Fitch Takes Rating Action on Seven Taiwanese Private Banks
(The following statement was released by the rating agency)
Fitch Ratings-Taipei-May 24: Fitch Ratings has taken the following rating
actions after the periodic peer review of seven private banks in Taiwan:
- Upgraded Far Eastern International Bank's (FEIB) Long-Term Issuer Default
Rating (IDR) to 'BBB' from 'BBB-', National Long-Term Rating to 'A+(twn)' from
'A(twn)', Basel II-compliant subordinated debt to 'A(twn)' from 'A-(twn)', and
Basel III-compliant subordinated debt to 'A-(twn)' from 'BBB+(twn)', and
affirmed all other ratings;
- Resolved the Under Criteria Observation (UCO) on The Shanghai Commercial &
Savings Bank, Ltd.'s (SCSB) Short-Term IDR and downgraded the rating to 'F2'
from 'F1' while affirming all other ratings; and
- Affirmed all ratings of Taichung Commercial Bank Company Limited (Taichung),
EnTie Commercial Bank (EnTie), King's Town Bank (KTB), Sunny Bank Ltd. (Sunny),
and Taipei Star Bank (TSB).
A full list of rating actions is at the end of this commentary.
Fitch believes the Taiwanese private banks covered in today's rating action
possess adequate buffers to withstand near-term asset quality challenges,
despite a slowing economy and growing external uncertainties stemming from the
US-China trade tensions. This is in part due to persistently low interest rates
and ample system liquidity domestically, which should alleviate borrowers'
debt-servicing burden. There have been some signs of a mild recovery in the
domestic property market in recent months, with housing prices rising around 5%
on average from the latest trough in 2016 on the back of higher transaction
volume. The loan quality at most of these private banks is highly correlated to
the performance of the domestic property market as they are highly concentrated
on the property sector and the majority of their loan collateral is in real
estate.
We believe US tariffs will have a moderate impact on Taiwan's economic growth in
2019-2020 as the current 25% tariff imposed on USD200 billion of Chinese goods
does not apply to major consumer electronics. However, there may be downside
risks to the Taiwanese banking sector's operating environment if US-China trade
tensions escalate and result in further tariff increases in July on the
remaining US imports from China, which include electronic products. Taiwanese
companies supply a large portion of the components used in US consumer
electronic products that are assembled in China.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
IDRS, NATIONAL RATINGS AND VIABILITY RATINGS
The ratings of the seven banks in this review are driven by their intrinsic
credit profiles.
Far Eastern International Bank
Today's upgrade of FEIB's Long-Term IDR to 'BBB' from 'BBB-' reflects the
improvement in its company profile, helped by an increasingly diverse business
model and disciplined growth in its offshore business as well as domestically.
The bank has gradually established a record in leading regional syndication over
the past four years, which helps to diversify its business mix against the
highly competitive domestic banking system. Its domestic loan asset quality
remains resilient, as around half of its loan book is in mortgages (including
revolving mortgages), while its exposures to China and other Asian emerging
markets remain below sector average despite its strategy to expand regionally in
recent years. We do not expect FEIB's risk profile to increase significantly
from the current level, and believe that its asset quality and capital buffers
should remain stable.
Taichung Commercial Bank Company Limited
Taichung's IDR of 'BB+' considers its regional significance in central Taiwan,
which underpins its stable funding and liquidity profile alongside improving
core capitalisation, balanced against its high concentration in the property
sector and below-peer asset quality and profitability. Taichung has reported
mild increases in its core capitalisation over the past few years, and Fitch
believes there is scope for further improvement, helped by increasing internal
capital generation. We expect the bank to reduce its risk appetite over time and
slow its loan growth, and focus on enhancing its fee-income generation to narrow
its capitalisation gap against other higher-rated peers.
The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank, Ltd.
The downgrade of SCSB's Short-Term IDR was due to a change in Fitch's rating
criteria (see Short-Term
Ratings Criteria /a , dated 2 May 2019). The bank's funding and liquidity score
of 'a-' that feeds into its Viability Rating (VR) is below the minimum level
required to maintain its short-term rating under the new criteria. However,
there has been no deterioration in SCSB's liquidity profile since the last
review and we expect the bank to maintain a steady loan/customer-deposit ratio,
which remains below the sector average (end-2018: 67% for SCSB; 76% for sector).
The bank's Short-Term IDR remains relatively high among Fitch-rated Taiwanese
private banks. Its long-standing relationship with and focus on being the
operating bank of SME customers, particularly for Greater China remittance and
trade finance, will continue to underpin its solid deposit base and strong
liquidity.
SCSB is rated the highest at 'A-' among the banks in today's review. The bank
has a strong cross-strait business model, backed by its established SME clients
and Greater China franchise through its Hong Kong subsidiary, Shanghai
Commercial Bank Limited (A-/Stable/a-), and Chinese partner, Bank of Shanghai.
The rating also reflects its broadly conservative risk appetite, healthy asset
quality and stable funding and liquidity profile.
EnTie Commercial Bank
EnTie's rating of 'A(twn)' reflects our expectation the bank will continue to
sustain its above-peer capitalisation through modest asset growth, which will
mitigate risks from potential asset-quality volatility associated with the high
concentration in real estate among its top-20 borrowers.
King's Town Bank
KTB is rated 'BBB' as its above-peer capitalisation and stable asset quality
offset its limited scale, and support a rating that is high among Fitch-rated
small Taiwanese banks. However, its larger investment exposure relative to other
small banks means KTB's profitability can be more volatile and is vulnerable to
fluctuations in market valuations. KTB's profitability deteriorated in 2018
because of mark-to-market losses on its investments and large credit write-offs,
resulting in a decline in its Fitch Core Capital (FCC) ratio to 14.4% by
end-2018 from 16.2% at end-2017, though its core capitalisation remains above
its peer average. Fitch expects KTB's financial profile to remain commensurate
with its VR.
Sunny Bank Ltd.
Sunny's rating of 'A-(twn)' is mainly constrained by its modest franchise,
concentrated property exposure, less-diverse profitability and below-average
capitalisation, despite its steady asset quality and generally stable funding
and liquidity.
Taipei Star Bank
TSB's ratings are mainly capped by its small franchise, limited business scope
and weak internal capital-generation capability. That said, the bank has thus
far maintained reasonable asset quality due to the high collateralisation of its
loans and the mild recovery in the property market. The bank's funding profile
also appears sound and in line with peers.
SUPPORT RATING AND SUPPORT RATING FLOOR
FEIB, Taichung and SCSB have a Support Rating of '4' and a Support Rating Floor
of 'B+', reflecting their low systemic importance. KTB's Support Rating is '5'
and its Support Rating Floor is 'No Floor' due to its lower systemic importance.
SUBORDINATED DEBT
Fitch upgraded FEIB's Basel II-compliant subordinated debt to 'A(twn)' from
'A-(twn)', and Basel III-compliant subordinated debt to 'A-(twn)' from
'BBB+(twn)', alongside the upgrade of its National Long-Term Rating.
FEIB's and Taichung's Basel II-compliant subordinated debt is rated one notch
below their National Long-Term Ratings to reflect its subordinated status and
the absence of a going-concern loss-absorption mechanism.
FEIB and Taichung's Basel III-compliant subordinated debt is rated two notches
below their National Long-Term Ratings, which are anchored by their respective
Viability Ratings, to reflect the bonds' limited recovery prospects. Bondholders
risk significant loss at the point of non-viability, which is reached upon
government receivership or a regulatory order for resolution or liquidation,
because the bonds would rank equally with common shares in Taiwan.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
IDRS, NATIONAL RATINGS AND VIABILITY RATINGS
The banks' ratings are sensitive to the potential impact from a further
escalation in US-China trade tensions on the Taiwan banking sector's operating
environment. Their ratings are also sensitive to any sharp increase in risk
appetite, including excessive loan growth, particularly with entry into areas
outside the banks' core competencies and/or Asian emerging markets, as their
profitability and capitalisation could weaken due to deteriorating asset quality
and high impairment costs. A sharp property-market decline would weaken their
credit profiles and trigger potential rating downgrades as most of these banks
are highly concentrated in the property sector, although this is not our base
case.
Upside is limited in the near term for FEIB after today's rating upgrade, unless
the bank can demonstrate further improvement in its ability to increase its
franchise or diversify its business mix without sacrificing its asset quality,
especially in its offshore businesses.
Taichung's IDRs and National Ratings will be sensitive to sustained improvement
in its core capitalisation to levels that are more aligned with higher-rated
peers, and this will be partly dependent on Taichung's ability to lift its
earnings capability through fee-income generation, while safeguarding its asset
quality and maintaining a similar growth appetite.
Upside potential for SCSB is limited as it is already the highest rated among
rated peers; aggressive expansion into Asian emerging markets could be credit
negative for SCSB, if such growth is not managed prudently and results in a
significant rise in the bank's risk appetite.
Rating upside is limited for KTB given its small scale. Market fluctuations
leading to greater erosion in profitability (such as stemming from its sizeable
investment portfolio) and in turn, capitalisation, would be credit negative for
KTB, as this may also pressure KTB's overall asset quality given the size of its
investments.
Rating upside for EnTie could come from a meaningful improvement in its
franchise and reduced asset-quality volatility associated with its high loan
concentration.
A rating upgrade for Sunny and TSB is not likely in the near term unless there
is meaningful improvement in the banks' franchises, leading to higher and
sustained levels of profitability and capitalisation.
SUPPORT RATING AND SUPPORT RATING FLOOR
The Support Ratings and Support Rating Floors are sensitive to changes in
Fitch's assumptions around the propensity of the Taiwan government (AA-/Stable)
to provide timely support to the banks.
SUBORDINATED DEBT
The subordinated debt ratings of FEIB and Taichung are sensitive to the same
considerations that might affect their National Long-Term Ratings.
The rating actions are as follows:
EnTie:
National Long-Term Rating affirmed at 'A(twn)'; Outlook Stable
National Short-Term Rating affirmed at 'F1(twn)'
FEIB:
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating upgraded to 'BBB' from 'BBB-'; Outlook Stable
Short-Term Issuer Default Rating affirmed at 'F3'
National Long-Term Rating upgraded to 'A+(twn)' from 'A(twn)'; Outlook Stable
National Short-Term Rating affirmed at 'F1(twn)'
Viability Rating upgraded to 'bbb' from 'bbb-'
Support Rating affirmed at '4'
Support Rating Floor affirmed at 'B+'
Subordinated debt upgraded to 'A(twn)' from 'A-(twn)'
Subordinated debt (Basel III-compliant) upgraded to 'A-(twn)' from 'BBB+(twn)'
KTB:
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating affirmed at 'BBB'; Outlook Stable
Short-Term Issuer Default Rating affirmed at 'F3'
National Long-Term Rating affirmed at 'A+(twn)'; Outlook Stable
National Short-Term Rating affirmed at 'F1(twn)'
Viability Rating affirmed at 'bbb'
Support Rating affirmed at '5'
Support Rating Floor affirmed at 'No Floor'
Sunny:
National Long-Term Rating affirmed at 'A-(twn)'; Outlook Stable
National Short-Term Rating affirmed at 'F1(twn)'
Taichung:
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating affirmed at 'BB+'; Outlook Stable
Short-Term Issuer Default Rating affirmed at 'B'
National Long-Term Rating affirmed at 'A-(twn)'; Outlook Stable
National Short-Term Rating affirmed at 'F1(twn)'
Viability Rating affirmed at 'bb+'
Support Rating affirmed at '4'
Support Rating Floor affirmed at 'B+'
Subordinated debt affirmed at 'BBB+(twn)'
Subordinated debt (Basel III-compliant) affirmed at 'BBB(twn)'
TSB:
National Long-Term Rating affirmed at 'A-(twn)'; Outlook Stable
National Short-Term Rating affirmed at 'F1(twn)'
SCSB:
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating affirmed at 'A-'; Outlook Stable
Short-Term Issuer Default Rating downgraded to 'F2' from 'F1'; removed from UCO
National Long-Term Rating affirmed at 'AA(twn)'; Outlook Stable
National Short-Term Rating affirmed at 'F1+(twn)'
Viability Rating affirmed at 'a-'
Support Rating affirmed at '4'
Support Rating Floor affirmed at 'B+'
Contact:
Primary Analyst
Sophia Chen, CFA, CPA (Sunny and Taichung)
Director
+886 2 8175 7604
Fitch Australia Pty Ltd, Taiwan Branch
Suite 1306, 13F, 205, Tunhwa North. Rd., Taipei City
Cherry Huang, CFA (FEIB and SCSB)
Director
+886 2 8175 7603
Janet Lu (Entie, KTB and TSB)
Associate Director
+886 2 8175 7613
Secondary Analyst
Sophia Chen, CFA, CPA (TSB and SCSB)
Director
+886 2 8175 7604
Cherry Huang, CFA (EnTie, Sunny and KTB)
Director
+886 2 8175 7603
Janet Lu (FEIB and Taichung)
Associate Director
+886 2 8175 7613
Committee Chairperson
Parson Singha
Senior Director
+66 2108 0151
Summary of Financial Statement Adjustments: The following assumptions were made
in analysing the banks' Fitch Core Capital ratios; Taiwan's regulator uses the
standardised approach and imposes higher risk weights on mortgage than
regulators in most other developed markets. We have considered the potential
effect of these higher risk weights on the banks' Fitch Core Capital ratios
compared with international peers that use lower mortgage risk weights.
Note to editors: Fitch's National ratings provide a relative measure of
creditworthiness for rated entities in countries with relatively low
international sovereign ratings and where there is demand for such ratings. The
best risk within a country is rated 'AAA' and other credits are rated only
relative to this risk. National ratings are designed for use mainly by local
investors in local markets and are signified by the addition of an identifier
for the country concerned, such as 'AAA(twn)' for National ratings in Taiwan.
Specific letter grades are not therefore internationally comparable.
Media Relations: Yee Man Ko, Hong Kong, Tel: +852 2263 9953, Email:
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Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com
Applicable Criteria
Bank Rating Criteria (pub. 12 Oct 2018)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10044408
National Scale Ratings Criteria (pub. 18 Jul 2018)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10038626
Short-Term Ratings Criteria (pub. 02 May 2019)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10073011
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Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form
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https://www.fitchratings.com/site/pr/10076636#solicitation
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https://www.fitchratings.com/regulatory
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