5.5% income  return1 with  the
   potential for capital growth.  The portfolio is conservatively geared with
   a target 25% loan-to-value  paying aggregate interest of  below 3% on  its
   majority fixed-rate debt facilities.  The Board’s objective is to grow the
   dividend  on  a   sustainable  basis  whilst   satisfying  the   Company’s
   environmental, social and  governance targets and  create long term  value
   for the Company’s stakeholders.

    

   Financial highlights

    

   Dividends

    

     • Dividend per share approved for the Period of 1.375p
     • Aggregate dividends per share declared  relating to the year ended  31
       March 2022 (“FY22”) of 5.25p (2021: 5.0p)
     • Target dividends per share of no less than 5.5p for the year ending 31
       March 2023

    

   Earnings

    

     • EPRA earnings per share2 (“EPS”) for  the Period of 1.6p and for  FY22
       increasing to 5.9p (2021: 5.6p) primarily  due to a £0.3m decrease  in
       the doubtful debt provision during the year (2021: £2.7m increase)
     • EPRA EPS 110%3 covered the FY22 dividend (2021: 113%)
     • The accretive acquisition  of DRUM  Income Plus REIT  plc (“DRUM”)  in
       November 2021 has delivered an annualised 11p of EPRA earnings per new
       share issued in consideration since acquisition, with DRUM’s portfolio
       valuation remaining steady at £49m

    

   NAV

    

     • NAV total return per share4 of:

          ◦ 6.4% for the Period comprising 1.2% dividends paid and a 5.2%
            capital increase
          ◦ 28.4% for FY22 (2021: 0.9%) comprising 5.8% dividends paid (2021:
            4.8%) and a 22.6% capital increase (2021: 3.9% capital decrease)

     • NAV per share  of 119.7p  (31 December  2021: 113.7p,  31 March  2021:
       97.6p)
     • NAV of £527.6m (31 December 2021: £501.4m)

    

   Portfolio highlights

    

     • Property portfolio value of £665.2m (31 December 2021: £637.9m)
     • £25.5m aggregate valuation increase for the Period comprising:

          ◦ £5.0m from successful asset management initiatives; and
          ◦ £20.5m of general valuation increases, primarily in the
            industrial and logistics and retail warehouse sectors

     • £1.875m5  invested  during  the  Period  in  an  industrial  unit   in
       Nottingham
     • Disposal of a  high street  retail unit  in Norwich  at valuation  for
       £1.3m
     • Net gearing6 decreased to 19.1%  loan-to-value (31 March 2021:  24.9%)
       due to valuation increases of £94.0m over the last 12 months
     • EPRA occupancy7 decreased to 89.9% (31 March 2021: 91.6%)
     • Since the  Period-end, £7.5m  invested in  an industrial  facility  in
       Grangemouth

    

   1 Target dividend per share for the year ending 31 March 2023 of 5.5p
   divided by the last available share price prior to publication of 100.6p.

   2 Profit after tax excluding net gains or losses on investment property
   divided by weighted average number of shares in issue.

   3 Profit after tax, excluding net gains or losses on investment property,
   divided by dividends approved relating to the period.

   4 NAV per share movement including dividends paid during the Period.

   5 Before acquisition costs.

   6 Gross borrowings less cash (excluding rent deposits) divided by
   portfolio valuation.

   7 Estimated rental value (“ERV”) of let property divided by total
   portfolio ERV.

    

    

    

   Net asset value

    

   The unaudited  NAV  of  Custodian  REIT at  31  March  2022  was  £527.6m,
   reflecting approximately  119.7p per  share, an  increase of  6.0p  (5.3%)
   since 31 December 2021:

                                            Pence per share    £m
                                                                 
   NAV at 31 December 2021                            113.7 501.4
                                                                 
   Valuation movements relating to:                              
   - Asset management activity                          1.1   5.0
   - General valuation increases                        4.7  20.5
   Net valuation movement                               5.8  25.5
   Other movements                                        -   0.2
   Acquisition costs                                      - (0.2)
                                                        5.8  25.5
   EPRA earnings for the Period                         1.6   6.8
   Interim dividend paid8 during the Period           (1.4) (6.1)
                                                                 
   NAV at 31 March 2022                               119.7 527.6

    

   8 An interim dividend of 1.375p per share relating to the quarter ended 31
   December 2021 was paid on 28 February 2022.

    

   The NAV attributable to the ordinary  shares of the Company is  calculated
   under International  Financial Reporting  Standards and  incorporates  the
   independent portfolio valuation as at 31 March 2022 and net income for the
   Period.  The movement in NAV reflects  the payment of an interim  dividend
   of 1.375p per share during the Period, but does not include any  provision
   for the approved dividend of 1.375p per share for the Period to be paid on
   31 May 2022.

    

   Investment Manager’s commentary

    

   UK property market

    

   Market sentiment remains strongly  positive for industrial and  logistics,
   notwithstanding recent  uncertainty  in  the ‘big-box’  sector  caused  by
   Amazon’s  announcement  of  excess  warehouse  capacity.   Positivity  has
   emerged, post covid lockdowns, for central London and major regional  city
   offices and the retail warehouse sector has challenged the general  retail
   malaise. As  we reported  last  quarter there  is  a nascent  recovery  in
   sentiment towards high  street retail, but  only in prime  pitches and  in
   leading retail  centres.   So, with  the  exception of  secondary  retail,
   business park  offices and  secondary leisure  schemes, market  demand  is
   driving values across  the board  which has  led directly  to the  seventh
   consecutive quarter of net asset value growth for Custodian REIT.

    

   Sector by sector Custodian REIT portfolio valuations have broadly followed
   the wider  market  trends  during  the  period  with  the  industrial  and
   logistics valuation  increasing  by 6.5%,  retail  warehousing  increasing
   3.5%, the ‘other’ sector increasing 1.8% and high street retail increasing
   by 0.8%.  The office  portfolio saw no  valuation movement reflecting  the
   50% weighting to business park  offices but recent acquisitions have  been
   focused  on  strong  city  locations,  having  bought  recently  in   both
   Manchester and Oxford, where we are witnessing the strongest occupier  and
   investor demand and  we believe the  office portfolio is  set fair to  see
   growth.

    

   Thematic investment continues to dominate  fund raising and is  polarising
   property investment demand and pricing.  The weight of capital chasing the
   industrial and logistics sector and  more recently retail warehousing  has
   led to some extraordinary yield compression.  While this drives NAV growth
   for existing investors,  income yields  are being squeezed.   In the  long
   term, income comprises  70%-80% of the  total return from  property so  it
   makes sense to target property investment that provides a higher level  of
   income.  Custodian  REIT’s smaller-lot  size specialism  of targeting  the
   marginal income advantage (ie the additional income for the same level  of
   risk) of  investing in  smaller regional  properties has  never been  more
   accretive than in current market conditions.

    

   While thematic  investment, if  focused  on the  right sectors,  has  been
   demonstrably successful for active investors over the last two years we do
   not believe the  yield compression  driven growth will  continue over  the
   next two years.   Therefore, a  re-focus on  diversified strategies  where
   managers can exploit mispricing  in sub-sectors of  the office and  retail
   market, and as stated above  a focus on income,  is likely to deliver  for
   investors.

    

   Inflation

    

   There is rightly a keen focus on inflation at present and questions as  to
   whether real estate investment can  offer a degree of inflation  hedging. 
   In short, the answer must be yes as rents should grow over time, but  with
   typically five-yearly rent  reviews and average  unexpired lease terms  of
   circa five years, investors should not expect a straight-line relationship
   between rents  and inflation.   Much focus  is currently  on RPI  and  CPI
   linked rent reviews, which of course provide shorter-term comfort but  can
   have the effect of  creating bond like  investment characteristics with  a
   greater  emphasis   placed   on   tenant  covenant   than   the   property
   fundamentals.  At some point in a property’s life cycle rents will  always
   be re-based to open market values.  An over-reliance on index linked  rent
   reviews can lead  to disparity  between investment  values and  underlying
   property values. Over the  long term we do  not feel indexed rent  reviews
   are a worthy  substitute for owning  good real estate  where we back  open
   market rent reviews  to deliver rental  growth.  For long-term  investors,
   such as Custodian REIT,  the aim is to  provide inflation protection  from
   the bricks and mortar, not the lease contracts.

    

   Earnings

    

   EPRA earnings  per share  for  FY22 increased  to  5.9p (2021:  5.6p)  due
   primarily to a £0.3m decrease in the doubtful debt provision (2021:  £2.7m
   increase), reflecting an  improved sentiment regarding  the collection  of
   overdue rents.

    

   Based on  the  most recent  valuation,  the Custodian  REIT  portfolio  is
   offering an aggregate 10%  rental reversion on  occupied properties and  a
   20% reversion  including  vacant  properties.   This  latent  increase  to
   earnings should  provide  a  useful  buffer  against  cost  inflation  and
   potentially increase dividend capacity once crystallised.

    

   We believe  that earnings  and earnings  growth should  be a  much  higher
   profile  metric  when  considering   the  relative  pricing  of   property
   investment companies’ stock,  rather than  an over-reliance  on NAV  based
   metrics.  As Investment Manager, protecting  and growing earnings is  much
   more of a focus than NAV growth,  which is often largely driven by  market
   sentiment.  As set  out below  this focus  is demonstrated  in the  recent
   asset management which has added to  the rent roll and secured  additional
   cash flow over the short to medium term.

    

   Asset management

    

   The Investment Manager  has remained  focused on  active asset  management
   during the Period, completing the following initiatives:

    

     • A new 10  year lease with  a fifth  year tenant break  option with  DS
       Smith Packaging on a vacant industrial unit in Redditch with an annual
       rent of £401k, increasing valuation by £3.5m;
     • A 10 year lease renewal with a fifth year tenant break option with MTS
       Logistics on an industrial unit in  Bardon with a stepped annual  rent
       of £175k, rising to £205k, increasing valuation by £0.8m;
     • A new 15 year  lease without break  with Pure Gym  on a vacant  retail
       warehouse unit in  Grantham with  an annual rent  of £90k,  increasing
       valuation by £0.3m;
     • A new five  year lease  with a fourth  year tenant  break option  with
       Carbide Properties (t/a Tungsten Properties) on a vacant office  suite
       in Leicester  with an  annual rent  of £78k,  increasing valuation  by
       £0.2m;
     • A five year lease renewal with  a third year tenant break option  with
       The Works on a retail unit in  Bury St Edmunds with an annual rent  of
       £85k, increasing valuation by £0.2m;
     • A five year lease renewal with  a third year tenant break option  with
       Superdrug on a retail unit in Weston-super-Mare with an annual rent of
       £60k, with no impact on valuation;
     • A five year lease renewal without break with Holland and Barrett on  a
       retail unit in Shrewsbury with an annual rent of £60k, with no  impact
       on valuation; and
     • A new three year lease with Saima  Rani Salon on a vacant retail  unit
       in Shrewsbury,  with  an  annual  rent of  £15k,  with  no  impact  on
       valuation.

    

   Despite the positive impact of these initiatives EPRA occupancy  decreased
   to 89.9% (31 December 2021: 90.9%).  Of the vacant space, 37% is currently
   under offer  to  let  and a  further  29%  is planned  vacancy  to  enable
   redevelopment or refurbishment  and once  complete we  expected these  new
   lettings and  developments  to  enhance  earnings  and  deliver  valuation
   increases in excess of capital expenditure. 

    

   Dividends

    

   During the Period the Company paid an interim dividend of 1.375p per share
   relating to the  quarter ended 31  December 2021 and  approved an  interim
   dividend per  share  of 1.375p  for  the  Period, fully  covered  by  EPRA
   earnings, achieving its target dividend per  share for the year ending  31
   March 2022  of 5.25p.    The Board  is targeting  aggregate dividends  per
   share9 of at least 5.5p  for the year ending  31 March 2023.  The  Board’s
   objective is to grow the dividend on a sustainable basis, at a rate  which
   is fully covered by net rental income and does not inhibit the flexibility
   of the Company’s investment strategy.

    

   9 This  is a  target only  and not  a profit  forecast.  There  can be  no
   assurance that the target can or will be met and it should not be taken as
   an indication  of  the  Company’s  expected  or  actual  future  results. 
   Accordingly, shareholders or potential investors in the Company should not
   place any reliance on this target in deciding whether or not to invest  in
   the Company or assume that the Company will make any distributions at  all
   and should decide for themselves whether or not the target dividend  yield
   is reasonable or achievable.

    

   Acquisitions

    

   During the  Period  the  Company  invested  £1.875m  on  a  24,134  sq  ft
   industrial unit  on  Moorgreen  Industrial Park,  Nottingham  occupied  by
   Hickling & Squires commercial  printers.  The unit has  a passing rent  of
   £130k per annum, reflecting a net initial yield10 (“NIY”) of 6.53%.

    

   Since the  Period end  the Company  has acquired  a 87k  sq ft  industrial
   facility in Grangemouth for £7.5m occupied by Thornbridge Sawmills with an
   annual passing rent of £388k, reflecting a NIY of 5.5%.

    

   10 Passing rent divided by property valuation plus purchaser’s costs.

    

   Borrowings

    

   Custodian REIT and its subsidiaries operate the following loan facilities:

    

     • A  £35m  revolving  credit  facility  (“RCF”)  with  Lloyds  Bank  plc
       (“Lloyds”) expiring on 17 September 2024 with interest of between 1.5%
       and 1.8% above SONIA,  determined by reference  to the prevailing  LTV
       ratio of a  discrete security  pool.  The  RCF facility  limit can  be
       increased to a maximum of £50m with Lloyds’ approval;
     • A £25m RCF  with The  Royal Bank of  Scotland (“RBS”)  expiring on  30
       September 2022 with interest of 1.75% above SONIA;
     • A £20m  term  loan  with Scottish  Widows plc  (“SWIP”)  repayable  on
       13 August 2025 with interest fixed at 3.935%;
     • A £45m term  loan with  SWIP repayable on  5 June  2028 with  interest
       fixed at 2.987%; and

     • A £50m term loan with Aviva Investors Real Estate Finance comprising:

         a. A £35m tranche repayable on 6 April 2032 with fixed annual
            interest of 3.02%; and
         b. A £15m tranche repayable on 3 November 2032 with fixed annual
            interest of 3.26%.

    

   Each facility  has  a  discrete  security pool,  comprising  a  number  of
   individual properties, over  which the  relevant lender  has security  and
   covenants:

    

     • The maximum LTV of the discrete security pool is between 45% and  50%,
       with an overarching covenant  on the property  portfolio of a  maximum
       35% LTV; and
     • Historical interest  cover, requiring  net rental  receipts from  each
       discrete security pool,  over the  preceding three  months, to  exceed
       250% of the facility’s quarterly interest liability.

    

   The Company and its subsidiaries  complied with all loan covenants  during
   the Period.

    

   The Company is in discussions  with its lenders regarding refinancing  the
   £25m RBS facility ahead of its expiry later this year.

    

   Portfolio analysis

    

   At 31 March 2022 the property portfolio comprised 160 assets with a NIY of
   5.7% (31 December 2021:  6.1%).  The portfolio is  split between the  main
   commercial property  sectors,  in line  with  the Company’s  objective  to
   maintain a suitably balanced investment portfolio.  Sector weightings  are
   shown below:

    

               Valuation
                                         Period           Weighting Weighting
                  31 Mar              valuation                  by        by
                    2022 Weighting by  movement    Period  income11  income11
                         value 31 Mar           valuation    31 Mar    31 Dec
                      £m         2022        £m  movement      2022      2021
   Sector
                                                                             
   Industrial      324.5          49%      19.5      6.5%       38%       39%
   Retail          125.4          19%       4.2      3.5%       21%       21%
   warehouse
   Office           88.1          13%         -         -       17%       16%
   Other12          76.9          12%       1.4      1.8%       13%       12%
   High street      50.3           7%       0.4      0.8%       11%       12%
   retail
                                                                             
   Total           665.2         100%      25.5      4.0%      100%      100%

    

   11 Current passing rent plus ERV of vacant properties.

   12 Comprises  drive-through restaurants,  car showrooms,  trade  counters,
   gymnasiums, restaurants and leisure units.

    

   The Company  and its  subsidiaries  operate a  geographically  diversified
   property portfolio across  the UK, seeking  to ensure that  no one  region
   represents more than 50% of portfolio income.  The geographic analysis  of
   the property portfolio at 31 March 2022 was as follows:

    

              Valuation
                                         Period           Weighting Weighting
                 31 Mar  Weighting by valuation                  by        by
                   2022  value 31 Mar  movement    Period  income11  income11
                                 2022           valuation    31 Mar    31 Dec
                     £m                      £m  movement      2022      2021
   Location
                                                                             
   West           133.7           20%       8.5      6.8%       18%       18%
   Midlands
   North-West     116.2           17%       1.8      1.6%       19%       19%
   South-East      87.2           13%       4.2      5.0%       14%       13%
   East            84.7           13%       4.1      5.3%       13%       13%
   Midlands
   Scotland        72.5           11%       1.8      2.6%       10%       10%
   North-East      65.5           10%       0.7      1.0%       12%       12%
   South-West      65.5           10%       1.9      3.0%        9%        9%
   Eastern         33.9            5%       2.5      7.9%        4%        5%
   Wales            6.0            1%         -         -        1%        1%
                                                                             
   Total          665.2          100%      25.5      4.0%      100%      100%

    

   For  details   of   all   properties   in   the   portfolio   please   see
    1 custodianreit.com/property-portfolio.

    

   Inside information

    

   The Board is satisfied that any inside information which the Directors and
   the Investment  Manager  may  have  has  been  notified  to  a  regulatory
   information service.   The  Directors  and those  closely  associated  are
   therefore not prohibited from dealing  in the Company’s shares during  the
   closed period which  ends on the  date of the  announcement of the  Annual
   Report for the year ended 31 March 2022.

    

                                    - Ends -

    

   Further information:

    

   Further information regarding the  Company can be  found at the  Company's
   website  2 custodianreit.com or please contact:

    

   Custodian Capital Limited                                                 
   Richard Shepherd-Cross / Ed Moore / Ian           Tel: +44 (0)116 240 8740
   Mattioli MBE
                                                   3 www.custodiancapital.com

    

   Numis Securities Limited                             
   Hugh Jonathan / Nathan Brown Tel: +44 (0)20 7260 1000
                                     www.numis.com/funds

    

   Camarco                                   
   Ed Gascoigne-Pees Tel: +44 (0)20 3757 4984
                            www.camarco.co.uk

    

   Notes to Editors

    

   Custodian REIT plc is a UK  real estate investment trust, which listed  on
   the main  market of  the London  Stock  Exchange on  26 March  2014.   Its
   portfolio comprises properties  predominantly let  to institutional  grade
   tenants on long leases throughout the UK and is principally  characterised
   by properties with individual values of less than £10m at acquisition. 

    

   The Company  offers  investors the  opportunity  to access  a  diversified
   portfolio of UK commercial  real estate through  a closed-ended fund.   By
   principally targeting sub £10m lot-size, regional properties, the  Company
   seeks to provide  investors with an  attractive level of  income with  the
   potential for capital growth. 

    

   Custodian Capital Limited is the  discretionary investment manager of  the
   Company. 

    

   For     more      information     visit       4 custodianreit.com      and
    5 custodiancapital.com.

   ══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

   ISIN:          GB00BJFLFT45
   Category Code: MSCH
   TIDM:          CREI
   LEI Code:      2138001BOD1J5XK1CX76
   Sequence No.:  160497
   EQS News ID:   1347251


    
   End of Announcement EQS News Service

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