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REG - Lloyds Banking Group - 2024 Q3 Interim Management Statement

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RNS Number : 2040J  Lloyds Banking Group PLC  23 October 2024

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Lloyds Banking Group plc

Q3 2024 Interim Management Statement

23 October 2024

 

 

 

RESULTS FOR THE NINE MONTHS ENDED 30 SEPTEMBER 2024

"The Group delivered a robust financial performance in the third quarter of
2024, with growth in income alongside continued cost discipline and strong
asset quality. Our performance allows us confidently to reaffirm our 2024
guidance.

As mentioned during our Half-Year 2024 results update, we are making good
progress on our strategy and remain on track to deliver higher, more
sustainable returns. As ever, we are guided by our purpose of Helping Britain
Prosper and continuing to provide support to our customers. The strength of
the Group's franchise, alongside our financial performance, enables us to
deliver for all stakeholders."

Charlie Nunn, Group Chief Executive

Robust financial performance, in line with expectations(1)

•  Statutory profit after tax of £3.8 billion (nine months to 30 September
2023: £4.3 billion) with net income down 7 per cent on the prior year and
operating costs up 5 per cent (including the Bank of England Levy), partly
offset by a lower impairment charge

•  Underlying net interest income of £9.6 billion, down 8 per cent with a
lower banking net interest margin of 2.94 per cent and average
interest-earning banking assets of £449.9 billion. Underlying net interest
income of £3.2 billion increased by 2 per cent in the third quarter, with a
banking net interest margin of 2.95 per cent, up from 2.93 per cent in the
second quarter

•  Underlying other income of £4.2 billion, 9 per cent higher than the
prior year, driven by strengthening customer and market activity and the
benefit of strategic initiatives

•  Operating lease depreciation of £994 million, up on the prior year
reflecting growth in the fleet size, depreciation of higher value vehicles and
declines in used electric car prices. The third quarter charge of £315
million was in line with expectations

•  Operating costs of £7.0 billion, up 5 per cent, with cost efficiencies
helping to partially offset higher ongoing strategic investment, planned
accelerated severance charges and inflationary pressure, alongside c.£0.1
billion in the first quarter relating to the sector-wide change in the
charging approach for the Bank of England Levy

•  Remediation costs of £124 million (first nine months of 2023:
£134 million), largely in relation to pre-existing programmes

•  Underlying impairment charge of £273 million in the year to date and
asset quality ratio of 9 basis points. Excluding the impact of improvements to
the economic outlook, the asset quality ratio was 18 basis points. The
portfolio remains well-positioned with resilient credit performance

•  Underlying loans and advances to customers increased by £7.3 billion in
the year to date, including £4.6 billion in the third quarter, to £457.0
billion. The growth in the year to date includes £7.4 billion across Retail,
while Commercial Banking remained broadly stable

•  Customer deposits of £475.7 billion increased by £4.3 billion in the
year to date, with growth in Retail deposits of £6.6 billion, partly offset
by a reduction in Commercial Banking deposits of £2.1 billion. Customer
deposits continued to grow in the third quarter, with an increase of £1.0
billion

•  Strong capital generation of 132 basis points in the year to date. CET1
ratio of 14.3 per cent, after 71 basis points for the interim ordinary
dividend paid and the foreseeable ordinary dividend accrual, significantly
above our ongoing target of c.13.0 per cent by 2026

•  Risk-weighted assets of £223.3 billion up £4.2 billion in the period,
reflecting lending growth and other movements, partly offset by efficient
management of risk-weighted assets

•  Tangible net assets per share of 52.5 pence, up from 50.8 pence at 31
December 2023

Reaffirming guidance for 2024

Based on our current macroeconomic assumptions, for 2024 the Group continues
to expect:

•  Banking net interest margin of greater than 290 basis points

•  Operating costs of c.£9.4 billion, including the c.£0.1 billion Bank
of England Levy

•  Asset quality ratio to be less than 20 basis points

•  Return on tangible equity of c.13 per cent

•  Capital generation of c.175 basis points(2)

•  Risk-weighted assets between £220 billion and £225 billion

•  To pay down to a CET1 ratio of c.13.5 per cent

(1)  See the basis of presentation on page 14.

(2)  Excluding capital distributions. Inclusive of ordinary dividends
received from the Insurance business in February of the following year.

INCOME STATEMENT (UNDERLYING BASIS)(A) AND KEY BALANCE SHEET METRICS

                                             Nine months ended                      Nine months ended                      Change                                Three months ended                        Three months ended                     Change

 30 Sep 2024

30 Sep 2024

£m                                    30 Sep 2023                            %
£m                                       30 Sep 2023                            %

                                                                                    £m                                                                                                                     £m

 Underlying net interest income                       9,569                                10,448                                         (8)                             3,231                                     3,444                                        (6)
 Underlying other income                              4,164                                  3,837                                         9                              1,430                                     1,299                                       10
 Operating lease depreciation                           (994)                                  (585)                                    (70)                                (315)                                     (229)                                    (38)
 Net income                                         12,739                                 13,700                                         (7)                             4,346                                     4,514                                        (4)
 Operating costs                                     (6,992)                                (6,654)                                       (5)                            (2,292)                                   (2,241)                                       (2)
 Remediation                                            (124)                                  (134)                                       7                                  (29)                                      (64)                                    55
 Total costs                                         (7,116)                                (6,788)                                       (5)                            (2,321)                                   (2,305)                                       (1)
 Underlying profit before impairment                  5,623                                  6,912                                      (19)                              2,025                                     2,209                                        (8)
 Underlying impairment charge                           (273)                                  (849)                                     68                                 (172)                                     (187)                                       8
 Underlying profit                                    5,350                                  6,063                                      (12)                              1,853                                     2,022                                        (8)
 Restructuring                                            (21)                                   (69)                                    70                                     (6)                                     (44)                                    86
 Volatility and other items                             (182)                                  (266)                                     32                                   (24)                                    (120)                                     80
 Statutory profit before tax                          5,147                                  5,728                                      (10)                              1,823                                     1,858                                        (2)
 Tax expense                                         (1,370)                                (1,444)                                        5                                (490)                                     (438)                                    (12)
 Statutory profit after tax                           3,777                                  4,284                                      (12)                              1,333                                     1,420                                        (6)

 Earnings per share                          5.3p                                   5.9p                                   (0.6)p                                1.9p                                      2.0p                                   (0.1)p
 Banking net interest margin(A)              2.94%                                  3.15%                                  (21)bp                                2.95%                                     3.08%                                  (13)bp
 Average interest-earning banking assets(A)      £449.9bn                                £453.5bn                                         (1)                        £451.1bn                                   £453.0bn
 Cost:income ratio(A)                        55.9%                                  49.5%                                  6.4pp                                 53.4%                                     51.1%                                  2.3pp
 Asset quality ratio(A)                      0.09%                                  0.25%                                  (16)bp                                0.15%                                     0.17%                                  (2)bp
 Return on tangible equity(A)                14.0%                                  16.6%                                  (2.6)pp                               15.2%                                     16.9%                                  (1.7)pp

 

                                                At 30 Sep                    At 30 Jun                      Change                                            At 31 Dec                      Change

2024
2024

2023

                                                                                                            %                                                                                %

 Underlying loans and advances to customers(A)      £457.0bn                      £452.4bn                                  1                                      £449.7bn                                  2
 Customer deposits                                  £475.7bn                      £474.7bn                                                                         £471.4bn                                  1
 Loan to deposit ratio(A)                       96%                          95%                            1pp                                               95%                            1pp
 CET1 ratio                                     14.3%                        14.1%                          0.2pp                                             14.6%                          (0.3)pp
 Pro forma CET1 ratio(A,1)                      14.3%                        14.1%                          0.2pp                                             13.7%                          0.6pp
 Total capital ratio                            19.0%                        18.7%                          0.3pp                                             19.8%                          (0.8)pp
 MREL ratio                                     32.2%                        31.7%                          0.5pp                                             31.9%                          0.3pp
 UK leverage ratio                              5.5%                         5.4%                           0.1pp                                             5.8%                           (0.3)pp
 Risk-weighted assets                               £223.3bn                      £222.0bn                                  1                                      £219.1bn                                  2
 Wholesale funding                                    £93.3bn                       £97.6bn                                (4)                                       £98.7bn                                (5)
 Liquidity coverage ratio(2)                    144%                         144%                                                                             142%                           2pp
 Net stable funding ratio(3)                    129%                         130%                           (1)pp                                             130%                           (1)pp
 Tangible net assets per share(A)               52.5p                        49.6p                          2.9p                                              50.8p                          1.7p

(A)  See page 14.

(1   ) 31 December 2023 reflects both the full impact of the share buyback
in respect of 2023 and the ordinary dividend received from the Insurance
business in February 2024, but excludes the impact of the phased unwind of
IFRS 9 relief on 1 January 2024.

(2)  The liquidity coverage ratio is calculated as a simple average of
month-end observations over the previous 12 months.

(3)  The net stable funding ratio is calculated as a simple average of
month-end observations over the previous four quarter-ends.

(
)

QUARTERLY INFORMATION(A)

                                                  Quarter                           Quarter                           Change                              Quarter                        Quarter                        Quarter                        Quarter                        Quarter

                                                  ended                             ended                             %                                   ended                          ended                          ended                          ended                          ended

                                                  30 Sep                            30 Jun                                                                31 Mar                         31 Dec                         30 Sep                         30 Jun                         31 Mar

                                                  2024                              2024                                                                  2024                           2023                           2023                           2023                           2023

                                                  £m                                £m                                                                    £m                             £m                             £m                             £m                             £m

 Underlying net interest income                         3,231                             3,154                                    2                            3,184                          3,317                          3,444                          3,469                          3,535
 Underlying other income                                1,430                             1,394                                    3                            1,340                          1,286                          1,299                          1,281                          1,257
 Operating lease depreciation                            (315)                             (396)                                 20                              (283)                          (371)                          (229)                          (216)                          (140)
 Net income                                             4,346                             4,152                                    5                            4,241                          4,232                          4,514                          4,534                          4,652
 Operating costs                                      (2,292)                           (2,298)                                                               (2,402)                        (2,486)                        (2,241)                        (2,243)                        (2,170)
 Remediation                                               (29)                              (70)                                59                                (25)                         (541)                            (64)                           (51)                           (19)
 Total costs                                          (2,321)                           (2,368)                                    2                          (2,427)                        (3,027)                        (2,305)                        (2,294)                        (2,189)
 Underlying profit before impairment                    2,025                             1,784                                  14                             1,814                          1,205                          2,209                          2,240                          2,463
 Underlying impairment (charge) credit                   (172)                               (44)                                                                  (57)                           541                          (187)                          (419)                          (243)
 Underlying profit                                      1,853                             1,740                                    6                            1,757                          1,746                          2,022                          1,821                          2,220
 Restructuring                                               (6)                               (3)                                                                 (12)                           (85)                           (44)                           (13)                           (12)
 Volatility and other items                                (24)                              (41)                                41                              (117)                            114                          (120)                          (198)                              52
 Statutory profit before tax                            1,823                             1,696                                    7                            1,628                          1,775                          1,858                          1,610                          2,260
 Tax expense                                             (490)                             (467)                                 (5)                             (413)                          (541)                          (438)                          (387)                          (619)
 Statutory profit after tax                             1,333                             1,229                                    8                            1,215                          1,234                          1,420                          1,223                          1,641

 Earnings per share                               1.9p                              1.7p                              0.2p                                1.7p                           1.7p                           2.0p                           1.6p                           2.3p
 Banking net interest margin(A)                   2.95%                             2.93%                             2bp                                 2.95%                          2.98%                          3.08%                          3.14%                          3.22%
 Average interest-earning banking assets(A)       £451.1bn                          £449.4bn                                                              £449.1bn                       £452.8bn                       £453.0bn                       £453.4bn                       £454.2bn
 Cost:income ratio(A)                             53.4%                             57.0%                             (3.6)pp                             57.2%                          71.5%                          51.1%                          50.6%                          47.1%
 Asset quality ratio(A)                           0.15%                             0.05%                             10bp                                0.06%                          (0.47)%                        0.17%                          0.36%                          0.22%
 Return on tangible equity(A)                     15.2%                             13.6%                             1.6pp                               13.3%                          13.9%                          16.9%                          13.6%                          19.1%

                                                  At                                At                                Change                              At                             At                             At                             At                             At

                                                  30 Sep                            30 Jun                            %                                   31 Mar 2024                    31 Dec                         30 Sep 2023                    30 Jun 2023                    31 Mar 2023

                                                  2024                              2024                                                                                                 2023

 Underlying loans and advances to customers(A,1)  £457.0bn                          £452.4bn                                       1                      £448.5bn                       £449.7bn                       £452.1bn                       £450.7bn                       £452.3bn
 Customer deposits                                £475.7bn                          £474.7bn                                                              £469.2bn                       £471.4bn                       £470.3bn                       £469.8bn                       £473.1bn
 Loan to deposit ratio(A)                         96%                               95%                               1pp                                 96%                            95%                            96%                            96%                            96%
 CET1 ratio                                       14.3%                             14.1%                             0.2pp                               13.9%                          14.6%                          14.6%                          14.2%                          14.1%
 Pro forma CET1 ratio(A,2)                        14.3%                             14.1%                             0.2pp                               13.9%                          13.7%                          14.6%                          14.2%                          14.1%
 Total capital ratio                              19.0%                             18.7%                             0.3pp                               19.0%                          19.8%                          19.9%                          19.7%                          19.9%
 MREL ratio                                       32.2%                             31.7%                             0.5pp                               32.0%                          31.9%                          32.6%                          31.0%                          32.1%
 UK leverage ratio                                5.5%                              5.4%                              0.1pp                               5.6%                           5.8%                           5.7%                           5.7%                           5.6%
 Risk-weighted assets                             £223.3bn                          £222.0bn                                       1                      £222.8bn                       £219.1bn                       £217.7bn                       £215.3bn                       £210.9bn
 Wholesale funding                                   £93.3bn                           £97.6bn                                   (4)                         £99.9bn                        £98.7bn                     £108.5bn                       £103.5bn                       £101.1bn
 Liquidity coverage ratio(3)                      144%                              144%                                                                  143%                           142%                           142%                           142%                           143%
 Net stable funding ratio(4)                      129%                              130%                              (1)pp                               130%                           130%                           130%                           130%                           129%
 Tangible net assets per share(A)                 52.5p                             49.6p                             2.9p                                51.2p                          50.8p                          47.2p                          45.7p                          49.6p

(1)  The increase between 31 March 2024 and 30 June 2024 is net of the impact
of the securitisation of £0.9 billion of legacy Retail mortgages in May 2024.
The reduction between 30 September 2023 and 31 December 2023 is net of the
impact of the securitisation of £2.7 billion of UK Retail unsecured loans.

(2   ) 31 December 2023 reflects both the full impact of the share buyback
in respect of 2023 and the ordinary dividend received from the Insurance
business in February 2024, but excludes the impact of the phased unwind of
IFRS 9 relief on 1 January 2024.

(3)  The liquidity coverage ratio is calculated as a simple average of
month-end observations over the previous 12 months.

(4)  The net stable funding ratio is calculated as a simple average of
month-end observations over the previous four quarter-ends.

BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS

                                                 At 30 Sep 2024                            At 30 Jun                             Change                                    At 31 Dec                             Change

£bn
2024

2023

£bn                                  %
£bn                                  %

 UK mortgages(1,2)                                        310.1                                     306.9                                        1                                  306.2                                        1
 Credit cards                                               15.7                                      15.6                                       1                                    15.1                                       4
 UK Retail unsecured loans                                    8.8                                       8.2                                      7                                      6.9                                    28
 UK Motor Finance(3)                                        15.6                                      16.2                                      (4)                                   15.3                                       2
 Overdrafts                                                   1.1                                       1.0                                    10                                       1.1
 Retail other(1,4)                                          17.3                                      17.2                                       1                                    16.6                                       4
 Small and Medium Businesses                                30.7                                      31.5                                      (3)                                   33.0                                      (7)
 Corporate and Institutional Banking                        57.2                                      56.6                                       1                                    55.6                                       3
 Central Items(5)                                             0.5                                      (0.8)                                                                           (0.1)
 Underlying loans and advances to customers(A)            457.0                                     452.4                                        1                                  449.7                                        2

 Retail current accounts                                  100.6                                     101.7                                       (1)                                 102.7                                       (2)
 Retail savings accounts(6)                               204.3                                     201.5                                        1                                  194.8                                        5
 Wealth                                                     10.1                                      10.1                                                                            10.9                                      (7)
 Commercial Banking                                       160.7                                     161.2                                                                           162.8                                       (1)
 Central Items                                                   -                                      0.2                                                                             0.2
 Customer deposits                                        475.7                                     474.7                                                                           471.4                                        1

 Total assets                                             900.8                                     892.9                                        1                                  881.5                                        2
 Total liabilities                                        854.4                                     847.8                                        1                                  834.1                                        2

 Ordinary shareholders' equity                              40.3                                      39.0                                       3                                    40.3
 Other equity instruments                                     5.9                                       5.9                                                                             6.9                                   (14)
 Non-controlling interests                                    0.2                                       0.2                                                                             0.2
 Total equity                                               46.4                                      45.1                                       3                                    47.4                                      (2)

 Ordinary shares in issue, excluding own shares  61,419m                                   62,458m                                              (2)                        63,508m                                              (3)

(1)  From the first quarter of 2024, open mortgage book and closed mortgage
book loans and advances, previously presented separately, are reported
together as UK mortgages; Wealth loans and advances, previously reported
separately, are included within Retail other. The 31 December 2023
comparative is presented on a consistent basis.

(2)  The increase between 31 December 2023 and 30 June 2024 is net of the
impact of the securitisation of £0.9 billion of legacy Retail mortgages in
May 2024.

(3)  UK Motor Finance balances on an underlying basis(A) exclude a finance
lease gross up. See page 14.

(4)  Within loans and advances, Retail other includes the European and Wealth
businesses.

(5)  Central Items includes central fair value hedge accounting adjustments.

(6)  From the first quarter of 2024, Retail relationship savings accounts and
Retail tactical savings accounts, previously reported separately, are reported
together as Retail savings accounts. The 31 December 2023 comparative is
presented on a consistent basis.

GROUP RESULTS - STATUTORY BASIS

The results below are prepared in accordance with the recognition and
measurement principles of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS).
The underlying results are shown on page 2.

 Summary income statement                                                        Nine months                         Nine months ended                   Change

                                                                                 ended                                30 Sep                             %

                                                                                  30 Sep                             2023

                                                                                 2024                                £m

                                                                                 £m

 Net interest income                                                                      9,125                             10,111                                     (10)
 Other income                                                                           17,771                                9,958                                      78
 Total income                                                                           26,896                              20,069                                       34
 Net finance expense in respect of insurance and investment contracts                  (13,419)                              (6,167)
 Total income, after net finance expense in respect of insurance and investment         13,477                              13,902                                       (3)
 contracts
 Operating expenses                                                                      (8,058)                             (7,331)                                   (10)
 Impairment charge                                                                          (272)                               (843)                                    68
 Profit before tax                                                                        5,147                               5,728                                    (10)
 Tax expense                                                                             (1,370)                             (1,444)                                       5
 Profit for the period                                                                    3,777                               4,284                                    (12)

 Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders                                             3,355                               3,840                                    (13)
 Ordinary shares in issue (weighted-average - basic)                             62,948m                             65,446m                                             (4)
 Basic earnings per share                                                        5.3p                                5.9p                                (0.6)p

 

 Summary balance sheet                                                      At 30 Sep                       At 30 Jun                       Change                                    At 31 Dec                       Change

                                                                            2024                            2024                            %                                         2023                            %

                                                                            £m                              £m                                                                        £m
 Assets
 Cash and balances at central banks                                                59,055                          66,808                                 (12)                               78,110                                 (24)
 Financial assets at fair value through profit or loss                            214,056                         209,139                                     2                             203,318                                     5
 Derivative financial instruments                                                  19,975                          18,983                                     5                              22,356                                 (11)
 Financial assets at amortised cost                                               529,907                         525,698                                     1                             514,635                                     3
 Financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income                 32,706                          27,847                                   17                               27,592                                   19
 Other assets                                                                      45,143                          44,452                                     2                              35,442                                   27
 Total assets                                                                     900,842                         892,927                                     1                             881,453                                     2
 Liabilities
 Deposits from banks                                                                 5,876                           5,584                                    5                                6,153                                  (5)
 Customer deposits                                                                475,737                         474,693                                                                   471,396                                     1
 Repurchase agreements at amortised cost                                           41,382                          37,914                                     9                              37,703                                   10
 Financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss                        28,657                          27,056                                     6                              24,914                                   15
 Derivative financial instruments                                                  16,772                          16,647                                     1                              20,149                                 (17)
 Debt securities in issue at amortised cost                                        70,805                          74,760                                   (5)                              75,592                                   (6)
 Liabilities arising from insurance and participating investment contracts        120,961                         125,007                                   (3)                             120,123                                     1
 Liabilities arising from non-participating investment contracts                   49,725                          48,280                                     3                              44,978                                   11
 Other liabilities                                                                 33,646                          27,421                                   23                               22,827                                   47
 Subordinated liabilities                                                          10,860                          10,448                                     4                              10,253                                     6
 Total liabilities                                                                854,421                         847,810                                     1                             834,088                                     2
 Total equity                                                                      46,421                          45,117                                     3                              47,365                                   (2)
 Total equity and liabilities                                                     900,842                         892,927                                     1                             881,453                                     2

 

REVIEW OF PERFORMANCE(A)

Income statement (underlying basis)(A)

The Group's statutory profit before tax for the first nine months of 2024 was
£5,147 million, 10 per cent lower than the same period in 2023. This was
driven by lower net interest income and higher operating expenses, partly
offset by a lower impairment charge. Statutory profit before tax of
£1,823 million for the third quarter was up 7 per cent versus the second
quarter of 2024.

The Group's underlying profit was £5,350 million in the first nine months of
2024, a reduction of 12 per cent compared to £6,063 million in the prior
year. Underlying profit of £1,853 million in the third quarter was up 6 per
cent compared to the second quarter of 2024, with higher net income partly
offset by a higher impairment charge.

Net income of £12,739 million was down 7 per cent on the first nine months of
2023, driven by lower underlying net interest income and an increased charge
for operating lease depreciation. This was partly offset by higher underlying
other income. Net income in the third quarter of 2024 is up 5 per cent versus
the second quarter, with growth across underlying net interest income and
underlying other income.

Underlying net interest income of £9,569 million was down 8 per cent on the
first nine months of 2023, driven by a lower banking net interest margin of
2.94 per cent (nine months to 30 September 2023: 3.15 per cent), in line
with expectations. The lower margin reflected anticipated headwinds due to
deposit churn and asset margin compression, particularly in the mortgage book
as it refinances in a lower margin environment. These factors were partially
offset by benefits from higher structural hedge earnings as balances are
reinvested in the higher rate environment. Average interest-earning banking
assets in the first nine months of 2024 at £449.9 billion were slightly
lower (1 per cent) compared to the first nine months of 2023. This was due to
a modest reduction in the average mortgage book balance and a reduction in
average Commercial Banking lending, which included the effects of continued
repayments of government-backed lending in Small and Medium Businesses and
lower lending to banks. Underlying net interest income in the first nine
months included non-banking interest expense of £347 million (nine months to
30 September 2023: £231 million), increasing as a result of higher funding
costs and growth in the Group's non-banking businesses.

Underlying net interest income of £3,231 million in the third quarter of 2024
was higher than in the second quarter (three months to 30 June 2024: £3,154
million). Growth in structural hedge earnings more than offset the impact from
the continuation of headwinds in respect of deposit churn and asset margin
compression, resulting in a slight increase in banking net interest margin to
2.95 per cent in the third quarter (three months to 30 June 2024: 2.93 per
cent). Average interest earning banking assets were £451.1 billion, up on the
second quarter with growth in mortgage lending. These developments support the
delivery of full year 2024 guidance with the Group still expecting the banking
net interest margin for 2024 to be greater than 290 basis points and average
interest-earning banking assets to be greater than £450 billion.

The Group manages the risk to earnings and capital from movements in interest
rates by hedging the net liabilities which are stable or less sensitive to
movements in rates. At the end of the third quarter, the notional balance of
the sterling structural hedge was maintained at £242 billion (31 December
2023: £247 billion, 30 June 2024: £242 billion) with a weighted average
duration of approximately three-and-a-half years (31 December 2023:
approximately three-and-a-half years). This is in line with the balance at the
end of the second quarter, given increasing stability in deposit flows. The
Group generated £3.0 billion of total income from sterling structural hedge
balances in the first nine months of 2024, representing material growth over
the prior year (nine months to 30 September 2023: £2.5 billion). The Group
expects sterling structural hedge earnings in 2024 to be over £0.7 billion
higher than in 2023 (full year 2023: £3.4 billion).

Underlying other income in the first nine months of 2024 of £4,164 million
grew by 9 per cent compared to £3,837 million in the first nine months of
2023. Retail was up 12 per cent versus the first nine months of 2023,
primarily due to UK Motor Finance, reflecting growth following the acquisition
of Tusker in the first quarter of 2023, increased fleet size and higher
average rental value. Within Commercial Banking, 9 per cent growth was driven
by strong markets performance given strategic investment and higher levels of
client activity. Insurance, Pensions and Investments underlying other income
grew by 7 per cent compared to the first nine months of 2023, driven by
market share gains within general insurance alongside favourable market
returns, partly offset by the effects of the agreed sale (subject to
regulatory approval) of the in-force bulk annuity portfolio (with associated
income and costs for the period recognised within volatility and other items).
Excluding the in-force bulk annuity portfolio, Insurance, Pensions and
Investments was up 12 per cent. In Equity Investments and Central Items,
underlying other income in the year to date was adversely impacted by the
timing of exits in the Group's equity investment businesses. Compared to the
second quarter of 2024, underlying other income was 3 per cent higher in the
third quarter, primarily driven by growth in Retail and the Group's equity
investment businesses.

REVIEW OF PERFORMANCE (continued)

The Group delivered organic growth in assets under administration (AuA) in
Insurance, Pensions and Investments and Wealth (reported within Retail), with
combined £3.9 billion net new money in open book AuA over the first nine
months of 2024. In total, open book AuA stand at c.£197 billion at 30
September 2024.

Operating lease depreciation of £994 million increased compared to the prior
year (nine months to 30 September 2023: £585 million), largely as a result
of fleet growth, the depreciation of higher value vehicles and declines in
used electric car prices. This includes the c.£100 million additional charge
taken in the second quarter to reflect future expected residual values. The
charge in the third quarter was £315 million, consistent with expectations,
given used car prices have performed in line with assumptions since the second
quarter.

Total costs, including remediation, of £7,116 million were 5 per cent higher
than the prior year, with operating costs of £6,992 million up 5 per cent.
Operating costs include accelerated severance charges and c.£0.1 billion
relating to the sector-wide change in the charging approach for the Bank of
England Levy taken in the first quarter (excluding the Levy, operating costs
were up 4 per cent). The Group maintains its cost discipline with cost
efficiencies helping to offset higher ongoing strategic investment, planned
accelerated severance charges and inflationary pressure. The Group's
cost:income ratio for the first nine months of 2024 was 55.9 per cent
compared to 49.5 per cent in the prior year, and 53.4 per cent in the third
quarter. Operating costs in 2024 are still expected to be c.£9.4 billion,
including c.£0.1 billion for the new Bank of England Levy.

The Group recognised remediation costs of £124 million in the first nine
months (nine months to 30 September 2023: £134 million), largely in relation
to pre-existing programmes, with no further charges in respect of the FCA
review of historical motor finance commission arrangements. The FCA confirmed
in September 2024 its intention to set out next steps in its review in May
2025, including its assessment of the outcome of the Judicial Review and Court
of Appeal decisions involving other market participants; the Group will assess
the impact, if any, of these decisions.

Asset quality remains strong with resilient credit performance in the quarter.
Underlying impairment in the year to date was a charge of £273 million (nine
months to 30 September 2023: £849 million), resulting in an asset quality
ratio of 9 basis points. The charge reflects a £324 million multiple
economic scenarios (MES) credit (nine months to 30 September 2023: £69
million credit) from an improved economic outlook in the first half of the
year, notably house price growth and through changes to the severe downside
scenario methodology. The charge in the third quarter of £172 million
includes a one-off debt sale write back of £77 million in Retail. No MES
impact has been recognised for changes to the Group's macroeconomic
assumptions in the third quarter, of which only the outlook for house price
growth shows any meaningful revision.

The nine months to 30 September pre-updated MES charge of £597 million (nine
months to 30 September 2023: £918 million) is equivalent to an asset quality
ratio of 18 basis points. Compared to the prior year, the pre-updated MES
charge in the nine months to 30 September 2024 was lower, benefitting from
strong portfolio performance, the debt sale in the third quarter and a one-off
release in Commercial Banking from loss rates used in the model in the first
half. The Group continues to expect the asset quality ratio to be less than
20 basis points in 2024.

Restructuring costs for the first nine months of 2024 were £21 million (nine
months to 30 September 2023: £69 million) and include costs relating to the
integration of Embark and Tusker. Volatility and other items were a net loss
of £182 million for the year to date (nine months to 30 September 2023: net
loss of £266 million). This included £61 million for the amortisation of
purchased intangibles (nine months to 30 September 2023: £53 million) and
£79 million relating to fair value unwind (nine months to 30 September 2023:
£68 million). Alongside, negative market volatility of £41 million (nine
months to 30 September 2023: £145 million) was substantially driven by
longer-term rate rises in the period, causing negative insurance volatility,
partly offset by positive impacts from banking volatility. There was positive
market volatility of £24 million in the third quarter, in part driven by rate
reversals.

The return on tangible equity for the first nine months of 2024 was 14.0 per
cent (nine months to 30 September 2023: 16.6 per cent), with 15.2 per cent
in the third quarter. The Group continues to expect the return on tangible
equity for 2024 to be c.13 per cent.

Tangible net assets per share at 30 September 2024 was 52.5 pence, up 1.7
pence in the first nine months (31 December 2023: 50.8 pence). The increase
resulted from attributable profit and cash flow hedge reserve movements. This
was partly offset by capital distributions, foreign exchange impact on the
redemption of a US Dollar denominated AT1 capital instrument and a lower
pension surplus from negative market impacts. Tangible net assets per share
was up 2.9 pence in the third quarter, benefitting from attributable profit,
cash flow hedge reserve movements and the unwind of an accrual for the
ordinary share buyback in the second quarter, partly offset by capital
distributions. The Group continued the share buyback announced in February
2024, with c.2.8 billion shares repurchased as at 30 September 2024.

REVIEW OF PERFORMANCE (continued)

Balance sheet

Underlying loans and advances to customers increased by £7.3 billion in the
year to date to £457.0 billion. This included £3.9 billion growth in UK
mortgages (£4.8 billion growth excluding the impact of the securitisation of
£0.9 billion of legacy mortgages in the second quarter), £1.9 billion
growth in UK Retail unsecured loans due to organic balance growth and lower
repayments following a securitisation in the fourth quarter of 2023, alongside
a £0.6 billion increase in credit card balances and growth in other Retail
lending (principally in the European retail business). In Commercial Banking,
Small and Medium Business lending decreased by £2.3 billion, including
repayments of £1.2 billion of government-backed lending, partly offset by a
£1.6 billion increase in Corporate and Institutional Banking balances,
including infrastructure lending. Growth of £4.6 billion in underlying loans
and advances to customers in the third quarter was driven by balance increases
across Retail, including £3.2 billion in UK mortgages and £0.6 billion in
Corporate and Institutional Banking. This supports a positive trajectory for
average interest-earning banking assets in the fourth quarter of 2024, in line
with guidance for the full year.

The underlying expected credit loss (ECL) allowance reduced to £3.8 billion
(31 December 2023: £4.3 billion) in the period, reflecting releases from
improvements to the Group's base case scenario. The uplift from the base case
to probability-weighted ECL remains at £0.5 billion (31 December 2023:
£0.7 billion). The ECL was stable in the third quarter.

Customer deposits of £475.7 billion increased by £4.3 billion in the year
to date including £1.0 billion in the third quarter. Retail deposits were up
£6.6 billion in the first nine months with a combined increase of
£8.7 billion across Retail savings and Wealth, driven by inflows to limited
withdrawal and fixed term deposits, partly offset by a £2.1 billion reduction
in current account balances (significantly lower than the prior year, as
expected). Retail current account balances reduced by £1.1 billion in the
third quarter, lower than the £1.4 billion reduction in the second quarter
and slightly better than expectations. Modestly lower levels of deposit churn
were observed within savings and between savings and current accounts, versus
the second quarter as expected. Commercial Banking deposits reduced by
£2.1 billion in the first nine months, but were broadly stable in the third
quarter, reflecting an expected significant outflow, managing for value and
foreign exchange impacts, alongside growth in target sectors.

The Group has a large, high quality liquid asset portfolio held mainly in cash
and government bonds, with all assets hedged for interest rate risk. The
Group's liquid assets continue to significantly exceed regulatory requirements
and internal risk appetite, with a strong, stable liquidity coverage ratio of
144 per cent (31 December 2023: 142 per cent) and a strong net stable funding
ratio of 129 per cent (31 December 2023: 130 per cent). The loan to deposit
ratio of 96 per cent, broadly stable compared to 31 December 2023 and 30 June
2024, continues to reflect a robust funding and liquidity position.

Capital

The Group's CET1 capital ratio at 30 September 2024 was 14.3 per cent (31
December 2023: 13.7 per cent pro forma). Capital generation after regulatory
headwinds during the first nine months of the year was 132 basis points,
including 45 basis points in the third quarter. This reflects robust banking
build and the £200 million interim half-year dividend received from the
Insurance business, partially offset by risk-weighted asset increases and
other movements, including 15 basis points relating to the foreign exchange
translation loss following the US Dollar AT1 capital instrument redemption in
June. Regulatory headwinds of 9 basis points in the year to date reflect the
reduction in the transitional factor applied to IFRS 9 dynamic relief on 1
January 2024 and an adjustment for part of the impact of the Retail secured
CRD IV models. The impact of the interim ordinary dividend paid and the
foreseeable ordinary dividend accrual equated to 71 basis points. The Group
continues to expect capital generation in 2024 to be c.175 basis points.

As mentioned in the Group's 2023 Full Year Results, there will be no further
deficit contributions made to the Group's main defined benefit pension
schemes, fixed or variable, for this triennial period (to 31 December 2025).

Risk-weighted assets increased by £4.2 billion in the year to date to £223.3
billion at 30 September 2024 (31 December 2023: £219.1 billion) reflecting
the impact of lending growth, Retail secured CRD IV model updates and other
movements, partly offset by optimisation including capital efficient
securitisation activity. In the third quarter, risk-weighted assets increased
by £1.3 billion primarily driven by lending growth and CRD IV model updates,
again partly offset by optimisation activity. In the context of the Retail
secured CRD IV models, it is estimated that a £5 billion risk-weighted
asset increase will be required over 2024 to 2026, inclusive of the additional
£0.8 billion risk-weighted assets recognised in the first nine months of
2024. The total increase will be subject to final model outcomes. The Group's
risk-weighted assets guidance for 2024 remains unchanged at between
£220 billion and £225 billion.

REVIEW OF PERFORMANCE (continued)

The PRA recently published its second policy statement on implementing Basel
3.1 in the UK. The final regulations, which will introduce substantial
revisions to the approaches for calculating risk-weighted assets, will apply
from 1 January 2026. The Group now expects the impact of Basel 3.1
implementation to be modestly positive.

The PRA provided an update to the Group's Pillar 2A CET1 capital requirement
during the third quarter, with the requirement remaining at around 1.5 per
cent of risk-weighted assets. The Group's total regulatory CET1 capital
requirement remains at around 12 per cent. The Board's view of the ongoing
level of CET1 capital required to grow the business, meet current and future
regulatory requirements and cover economic and business uncertainties is
c.13.0 per cent. This includes a management buffer of around 1 per cent. In
order to manage risks and distributions in an orderly way, the Board expects
to pay down to the previous target of c.13.5 per cent by the end of 2024,
before progressing towards paying down to the current capital target of c.13.0
per cent by the end of 2026.

 

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

Capital generation

 Pro forma CET1 ratio as at 31 December 2023(1)                                13.7%
 Banking build (bps)(2)                                                                   166
 Insurance dividend (bps)                                                                   10
 Risk-weighted assets (bps)                                                                (23)
 Other movements (bps)(3)                                                                  (12)
 Capital generation (bps)                                                                 141
 Retail secured CRD IV model updates and phased unwind of IFRS 9 transitional                (9)
 relief (bps)
 Capital generation (post CRD IV and transitional headwinds) (bps)                        132
 Ordinary dividend (bps)                                                                   (71)
 CET1 ratio as at 30 September 2024                                            14.3%

(1)  31 December 2023 reflects both the full impact of the share buyback in
respect of 2023 and the ordinary dividend received from the Insurance business
in February 2024, but excludes the impact of the phased unwind of IFRS 9
relief on 1 January 2024.

(2   ) Includes impairment charge.

(3)  Includes share-based payments, market volatility and FX loss on USD AT1
redemption.

Underlying impairment(A)

                                                                        Nine months ended                      Nine months ended                         Change                                 Three months ended                        Three months ended                        Change

30 Sep 2024

£m                                    30 Sep 2023                               %                                      30 Sep 2024                               30 Sep                                    %

                                                                                                               £m                                                                               £m                                        2023

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          £m

 Charges (credits) pre-updated MES(1)
 Retail                                                                             592                                    787                                           25                                 129                                       236                                         45
 Commercial Banking                                                                   16                                   139                                           88                                   44                                        31                                       (42)
 Other                                                                               (11)                                     (8)                                        38                                    (1)                                       (6)                                     (83)
                                                                                    597                                    918                                           35                                 172                                       261                                         34
 Updated economic outlook
 Retail                                                                            (269)                                    (30)                                                                                -                                      (71)
 Commercial Banking                                                                  (55)                                   (39)                                         41                                     -                                        (3)
                                                                                   (324)                                    (69)                                                                                -                                      (74)
 Underlying impairment charge(A)                                                    273                                    849                                           68                                 172                                       187                                           8

 Asset quality ratio(A)                                                 0.09%                                  0.25%                                     (16)bp                                 0.15%                                     0.17%                                     (2)bp
 Total underlying expected credit loss allowance (at end of period)(A)           3,838                                  5,389                                          (29)

(1)  Impairment charges excluding the impact from updated economic outlook
taken each quarter.

(
)

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION (continued)

Loans and advances to customers and expected credit loss allowance (underlying
basis)(A)

 At 30 September 2024                     Stage 1                                         Stage 2                                         Stage 3                                     Total                                       Stage 2                                 Stage 3

                                          £m                                              £m                                              £m                                          £m                                          as % of                                 as % of

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  total                                   total
 Loans and advances to customers
 UK mortgages(1)                             272,969                                           30,946                                            7,311                                   311,226                                             9.9                                     2.3
 Credit cards                                  13,429                                            2,620                                              262                                    16,311                                         16.1                                  1.6
 UK unsecured loans and overdrafts               8,839                                           1,374                                              173                                    10,386                                         13.2                                  1.7
 UK Motor Finance(2)                           13,484                                            2,314                                              119                                    15,917                                         14.5                                  0.7
 Other                                         16,702                                               513                                             150                                    17,365                                       3.0                                     0.9
 Retail                                      325,423                                           37,767                                            8,015                                   371,205                                          10.2                                  2.2
 Small and Medium Businesses                   26,393                                            3,430                                           1,303                                     31,126                                         11.0                                  4.2
 Corporate and Institutional Banking           54,599                                            2,398                                              645                                    57,642                                       4.2                                     1.1
 Commercial Banking                            80,992                                            5,828                                           1,948                                     88,768                                       6.6                                     2.2
 Equity Investments and Central Items(3)            532                                                 -                                               -                                       532                                  -                                       -
 Total gross lending                         406,947                                           43,595                                            9,963                                   460,505                                             9.5                                     2.2
 ECL allowance on drawn balances                  (773)                                        (1,274)                                         (1,488)                                     (3,535)
 Net balance sheet carrying value            406,174                                           42,321                                            8,475                                   456,970

 Customer related ECL allowance (drawn and undrawn)
 UK mortgages(1)                                      87                                            366                                             720                                      1,173
 Credit cards                                       207                                             351                                             129                                         687
 UK unsecured loans and overdrafts                  170                                             242                                             111                                         523
 UK Motor Finance(4)                                169                                             105                                               68                                        342
 Other                                                15                                              18                                              42                                          75
 Retail                                             648                                          1,082                                           1,070                                       2,800
 Small and Medium Businesses                        138                                             190                                             160                                         488
 Corporate and Institutional Banking                137                                             128                                             260                                         525
 Commercial Banking                                 275                                             318                                             420                                      1,013
 Equity Investments and Central Items                   -                                               -                                               -                                           -
 Total                                              923                                          1,400                                           1,490                                       3,813

 Customer related ECL allowance (drawn and undrawn) as a percentage of loans
 and advances to customers(5)
                                          Stage 1                                         Stage 2                                         Stage 3                                     Total

%
%
%
%
 UK mortgages                                           -                                            1.2                                             9.8                                         0.4
 Credit cards                                   1.5                                               13.4                                            49.2                                      4.2
 UK unsecured loans and overdrafts              1.9                                               17.6                                            64.2                                      5.0
 UK Motor Finance                               1.3                                             4.5                                               57.1                                      2.1
 Other                                          0.1                                             3.5                                               28.0                                      0.4
 Retail                                         0.2                                             2.9                                               13.3                                      0.8
 Small and Medium Businesses                    0.5                                             5.5                                               16.5                                      1.6
 Corporate and Institutional Banking            0.3                                             5.3                                               40.4                                      0.9
 Commercial Banking                             0.3                                             5.5                                               26.1                                      1.1
 Equity Investments and Central Items        -                                               -                                               -                                           -
 Total                                               0.2                                             3.2                                           15.5                                          0.8

(1   ) UK mortgages balances on an underlying basis(A) exclude the impact
of the HBOS acquisition-related adjustments.

(2)  UK Motor Finance balances on an underlying basis(A) exclude a finance
lease gross up. See page 14.

(3)  Contains central fair value hedge accounting adjustments.

(4)  UK Motor Finance includes £170 million relating to provisions against
residual values of vehicles subject to finance leases.

(5)  Stage 3 and Total exclude loans in recoveries in Small and Medium
Businesses of £336 million and Corporate and Institutional Banking of £1
million.

(
)

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION (continued)

Total ECL allowance by scenario (underlying basis)(A)

The table below shows the Group's ECL for the probability-weighted, upside,
base case, downside and severe downside scenarios, the severe downside
scenario incorporating adjustments made to Consumer Price Index (CPI)
inflation and UK Bank Rate paths. No MES impact has been recognised in the ECL
amounts below for changes to the Group's macroeconomic assumptions in the
third quarter, of which only the outlook for house price growth shows any
meaningful revision.

 Underlying basis(A)   Probability-                             Upside                          Base case                       Downside                        Severe

                       weighted                                 £m                              £m                              £m                              downside

                       £m                                                                                                                                       £m

 At 30 September 2024                    3,838                           2,806                           3,380                           4,320                           6,865
 At 30 June 2024                         3,847                           2,804                           3,380                           4,331                           6,926
 At 31 December 2023                     4,337                           2,925                           3,666                           4,714                           9,455

 

Base case and MES economic assumptions

The Group's base case scenario is for a slow expansion in GDP and a modest
rise in the unemployment rate alongside small gains in residential and
commercial property prices. Following a reduction in inflationary pressures,
cuts in UK Bank Rate are expected to continue during 2024 and 2025. Risks
around this base case economic view lie in both directions and are largely
captured by the generation of alternative economic scenarios.

The Group has taken into account the latest available information at the
reporting date in defining its base case scenario and generating alternative
economic scenarios. The scenarios include forecasts for key variables as of
the third quarter of 2024. Actuals for this period, or restatements of past
data, may have since emerged prior to publication and have not been included,
including specifically in the Quarterly National Accounts release of 30
September 2024. The Group's approach to generating alternative economic
scenarios is set out in detail in note 24 to the financial statements for the
year ended 31 December 2023. For September 2024, the Group continues to judge
it appropriate to include a non-modelled severe downside scenario for ECL
calculations as explained in note 14 of the Group's 2024 Half-Year news
release.

UK economic assumptions - base case scenario by quarter

Key quarterly assumptions made by the Group in the base case scenario are
shown below. Gross domestic product is presented quarter-on-quarter. House
price growth, commercial real estate price growth and CPI inflation are
presented year-on-year, i.e. from the equivalent quarter in the previous year.
Unemployment rate and UK Bank Rate are presented as at the end of each
quarter.

 At 30 September 2024                 First                   Second                  Third                   Fourth                  First                   Second                  Third                   Fourth

                                      quarter                 quarter                 quarter                 quarter                 quarter                 quarter                 quarter                 quarter

                                      2024                    2024                    2024                    2024                    2025                    2025                    2025                    2025

                                      %                       %                       %                       %                       %                       %                       %                       %

 Gross domestic product growth                  0.7                     0.6                     0.3                     0.3                     0.3                     0.3                     0.4                     0.4
 Unemployment rate                              4.3                     4.2                     4.3                     4.5                     4.6                     4.7                     4.8                     4.8
 House price growth                             0.4                     1.8                     5.3                     3.1                     3.2                     3.6                     2.4                     2.0
 Commercial real estate price growth          (5.3)                   (4.7)                   (2.5)                     0.3                     1.4                     1.9                     1.6                     1.7
 UK Bank Rate                                 5.25                    5.25                    5.00                    4.75                    4.50                    4.25                    4.00                    4.00
 CPI inflation                                  3.5                     2.1                     2.1                     2.7                     2.4                     2.9                     2.7                     2.3

UK economic assumptions - scenarios by year

Key annual assumptions made by the Group are shown below. Gross domestic
product and CPI inflation are presented as an annual change, house price
growth and commercial real estate price growth are presented as the growth in
the respective indices within the period. Unemployment rate and UK Bank Rate
are averages for the period.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION (continued)

Base case and MES economic assumptions (continued)

 At 30 September 2024                 2024                              2025                              2026                              2027                              2028                              2024-2028

                                      %                                 %                                 %                                 %                                 %                                 average

                                                                                                                                                                                                                %

 Upside
 Gross domestic product growth                       1.2                               2.4                               1.9                               1.5                               1.4                               1.7
 Unemployment rate                                   4.2                               3.3                               2.8                               2.7                               2.8                               3.1
 House price growth                                  3.5                               4.6                               7.1                               6.4                               5.1                               5.3
 Commercial real estate price growth                 1.6                               9.0                               4.2                               1.8                               0.7                               3.4
 UK Bank Rate                                      5.06                              5.08                              5.16                              5.34                              5.58                              5.24
 CPI inflation                                       2.6                               2.7                               2.4                               2.8                               2.8                               2.7

 Base case
 Gross domestic product growth                       1.1                               1.3                               1.5                               1.5                               1.5                               1.4
 Unemployment rate                                   4.3                               4.7                               4.7                               4.5                               4.5                               4.5
 House price growth                                  3.1                               2.0                               1.0                               1.5                               2.1                               2.0
 Commercial real estate price growth                 0.3                               1.7                               2.1                               0.7                               0.3                               1.0
 UK Bank Rate                                      5.06                              4.19                              3.63                              3.50                              3.50                              3.98
 CPI inflation                                       2.6                               2.6                               2.1                               2.2                               2.1                               2.3

 Downside
 Gross domestic product growth                       1.0                             (0.3)                               0.4                               1.3                               1.5                               0.8
 Unemployment rate                                   4.4                               6.5                               7.3                               7.3                               7.1                               6.5
 House price growth                                  2.9                             (0.2)                             (6.1)                             (5.8)                             (2.9)                             (2.5)
 Commercial real estate price growth               (0.7)                             (6.2)                             (1.7)                             (1.9)                             (1.9)                             (2.5)
 UK Bank Rate                                      5.06                              3.11                              1.48                              0.96                              0.65                              2.25
 CPI inflation                                       2.6                               2.6                               1.9                               1.5                               1.1                               2.0

 Severe downside
 Gross domestic product growth                       0.9                             (2.0)                             (0.1)                               1.1                               1.4                               0.2
 Unemployment rate                                   4.6                               8.6                               9.9                               9.9                               9.7                               8.5
 House price growth                                  2.3                             (2.5)                           (13.5)                            (12.6)                              (8.3)                             (7.1)
 Commercial real estate price growth               (2.7)                           (16.5)                              (6.5)                             (6.5)                             (5.1)                             (7.6)
 UK Bank Rate - modelled                           5.06                              1.83                              0.23                              0.06                              0.02                              1.44
 UK Bank Rate - adjusted(1)                        5.13                              3.67                              2.55                              2.16                              1.88                              3.08
 CPI inflation - modelled                            2.6                               2.6                               1.5                               0.7                               0.1                               1.5
 CPI inflation - adjusted(1)                         2.6                               3.5                               1.8                               1.3                               0.9                               2.0

 Probability-weighted
 Gross domestic product growth                       1.1                               0.8                               1.1                               1.4                               1.4                               1.2
 Unemployment rate                                   4.3                               5.2                               5.4                               5.3                               5.3                               5.1
 House price growth                                  3.1                               1.7                             (0.7)                             (0.6)                               0.5                               0.8
 Commercial real estate price growth                 0.1                             (0.3)                               0.7                             (0.5)                             (0.8)                             (0.1)
 UK Bank Rate - modelled                           5.06                              3.90                              3.10                              2.95                              2.92                              3.59
 UK Bank Rate - adjusted(1)                        5.07                              4.08                              3.33                              3.15                              3.11                              3.75
 CPI inflation - modelled                            2.6                               2.6                               2.0                               2.0                               1.8                               2.2
 CPI inflation - adjusted(1)                         2.6                               2.7                               2.1                               2.1                               1.9                               2.3

(1)  The adjustment to UK Bank Rate and CPI inflation in the severe downside
is considered to better reflect the risks to the Group's base case view in an
economic environment where the risks of supply and demand shocks are seen as
more balanced.

( )

ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE MEASURES

The statutory results are supplemented with a number of metrics that are used
throughout the banking and insurance industries on an underlying basis. A
description of these measures and their calculation, which remain materially
unchanged since the year-end, is set out on pages 27 to 32 of the Group's 2023
Full Year Results News Release.

                                                           Nine months ended                     Nine months ended

                                                            30 Sep 2024                          30 Sep 2023

 Banking net interest margin(A)
 Underlying net interest income (£m)                                9,569                               10,448
 Remove non-banking underlying net interest expense (£m)               347                                   231
 Banking underlying net interest income (£m)                        9,916                               10,679

 Loans and advances to customers (£bn)                              457.9                                 452.1
 Remove finance lease gross up(1) (£bn)                                (0.9)                                     -
 Underlying loans and advances to customers(A) (£bn)                457.0                                 452.1
 Add back:
 Expected credit loss allowance (drawn) (£bn)                           3.3                                   4.7
 Acquisition related fair value adjustments (£bn)                       0.2                                   0.3
 Underlying gross loans and advances to customers (£bn)             460.5                                 457.1
 Adjustment for non-banking and other items:
 Fee-based loans and advances (£bn)                                  (10.1)                                  (8.6)
 Other (£bn)                                                            2.8                                   6.0
 Interest-earning banking assets (£bn)                              453.2                                 454.5
 Averaging (£bn)                                                       (3.3)                                 (1.0)
 Average interest-earning banking assets(A) (£bn)                   449.9                                 453.5

 Banking net interest margin(A)                            2.94%                                 3.15%

(1)  The finance lease gross up represents a statutory accounting adjustment
required under IFRS 9 to recognise a continuing involvement asset following
the partial derecognition of a component of the Group's finance lease book via
a securitisation in the third quarter of 2024.

                                                             Nine months ended                     Nine months ended

                                                             30 Sep 2024                           30 Sep 2023
 Return on tangible equity(A)
 Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders (£m)                    3,355                                 3,840

 Average ordinary shareholders' equity (£bn)                            40.0                                  38.5
 Remove average goodwill and other intangible assets (£bn)               (8.0)                                 (7.6)
 Average tangible equity (£bn)                                          32.0                                  30.9

 Return on tangible equity(A)                                14.0%                                 16.6%

 

BASIS OF PRESENTATION

This release covers the results of Lloyds Banking Group plc together with its
subsidiaries (the Group) for the nine months ended 30 September 2024. Unless
otherwise stated, income statement commentaries throughout this document
compare the nine months ended 30 September 2024 to the nine months ended 30
September 2023 and the balance sheet analysis compares the Group balance sheet
as at 30 September 2024 to the Group balance sheet as at 31 December 2023.
The Group uses a number of alternative performance measures, including
underlying profit, in the discussion of its business performance and financial
position. These measures are labelled with a superscript 'A' throughout this
document. Further information on these measures is set out above. Unless
otherwise stated, commentary on page 1 is given on an underlying basis. The
Group's Q3 2024 Interim Pillar 3 Disclosures can be found at:
www.lloydsbankinggroup.com/investors/financial-downloads.html.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This document contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning
of Section 21E of the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and
section 27A of the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended, with respect to the
business, strategy, plans and/or results of Lloyds Banking Group plc together
with its subsidiaries (the Group) and its current goals and expectations.
Statements that are not historical or current facts, including statements
about the Group's or its directors' and/or management's beliefs and
expectations, are forward-looking statements. Words such as, without
limitation, 'believes', 'achieves', 'anticipates', 'estimates', 'expects',
'targets', 'should', 'intends', 'aims', 'projects', 'plans', 'potential',
'will', 'would', 'could', 'considered', 'likely', 'may', 'seek', 'estimate',
'probability', 'goal', 'objective', 'deliver', 'endeavour', 'prospects',
'optimistic' and similar expressions or variations on these expressions are
intended to identify forward-looking statements. These statements concern or
may affect future matters, including but not limited to: projections or
expectations of the Group's future financial position, including profit
attributable to shareholders, provisions, economic profit, dividends, capital
structure, portfolios, net interest margin, capital ratios, liquidity,
risk-weighted assets (RWAs), expenditures or any other financial items or
ratios; litigation, regulatory and governmental investigations; the Group's
future financial performance; the level and extent of future impairments and
write-downs; the Group's ESG targets and/or commitments; statements of plans,
objectives or goals of the Group or its management and other statements that
are not historical fact and statements of assumptions underlying such
statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and
uncertainty because they relate to events and depend upon circumstances that
will or may occur in the future. Factors that could cause actual business,
strategy, targets, plans and/or results (including but not limited to the
payment of dividends) to differ materially from forward-looking statements
include, but are not limited to: general economic and business conditions in
the UK and internationally; acts of hostility or terrorism and responses to
those acts, or other such events; geopolitical unpredictability; the war
between Russia and Ukraine; the conflicts in the Middle East; the tensions
between China and Taiwan; political instability including as a result of any
UK general election; market related risks, trends and developments; changes in
client and consumer behaviour and demand; exposure to counterparty risk; the
ability to access sufficient sources of capital, liquidity and funding when
required; changes to the Group's credit ratings; fluctuations in interest
rates, inflation, exchange rates, stock markets and currencies; volatility in
credit markets; volatility in the price of the Group's securities; tightening
of monetary policy in jurisdictions in which the Group operates; natural
pandemic and other disasters; risks concerning borrower and counterparty
credit quality; risks affecting insurance business and defined benefit pension
schemes; changes in laws, regulations, practices and accounting standards or
taxation; changes to regulatory capital or liquidity requirements and similar
contingencies; the policies and actions of governmental or regulatory
authorities or courts together with any resulting impact on the future
structure of the Group; risks associated with the Group's compliance with a
wide range of laws and regulations; assessment related to resolution planning
requirements; risks related to regulatory actions which may be taken in the
event of a bank or Group failure; exposure to legal, regulatory or competition
proceedings, investigations or complaints; failure to comply with anti-money
laundering, counter terrorist financing, anti-bribery and sanctions
regulations; failure to prevent or detect any illegal or improper activities;
operational risks including risks as a result of the failure of third party
suppliers; conduct risk; technological changes and risks to the security of IT
and operational infrastructure, systems, data and information resulting from
increased threat of cyber and other attacks; technological failure; inadequate
or failed internal or external processes or systems; risks relating to ESG
matters, such as climate change (and achieving climate change ambitions) and
decarbonisation, including the Group's ability along with the government and
other stakeholders to measure, manage and mitigate the impacts of climate
change effectively, and human rights issues; the impact of competitive
conditions; failure to attract, retain and develop high calibre talent; the
ability to achieve strategic objectives; the ability to derive cost savings
and other benefits including, but without limitation, as a result of any
acquisitions, disposals and other strategic transactions; inability to capture
accurately the expected value from acquisitions; assumptions and estimates
that form the basis of the Group's financial statements; and potential changes
in dividend policy. A number of these influences and factors are beyond the
Group's control. Please refer to the latest Annual Report on Form 20-F filed
by Lloyds Banking Group plc with the US Securities and Exchange Commission
(the SEC), which is available on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov, for a
discussion of certain factors and risks. Lloyds Banking Group plc may also
make or disclose written and/or oral forward-looking statements in other
written materials and in oral statements made by the directors, officers or
employees of Lloyds Banking Group plc to third parties, including financial
analysts. Except as required by any applicable law or regulation, the
forward-looking statements contained in this document are made as of today's
date, and the Group expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to
release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements
contained in this document whether as a result of new information, future
events or otherwise. The information, statements and opinions contained in
this document do not constitute a public offer under any applicable law or an
offer to sell any securities or financial instruments or any advice or
recommendation with respect to such securities or financial instruments.

CONTACTS

For further information please contact:

INVESTORS AND ANALYSTS

Douglas Radcliffe

Group Investor Relations Director

020 7356 1571

douglas.radcliffe@lloydsbanking.com

Nora Thoden

Director of Investor Relations - ESG

020 7356 2334

nora.thoden@lloydsbanking.com

Tom Grantham

Investor Relations Senior Manager

07851 440 091

thomas.grantham@lloydsbanking.com

Sarah Robson

Investor Relations Senior Manager

07494 513 983

sarah.robson2@lloydsbanking.com

CORPORATE AFFAIRS

Grant Ringshaw

External Relations Director

020 7356 2362

grant.ringshaw@lloydsbanking.com

Matt Smith

Head of Media Relations

07788 352 487

matt.smith@lloydsbanking.com

Copies of this News Release may be obtained from:

Investor Relations, Lloyds Banking Group plc, 25 Gresham Street, London EC2V
7HN

The statement can also be found on the Group's website -
www.lloydsbankinggroup.com

Registered office: Lloyds Banking Group plc, The Mound, Edinburgh, EH1 1YZ

Registered in Scotland No. SC095000

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