Small Cap Value Report (Wed 6 June 2018) - RDL, TCN, CPR, MSI, AMO, HVN

Wednesday, Jun 06 2018 by
60

Morning folks.

These are the stocks which have caught my eye today:

1pm edit: Lots of interest in Amino Technologies (LON:AMO), so I'll be taking a look at this, too.

Cheers,

Graham



Ranger Direct Lending Fund (LON:RDL)

  • Share price: 797p (unch.)
  • No. of shares: 16.1 million
  • Market cap: £128 million

Oaktree releases open letter to Ranger shareholders

Some (most?) of you are probably familiar with Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital. He runs an alternative investment firm with particular expertise in high-yield bonds, distressed debt, etc.

Marks has become well-known through his published memos (available here), containing a great deal of investment wisdom.

5b17bcce7caf6howard_marks.jpg

His memos have also been published in book form: The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor, which I enjoy reading and am happy to recommend. His value-oriented philosophy can be applied to pretty much any asset class.

So I was intrigued to discover recently that Marks' firm has been engaging in some activism in relation to a small British investment vehicle: Ranger Direct Lending Fund (LON:RDL). (Note that Marks himself is unlikely to be heavily involved in this project.)

Oaktree has bought up 19% of Ranger and is now pressing for Board representation, with the view that a wind-down would be in the best interests of all shareholders.

What went wrong

Ranger's strategy has been to invest in a portfolio of debt obligations issued by direct lending platforms, and distribute quarterly dividends to shareholders.

In USD terms, the returns generated by Ranger on capital deployed over the last three years is as follows:

  • 2015: 9.36%
  • 2016: 5.53%
  • 2017: -2.95%

One particular investment has gone very badly, the "Princeton Alternative Income Fund LP".

This was unfortunately a very large investment relative to the size of the fund as a whole. $55 million was originally invested…

Unlock this article instantly by logging into your account

Don’t have an account? Register for free and we’ll get out your way

Disclaimer:  

All my own views. I am not regulated by the FSA. No advice.

Do you like this Post?
Yes
No
60 thumbs up
0 thumbs down
Share this post with friends



Ranger Direct Lending Fund Plc is a closed-ended investment company. The Company's investment objective is to seek to provide shareholders with an attractive return, principally in the form of quarterly income distributions, by acquiring a portfolio of debt obligations (such as loans, invoice receivables and asset financing arrangements) that have been originated or issued by direct lending platforms. Its portfolio includes various sectors, such as consumer loans, business letter of credit, multi-family real estate loans, single-family real estate loans, platform debt, commercial real estate loans, mixed-use real estate loans, business loans, factoring and equipment loans. The Company's subsidiary is Ranger Direct Lending Fund Trust. Ranger Alternative Management II, LP serves as an investment manager to the Company. more »

LSE Price
775p
Change
 
Mkt Cap (£m)
125
P/E (fwd)
n/a
Yield (fwd)
n/a

Tricorn Group plc is a holding company. The Company holds interests in companies that develop and manufacture pipe solutions. The Company's principal activities include high precision tube manipulation and systems engineering. The Company operates in two segments: Energy and Transportation. The Energy segment includes manipulated tubular assemblies for use in power generation, oil and gas, and marine sectors. The Transportation segment includes ferrous, non-ferrous and nylon material tubular assemblies for use in on and off-highway applications. The Company also offers rigid, nylon and hybrid tubular products for engines, braking systems, transportation lubrication, fuel sender sub-systems and hydraulic actuation in a range of on and off road applications. The Company offers brazed and welded assemblies, tube hose assemblies and diesel injector lines for medium and heavy duty truck engines. It offers hydraulic tube assemblies and precision tubular products for the agricultural sector. more »

LSE Price
31p
Change
 
Mkt Cap (£m)
10.5
P/E (fwd)
8.8
Yield (fwd)
0.9

Carpetright plc is engaged in providing floor coverings and beds. The Company operates through two segments: UK and Rest of Europe (comprising Belgium, the Netherlands and Republic of Ireland). The Company trades from approximately 440 stores and concessions in the United Kingdom, as well as over 140 stores across Holland, Belgium and the Republic of Ireland. The Company offers free home estimating services. The Company's product range includes carpets, mattresses, headboards, laminate flooring, engineered wood flooring, rugs, vinyl flooring, luxury vinyl tiles and flooring accessories. Its luxury vinyl tiles are available in a range of designs, including tile, oak, pine and stone. It offers a range of beds and bed products, including divan beds, roll up mattresses, bed frames and others. It offers a range of options from memory foam mattresses to open coil and pocket spring mattresses. Its brands include Kosset, Essential Value, Storeys, Carpetright Clearance and Carpetright. more »

LSE Price
25.8p
Change
1.6%
Mkt Cap (£m)
78.4
P/E (fwd)
n/a
Yield (fwd)
n/a



  Is LON:RDL fundamentally strong or weak? Find out More »


34 Comments on this Article show/hide all

AlanJenkins2 6th Jun 15 of 34

In reply to post #370584

I agree.However,they are cheap in relation to the rest of the market,so I am holding.

| Link | Share
Graham Neary 6th Jun 16 of 34

In reply to post #370404

Hi Paraic, no worries about hogging the comments!

Yes, the company said nothing about steel today. In the outlook, it guided for "further significant progress." Maybe it's not affected by tariffs? Good question, though.

| Link | Share
dahokolomoki 6th Jun 17 of 34
2

I really think Amino Technologies (LON:AMO) could have done a better job with their trading update today, in providing more concrete evidence of why they think H2 would come good. This poor communication is definitely not going to help the SP next few months.

I still think that this share is a great macro play. All telco and media players are getting pressure now to invest in nextgen hardware for their customers, which has been enabled by faster broadband speeds. Also customers will be demanding UHD and 4K content increasingly, now that TVs support it as standard. This can only be delivered over IPTV.

The key risk with Amino is that revenues will always be lumpy, due to the B2B nature of the business.

Website: Best Commands
| Link | Share
dahokolomoki 6th Jun 18 of 34
1

In reply to post #370354

I like the update today. No change from strategy and plan from last update, things progressing well.

We won't see the benefits in this year's financial results, but next year should be pleasing.

Website: Best Commands
| Link | Share
Graham Neary 6th Jun 19 of 34
3

A lot of interest in Amino Technologies, so I'll take a look at it! G

| Link | Share
rhomboid1 6th Jun 20 of 34
4

In reply to post #370404

I was at the Billington Holdings (LON:BILN) AGM on Monday & we discussed steel / trump etc..for the record they had no concerns..steel prices in the UK are not likely to see an impact , they thought that given the constraints on US steel production..big users will simply pay the tariffs ...steel prices in the U.K. are likely to be stable as continental steel uses a higher component of scrap for legislation reasons than UK steel producers so U.K. steel is more niche & higher up the value chain. Useful research here http://www.nass.org.uk/Publications/Publication4410/Atradius_Economic_Research_Trump_tariffs_Mar_2018_ern032202en.pdf

| Link | Share
MarkOR 6th Jun 21 of 34
2

Thanks for your comments on Ranger Direct Lending Fund (LON:RDL), Graham. I see it as a stock with little downside risk (from current price), good ongoing dividend yield (c.100p a year on 800p price) and a 10% capital upside if they sort out the current mess. The rest of the portfolio (ex Princeton) is in decent shape and delivering ROA of 12-14%, which in turn "spits out" 8% divis on NAV after taking into account fees etc. Never going to be a five bagger, but certainly a strong risk reward (relative to cash in a 2-year duration, high interest bank account). I hold.

| Link | Share | 1 reply
Mrken 6th Jun 22 of 34

EMIS
Just used their updated Patient Access App for the first time.
Definitely not as good as before.

Mrken

| Link | Share
Impvesta 6th Jun 23 of 34

I sold out of AMO first thing this morning on the back of the trading statement. Would have liked more guidance on what the Directors' expectations are. Seemed a bit lukewarm to me and I'm happy to bank a small profit and move on.

| Link | Share
Graham Neary 6th Jun 24 of 34

In reply to post #370654

Cheers Mark. That sounds like a useful synopsis you've given. Good luck. G

| Link | Share
Graham Neary 6th Jun 25 of 34

In reply to post #370444

Hi Newbie, I've had a go at Amino Technologies (LON:AMO) although it's my first time looking at it so apologies if my review of it was a bit basic. On balance, I would give management the benefit of the doubt re: the second half weighting. A judgement call, though.

| Link | Share | 1 reply
Bezhe 6th Jun 26 of 34
1

I enjoy reading these articles and comments but sometimes I get a bit grumpy, especially about spelling. So this is a special request to Graham to spell it as "defence". Even though I share Graham's nationality, I'm a traditionalist regarding English usage; hence "licence" (noun), "license" (verb) etc. (I'm sure Graham has fond memories of the Irish Leaving Certificate exams - which started today with English.)

| Link | Share | 2 replies
Graham Neary 6th Jun 27 of 34
4

In reply to post #370739

Bezhe, I have granted your request. Typo's and misspelings annoy me too, so please feel free to let us know if you spot any more. Thanks :)

| Link | Share | 1 reply
Laughton 6th Jun 28 of 34
3

In reply to post #370739

Well yes, I too like correct spelling but I think you have to allow some leeway. He accomplishes an awful lot in a short time and spellcheck doesn't always pick up everything.

Full proofreading and editing would only result in long delays and I think most on here appreciate reading comments on today's announcements today rather than some day in the future.

| Link | Share
shipoffrogs 6th Jun 29 of 34
1

In reply to post #370764

Shouldn't that be - typos?

| Link | Share | 1 reply
dgold 6th Jun 30 of 34
1

In reply to post #370799

And "misspelings" is actually a misspelling.

| Link | Share | 1 reply
back2value 7th Jun 31 of 34
4

In reply to post #370809

You seem to have missed Graham's tongue being clearly in cheek there...

| Link | Share
newbieinvestor 7th Jun 32 of 34

In reply to post #370709

Thank you Graham.

As is always the case, it’s about the level of trust one has in the management team and their ability to correctly and honestly tell us the situation re. H1/H2 weighting. Lets hope for the holders out their, including myself, that they are correct.

| Link | Share | 1 reply
simoan 7th Jun 33 of 34
1

In reply to post #371119

As is always the case, it’s about the level of trust one has in the management team and their ability to correctly and honestly tell us the situation re. H1/H2 weighting. Lets hope for the holders out their, including myself, that they are correct. 

As a former holder of Amino Technologies (LON:AMO) I would actually trust the management "current expectations", even though the TU was not the best worded statement you'll ever read. IMO they have executed well  enough over the past few years (despite a sales blip) to earn my trust. 

It's quite possible they will have a blow out H2 (£50m revenue) to meet current estimates for the full year, but at the same time the risk is now much increased that they won't. Who's to say the major customer won't "re-phase" product delivery again? I like the company, and the market they operate in, but I sold first thing yesterday and will wait to see what they say at the interims in July.

All the best, Si

| Link | Share
herbie47 7th Jun 34 of 34
1

Amino Technologies (LON:AMO) not sure I would trust them after what happened in 2015, interims results were good: Adjusted operating profit up 56% to £2.8m (H1 2014: £1.8m) before exceptional items. The outlook was very promising:
"Today's results mark a real turning point for Amino. Following a significant amount of hard work, and thanks to a clear and well thought-out strategy, our business has reignited its organic revenue growth, extended its margins and profitability, and begun to put in place some very exciting building blocks for the future."

3 months later issued a profit warning.

If I was a holder I would sell and watch.

| Link | Share

What's your view on this article? Log In to Comment Now

You can track all @StockoChat comments via Twitter

 Are LON:RDL's fundamentals sound as an investment? Find out More »



About Graham Neary

Graham Neary

Full-time investor and independent analyst. Prior to this, I spent seven years in the financial markets as an analyst and institutional fund manager. I'm CFA-qualified, also holding the Investment Management Certificate and the STA Diploma in Technical Analysis.Away from finance, my main interests are recreational poker and everything to do with China, especially Mandarin Chinese. more »

Follow



Stock Picking Tutorial Centre



Let’s get you setup so you get the most out of our service
Done, Let's add some stocks
Brilliant - You've created a folio! Now let's add some stocks to it.

  • Apple (AAPL)

  • Shell (RDSA)

  • Twitter (TWTR)

  • Volkswagon AG (VOK)

  • McDonalds (MCD)

  • Vodafone (VOD)

  • Barratt Homes (BDEV)

  • Microsoft (MSFT)

  • Tesco (TSCO)
Save and show me my analysis