Fitch Affirms Seven Taiwanese Banks; Outlook Stable
(The following statement was released by the rating agency)
Fitch Ratings-Taipei-June 05: Fitch Ratings has affirmed most of the ratings of
EnTie Commercial Bank, Far Eastern International Bank (FEIB), King's Town Bank
(KTB), Sunny Bank Ltd., Taichung Commercial Bank Company Limited, Taipei Star
Bank (TSB) and The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank, Ltd. (SCSB). The Rating
Outlooks are Stable. The National Short-Term Ratings of Taichung and Sunny have
been upgraded to 'F1(twn)' from 'F2(twn)'.
A full list of rating actions is at the end of this commentary.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
ISSUER DEFAULT RATINGS, NATIONAL RATINGS AND VIABILITY RATINGS
The banks' ratings are driven by their intrinsic credit profiles and have been
affirmed with Stable Outlooks as Fitch expects the banks to maintain their
financial strength, underpinned by largely stable profitability and
capitalisation as well as a strong liquidity profile in 2018 and 2019. Their
ratings are mostly constrained by their smaller franchise - particularly for
FEIB, Taichung, Sunny and TSB - but are counterbalanced by their ability to
sustain adequate capital buffers relative to their growth and risk-taking.
We expect Taiwan's modest economic recovery to help sustain the banks' credit
profiles, underpinned by easing margin pressure, sustained benign credit costs,
and adequate asset quality. Many of the banks reviewed have above-sector average
level of property exposure; however, we view associated risks to have moderated
in light of stabilising property prices and a continuing low interest rate
environment. We expect most banks to pursue reasonable loan growth without
noticeably undermining their underwriting quality or capitalisation.
Many of the banks reviewed have increased loans to SMEs over the last two years
in search of higher yield. The associated risks, however, are mitigated partly
by adequate collateralisation and the government's guarantee. The impaired loan
ratio and operating profit/risk-weighted assets were largely stable for the
overall sector. However, performance varied among the banks reviewed, mostly as
a result of their different franchise and niche strategy.
SCSB is rated the highest at 'A-'/'a-' among the banks reviewed due to its
satisfactory capitalisation and robust earnings, backed by its long-established
SME clients and greater-China franchise through its Hong Kong-based subsidiary,
Shanghai Commercial Bank Limited (A-/Stable/a), and major Chinese partner, Bank
of Shanghai. KTB is rated at 'BBB'/'bbb', higher than most Fitch-rated small
banks in Taiwan, as it maintains sound capital generation by consistently
implementing its strategy to diversify credit exposure by investing in foreign
bonds and pursuing selective lending in niche markets.
We expect EnTie to continue to sustain its above-peer capitalisation through
earnings retention and modest growth, which will provide a sufficient buffer for
the likely asset quality volatility associated with its high single-borrower
lending concentration.
FEIB's rating affirmation reflects our expectations that the bank will sustain
its capitalisation through managed credit growth and maintain largely stable
profitability and asset quality over the next year or two. The ratings also
consider its below-peer risk-adjusted profitability and modest banking
franchise.
Sunny's ratings are constrained by its small franchise, below-peer profitability
and capitalisation and concentrated property exposure, mitigated by its average
asset quality. Taichung's ratings reflect Fitch's expectation that the bank's
credit growth will remain moderate in 2018-2019 and the bank will sustain its
capitalisation commensurate with its risk profile. The ratings also reflect its
less diversified earnings and weaker-than-peer asset quality.
The upgrade in the National Short-Term Ratings for Sunny and Taichung reflect
the two banks' sound short-term liquidity profile, which Fitch believes is in
line with similarly rated banks in the system.
A limited franchise and business scope underpin TSB's weak profitability and
constrain its ratings. This is in spite of our view that the bank has
consistently maintained adequate underwriting standards and modest appetite for
risks, resulting in sound asset quality.
SUPPORT RATING AND SUPPORT RATING FLOOR
FEIB, Taichung and SCSB have a Support Rating of '4' and Support Rating Floors
of 'B+', reflecting their low systemic importance. KTB's Support Rating is '5'
and its Support Rating Floor is 'NF' due to its smaller presence in the
financial system.
SUBORDINATED DEBT
FEIB and Taichung's Basel II-compliant subordinated debt is rated one notch
below their National Long-Term Ratings to reflect its subordinated status and
the absence of a going-concern loss-absorption mechanism.
FEIB and Taichung's Basel III-compliant subordinated debt is rated two notches
below their National Long-Term Ratings, which are anchored by their respective
Viability Ratings, to reflect the bonds' limited recovery prospects. Bondholders
risk significant loss at the point of non-viability, which is reached upon
government receivership or a regulatory order for resolution or liquidation,
because the bonds would rank equally with common shares in Taiwan.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
ISSUER DEFAULT RATINGS, NATIONAL RATINGS AND VIABILITY RATINGS
The banks' ratings are sensitive to a significant increase in risk appetite in
pursuit of yield, which could result in significant deterioration in asset
quality and heightened impairment costs leading to weakening profitability and
capitalisation. A sharp property-market decline and an abrupt interest rate
increase hurting borrower repayment capacity could weaken their credit profile,
though not our base case.
Rating upside prospects are limited in light of the banks' modest franchises and
concentration risks for several of the banks. Lower-rated banks' financial
strength would also be constrained by modest profit generation capacity owing to
thin margins and relatively weaker fee income.
Excessive risk-taking - particularly in Asian emerging markets - may put
downward pressure on SCSB's ratings. Upside potential is limited by the bank's
growing emerging market operations and exposures, including those in China.
A downgrade of EnTie's ratings could stem from failure to maintain adequate
capitalisation relative to its risk-taking and/or inability to sustain its niche
in fee-based structured finance and property-related lending.
Downward rating pressure on KTB could stem from failure to execute its strategy
or an unexpected change in senior management. Any notable deterioration in asset
quality arising from its rapid growth in SME loans could also pressure the
bank's credit profile.
Pressure for negative rating action for FEIB, Sunny, Taichung and TSB is likely
to come from excessive risk-taking leading to weaker asset quality or
capitalisation. This could come from rapid growth in emerging markets in Asia or
new product lines or a relaxation of underwriting standards for growth. They are
also more sensitive to a market downturn given below-average capital generation
and/or a lower capital buffer.
SUPPORT RATING AND SUPPORT RATING FLOOR
The Support Ratings and Support Rating Floors are sensitive to changes in
Fitch's assumptions around the propensity of the Taiwan government (AA-/Stable)
to provide timely support to the banks, or in the banks' level of systemic
importance.
SUBORDINATED DEBT
The subordinated debt ratings of FEIB and Taichung are sensitive to the same
considerations that might affect their Viability Ratings.
The rating actions are as follows:
EnTie:
National Long-Term Rating affirmed at 'A(twn)'; Outlook Stable
National Short-Term Rating affirmed at 'F1(twn)'
FEIB:
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating affirmed at 'BBB-'; Outlook Stable
Short-Term Issuer Default Rating affirmed at 'F3'
National Long-Term Rating affirmed at 'A(twn)'; Outlook Stable
National Short-Term Rating affirmed at 'F1(twn)'
Viability Rating affirmed at 'bbb-'
Support Rating affirmed at '4'
Support Rating Floor affirmed at 'B+'
Subordinated debt (Basel II Tier 2 capital) affirmed at 'A-(twn)'
Subordinated debt (Basel III-compliant) affirmed at 'BBB+(twn)'
KTB:
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating affirmed at 'BBB'; Outlook Stable
Short-Term Issuer Default Rating affirmed at 'F3'
National Long-Term Rating affirmed at 'A+(twn)'; Outlook Stable
National Short-Term Rating affirmed at 'F1(twn)'
Viability Rating affirmed at 'bbb'
Support Rating affirmed at '5'
Support Rating Floor affirmed at 'No Floor'
Sunny:
National Long-Term Rating affirmed at 'A-(twn)'; Outlook Stable
National Short-Term Rating upgraded to 'F1(twn)' from 'F2(twn)'
Taichung:
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating affirmed at 'BB+'; Outlook Stable
Short-Term Issuer Default Rating affirmed at 'B'
National Long-Term Rating affirmed at 'A-(twn)'; Outlook Stable
National Short-Term Rating upgraded to 'F1(twn)' from 'F2(twn)'
Viability Rating affirmed at 'bb+'
Support Rating affirmed at '4'
Support Rating Floor affirmed at 'B+'
Subordinated debt (Basel II Tier 2 capital) affirmed at 'BBB+(twn)'
Subordinated debt (Basel III-compliant) affirmed at 'BBB(twn)'
TSB:
National Long-Term Rating affirmed at 'A-(twn)'; Outlook Stable
National Short-Term Rating affirmed at 'F1(twn)'
SCSB:
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating affirmed at 'A-'; Stable Outlook
Short-Term Issuer Default Rating affirmed at 'F1'
National Long-Term Rating affirmed at 'AA(twn)'; Stable Outlook
National Short-Term Rating affirmed at 'F1+(twn)'
Viability Rating affirmed at 'a-'
Support Rating affirmed at '4'
Support Rating Floor affirmed at 'B+'
Contact:
Primary Analyst
Cherry Huang, CFA (EnTie, FEIB, KTB and SCSB)
Director
+886 2 8175 7603
Fitch Australia Pty Ltd, Taiwan Branch
Suite 1306, 13F, 205, Tunhwa North. Rd., Taipei City
Sophia Chen, CFA, CPA (Sunny, Taichung and TSB)
Director
+886 2 8175 7604
Fitch Australia Pty Ltd, Taiwan Branch
Suite 1306, 13F, 205, Tunhwa North. Rd., Taipei City
Secondary Analyst
Sophia Chen, CFA, CPA (EnTie, FEIB, KTB and SCSB)
Director
+886 2 8175 7604
Cherry Huang, CFA (Sunny, Taichung and TSB)
Director
+886 2 8175 7603
Committee Chairperson
Parson Singha
Senior Director
+66 2108 0151
Summary of Financial Statement Adjustments: The following assumptions were made
in analysing the banks' Fitch Core Capital ratios; Taiwan's regulator uses the
standardised approach and imposes higher risk weights on mortgages than
regulators in most other developed markets. We have considered the potential
effect of these higher risk weights on the banks' Fitch Core Capital ratios
compared with international peers that use lower mortgage risk weights.
Note to editors: Fitch's National ratings provide a relative measure of
creditworthiness for rated entities in countries with relatively low
international sovereign ratings and where there is demand for such ratings. The
best risk within a country is rated 'AAA' and other credits are rated only
relative to this risk. National ratings are designed for use mainly by local
investors in local markets and are signified by the addition of an identifier
for the country concerned, such as 'AAA(twn)' for National ratings in Taiwan.
Specific letter grades are not therefore internationally comparable.
Media Relations: Wai-Lun Wan, Hong Kong, Tel: +852 2263 9935, Email:
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Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com
Applicable Criteria
Bank Rating Criteria (pub. 23 Mar 2018)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10023430
National Scale Ratings Criteria (pub. 07 Mar 2017)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/895106
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Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/dodd-frank-disclosure/10033360
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https://www.fitchratings.com/site/pr/10033360#solicitation
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https://www.fitchratings.com/regulatory
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